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Vianense - Leixoes

Taça de Portugal October 17, 2026 16:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.3%
Win
Vianense
25.95%
Draw
38.75%
Win
Leixoes
1.99
Expected xG
2.2

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.45%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 26%
2 39%
Double Chance
1X 61%
X2 65%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 67%
✓ 63.6% hit rate (44 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Leixoes a 38% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Vianense. Expected goals are 2.0 for Vianense and 2.2 for Leixoes (total 4.2), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.45% probability.

Season Stats

Vianense
4W 0D 1L
Leixoes
3W 0D 1L
Averages per game
3.6
Goals
2.0
1.4
Conceded
0.8
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
75%
100%
O 2.5
75%
60%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
63%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Vianense
1W 0D 0L · at home
Leixoes
3W 0D 1L · away
8.0
gls/g
2.0
0.0
Conceded
0.8
100%
Win %
75%
100%
Win or Draw
75%
100%
O 1.5
75%
100%
O 2.5
75%
100%
O 3.5
25%
0%
BTTS
50%
100%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Vianense Leixoes →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5% 3.3% 3.7% 2.7% 1.5% 0.7%
1 3.0% 6.6% 7.3% 5.4% 2.9% 1.3%
2 3.0% 6.6% 7.3% 5.3% 2.9% 1.3%
3 2.0% 4.4% 4.8% 3.5% 1.9% 0.9%
4 1.0% 2.2% 2.4% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%

Recent form

W Estrela Calheta 1–3
W Minas de Argozelo 8–0
L Comércio Indústria 3–0
W Trofense 2–3
W Valenciano 1–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
W Cinfães 0–4
L Vila Meã 2–1
W Amarante 1–2
W Naval 1893 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 39%

Playing profile

Vianense Vianense
Attack
43
Defence
72
Form
64
Leixoes Leixoes
Attack
54
Defence
73
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Vianense vs Leixoes?
The model gives Vianense a 35% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 38% for an Leixoes win.
How many goals are expected in Vianense vs Leixoes?
Expected goals: Vianense 2.0, Leixoes 2.2 (total 4.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Vianense vs Leixoes?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.45%.