S. Jalal
(ast. A. Beck)
7'
14'
J. Serra
41'
(ast. H. Dalsgaard)
J. Serra
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aarhus a 41% win probability (draw 24%, Viborg 34%). The final result was Viborg 1–2 Aarhus. In 4 previous meetings, Viborg have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 3 wins for Aarhus.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
5
0.70
Actual xG
3.20
3
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
4
Corners
2
20
Tackles
23
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽S. Jalal
· ast. A. Beck
7'
14'
J. Serra⚽
36'
K. Arnstad
41'
ast. H. Dalsgaard ·
J. Serra⚽
B. Brahimi
/ O. Addo
46'
T. Jorgensen
58'
60'
P. Mortensen
/
J. Serra
60'
S. Jorgensen
/
F. Tingager
61'
F. Emmery
/
K. Yakob
S. Jalal
65'
H. Bidstrup
/ O. Bundgaard
70'
A. Beck
/ M. Hoedemakers
70'
T. Jorgensen
/ T. Freriks
77'
82'
J. Jensen-Abbew
/
E. Kahl
S. Jalal
/ Z. Zaletel
88'
89'
T. Kristjansson
/
T. Bech
Pre-match prediction
34.05%
Viborg
24.54%
X
41.4%
Aarhus ←
we assigned to the actual result (Aarhus)
41.4%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
0.70
-0.74
1.86
3.20
+1.34
Aarhus dominated by xG (3.20 vs 0.70).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
30
Srđan Kuzmić
D
Srđan Kuzmić
D
24
D
32
Lukas Kirkegaard
D
Lukas Kirkegaard
D
26
Hjalte Bidstrup
70'
D
Hjalte Bidstrup
70'
D
8
Asker Beck
1 👟
70'
M
Asker Beck
1 👟
70'
M
13
J. Grønning
M
J. Grønning
M
10
Thomas Jørgensen
77'
M
Thomas Jørgensen
77'
M
29
Sami Jalal
1 ⚽
88'
F
Sami Jalal
1 ⚽
88'
F
19
Dorian Hanza
F
Dorian Hanza
F
21
B. Brahimi
45'
F
B. Brahimi
45'
F
Bench
4
M. Hoedemakers
20'
M
23
Oliver Bundgaard
20'
D
Oliver Bundgaard
20'
D
17
Osman Addo
45'
F
Osman Addo
45'
F
9
T. Freriks
13'
F
5
Ž. Zaletel
9'
D
Ž. Zaletel
9'
D
1
Jesper Hansen
G
Jesper Hansen
G
19
Eric Kahl
82'
D
Eric Kahl
82'
D
5
Frederik Tingager
60'
D
Frederik Tingager
60'
D
3
Henrik Dalsgaard
1 👟
D
Henrik Dalsgaard
1 👟
D
11
G. Links
M
G. Links
M
4
Magnus Knudsen
M
Magnus Knudsen
M
17
Kevin Yakob
61'
M
Kevin Yakob
61'
M
2
Felix Beijmo
M
Felix Beijmo
M
10
F
13
Janni Serra
2 ⚽
60'
F
Janni Serra
2 ⚽
60'
F
31
T. Bech
89'
F
T. Bech
89'
F
Bench
39
Frederik Emmery
29'
F
Frederik Emmery
29'
F
26
Jacob Andersen
D
Jacob Andersen
D
57
James Bogere
F
James Bogere
F
9
P. Mortensen
30'
F
P. Mortensen
30'
F
8
Sebastian Jørgensen
30'
M
Sebastian Jørgensen
30'
M
Best on the pitch
Janni Serra
F · Aarhus
8.70
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
Sami Jalal
F · Viborg
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 30 pass
Frederik Emmery
F · Aarhus
7.30
· 3 pass
Frederik Tingager
D · Aarhus
7.30
· 42 pass
Felix Beijmo
M · Aarhus
7.00
· 40 pass
Henrik Dalsgaard
D · Aarhus
7.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 49 pass
Viborg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| Srđan Kuzmić | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 101 | 88% | 1 | — | — | |
| Lukas Kirkegaard | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 83 | 74% | 2 | — | — |
| Hjalte Bidstrup | D | 70 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Asker Beck | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 40 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Grønning | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| Thomas Jørgensen | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Sami Jalal | F | 88 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 30 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dorian Hanza | F | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Brahimi | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Hoedemakers | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Oliver Bundgaard | D | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Osman Addo | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Freriks | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ž. Zaletel | D | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Aarhus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Hansen | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Eric Kahl | D | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Frederik Tingager | D | 60 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Henrik Dalsgaard | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 49 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Links | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Magnus Knudsen | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 7 | — | — |
| Kevin Yakob | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Felix Beijmo | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — | |
| Janni Serra | F | 60 | 8.70 | 2 | — | 2 | 15 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Bech | F | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Frederik Emmery | F | 29 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Mortensen | F | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Jørgensen | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Viborg vs Aarhus?
The final score was Viborg 1–2 Aarhus.
What did the model predict before Viborg vs Aarhus?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Viborg win, 24% to a draw, and 41% to an Aarhus win.