S. Jalal
(ast. A. Beck)
7'
14'
J. Serra
41'
(ast. H. Dalsgaard)
J. Serra
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aarhus a 41% win probability (draw 24%, Viborg 34%). The final result was Viborg 1–2 Aarhus. In 5 previous meetings, Viborg have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 3 wins for Aarhus.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
5
0.70
Actual xG
3.20
3
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
4
Corners
2
20
Tackles
23
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽S. Jalal
· ast. A. Beck
7'
14'
J. Serra⚽
36'
K. Arnstad
41'
ast. H. Dalsgaard ·
J. Serra⚽
B. Brahimi
/ O. Addo
46'
T. Jorgensen
58'
60'
P. Mortensen
/
J. Serra
60'
S. Jorgensen
/
F. Tingager
61'
F. Emmery
/
K. Yakob
S. Jalal
65'
H. Bidstrup
/ O. Bundgaard
70'
A. Beck
/ M. Hoedemakers
70'
T. Jorgensen
/ T. Freriks
77'
82'
J. Jensen-Abbew
/
E. Kahl
S. Jalal
/ Z. Zaletel
88'
89'
T. Kristjansson
/
T. Bech
Pre-match prediction
34.05%
Viborg
24.54%
X
41.4%
Aarhus ←
we assigned to the actual result (Aarhus)
41.4%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
0.70
-0.74
1.86
3.20
+1.34
Aarhus dominated by xG (3.20 vs 0.70).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
30
S. Kuzmić
D
S. Kuzmić
D
24
D
32
L. Kirkegaard
D
L. Kirkegaard
D
26
Hjalte Bidstrup
70'
D
Hjalte Bidstrup
70'
D
8
A. Beck
1 👟
70'
M
A. Beck
1 👟
70'
M
13
J. Grønning
M
J. Grønning
M
10
T. Jørgensen
77'
M
T. Jørgensen
77'
M
29
S. Jalal
1 ⚽
88'
F
S. Jalal
1 ⚽
88'
F
19
Dorian Hanza
F
Dorian Hanza
F
21
B. Brahimi
45'
F
B. Brahimi
45'
F
Bench
4
M. Hoedemakers
20'
M
M. Hoedemakers
20'
M
17
O. Addo
45'
F
O. Addo
45'
F
23
O. Bundgaard
20'
D
O. Bundgaard
20'
D
9
T. Freriks
13'
F
5
Ž. Zaletel
9'
D
Ž. Zaletel
9'
D
1
J. Hansen
G
J. Hansen
G
19
E. Kahl
82'
D
E. Kahl
82'
D
5
F. Tingager
60'
D
F. Tingager
60'
D
3
Henrik Dalsgaard
1 👟
D
Henrik Dalsgaard
1 👟
D
11
Gift Links
M
4
M. Knudsen
M
M. Knudsen
M
17
Kevin Yakob
61'
M
Kevin Yakob
61'
M
2
F. Beijmo
M
F. Beijmo
M
10
F
13
J. Serra
2 ⚽
60'
F
J. Serra
2 ⚽
60'
F
31
T. Bech
89'
F
T. Bech
89'
F
Bench
39
Frederik Emmery
29'
F
Frederik Emmery
29'
F
57
James Bogere
F
26
J. Andersen
D
J. Andersen
D
9
P. Mortensen
30'
F
P. Mortensen
30'
F
8
S. Jørgensen
30'
M
S. Jørgensen
30'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Serra
F · Aarhus
8.70
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
S. Jalal
F · Viborg
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 30 pass
Frederik Emmery
F · Aarhus
7.30
· 3 pass
F. Tingager
D · Aarhus
7.30
· 42 pass
F. Beijmo
M · Aarhus
7.00
· 40 pass
Henrik Dalsgaard
D · Aarhus
7.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 49 pass
Viborg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| S. Kuzmić | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 101 | 88% | 1 | — | — | |
| L. Kirkegaard | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 83 | 74% | 2 | — | — |
| Hjalte Bidstrup | D | 70 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Beck | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 40 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Grønning | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Jørgensen | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Jalal | F | 88 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 30 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dorian Hanza | F | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Brahimi | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Hoedemakers | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| O. Addo | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Bundgaard | D | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Freriks | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ž. Zaletel | D | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Aarhus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hansen | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 20% | — | — | — |
| E. Kahl | D | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Tingager | D | 60 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Henrik Dalsgaard | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 49 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Gift Links | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Knudsen | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 7 | — | — |
| Kevin Yakob | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Beijmo | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — | |
| J. Serra | F | 60 | 8.70 | 2 | — | 2 | 15 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Bech | F | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Frederik Emmery | F | 29 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Mortensen | F | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. Jørgensen | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Viborg vs Aarhus?
The final score was Viborg 1–2 Aarhus.
What did the model predict before Viborg vs Aarhus?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Viborg win, 24% to a draw, and 41% to an Aarhus win.