✗Model wrong — prediction Viborg, result Sonderjyske wins
49'
(ast. O. Hyseni)
S. Emini
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Viborg a 57% win probability (draw 22%, Sonderjyske 19%). The final result was Viborg 0–1 Sonderjyske. In 4 previous meetings, Viborg have won 2 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Sonderjyske.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
3
1.24
Actual xG
1.38
2
Saves
4
68%
Possession
32%
8
Corners
0
18
Tackles
23
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
49'
ast. O. Hyseni ·
S. Emini⚽
58'
G. Duru
/
D. L. Gretarsson
H. Bidstrup
/ O. Bundgaard
62'
C. Nouck
/ B. Brahimi
62'
71'
T. Klysner
/
S. Emini
71'
L. Qamili
/
M. Hoppe
72'
A. Lyng
/
O. Hyseni
76'
A. Lyng
A. Beck
/ A. Kleis-Kristoffersen
77'
J. Gronning
/ M. Hoedemakers
77'
79'
P. Kristensen
/
S. Waever
Pre-match prediction
57.61%
Viborg
22.88%
X
19.51%
Sonderjyske ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sonderjyske)
19.51%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.68
1.24
-0.44
0.78
1.38
+0.6
xG dominance was balanced (1.24 – 1.38).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
30
Srđan Kuzmić
D
Srđan Kuzmić
D
24
D
32
L. Kirkegaard
D
L. Kirkegaard
D
26
Hjalte Bidstrup
62'
D
Hjalte Bidstrup
62'
D
8
A. Beck
77'
M
A. Beck
77'
M
13
J. Grønning
77'
M
J. Grønning
77'
M
10
T. Jørgensen
M
T. Jørgensen
M
11
C. Nouck
62'
F
C. Nouck
62'
F
19
Dorian Hanza
F
Dorian Hanza
F
29
S. Jalal
F
S. Jalal
F
Bench
21
B. Brahimi
33'
M
B. Brahimi
33'
M
18
J. Mbom
D
J. Mbom
D
4
M. Hoedemakers
18'
M
M. Hoedemakers
18'
M
23
O. Bundgaard
33'
D
O. Bundgaard
33'
D
17
Osman Addo
F
Osman Addo
F
5
Ž. Zaletel
D
Ž. Zaletel
D
1
G
4
D. Grétarsson
58'
D
D. Grétarsson
58'
D
12
D
5
M. Jensen
D
M. Jensen
D
3
Simon Wæver
79'
D
Simon Wæver
79'
D
6
M
24
O. Hyseni
1 👟
70'
M
O. Hyseni
1 👟
70'
M
22
A. Oggesen
M
A. Oggesen
M
31
M. Haidara
M
M. Haidara
M
7
S. Emini
1 ⚽
71'
M
S. Emini
1 ⚽
71'
M
9
M. Hoppe
71'
F
M. Hoppe
71'
F
Bench
11
Alexander Lyng
25'
F
Alexander Lyng
25'
F
23
E. Duru
37'
D
E. Duru
37'
D
15
L. Qamili
24'
F
L. Qamili
24'
F
19
P. Kristensen
16'
D
P. Kristensen
16'
D
20
Tobias Klysner
24'
F
Tobias Klysner
24'
F
Best on the pitch
L. Kirkegaard
D · Viborg
7.90
· 110 pass
M. Jensen
D · Sonderjyske
7.90
· 42 pass
J. Grønning
M · Viborg
7.30
· 66 pass
T. Jørgensen
M · Viborg
7.30
4 shots
· 71 pass
A. Oggesen
M · Sonderjyske
7.30
· 27 pass
S. Emini
M · Sonderjyske
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
Viborg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Srđan Kuzmić | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 59 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 108 | 101% | — | — | — | |
| L. Kirkegaard | D | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 110 | 96% | — | — | — |
| Hjalte Bidstrup | D | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Beck | M | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Grønning | M | 77 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Jørgensen | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 4 | 71 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Nouck | F | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Dorian Hanza | F | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Jalal | F | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Brahimi | M | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Hoedemakers | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Bundgaard | D | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Sonderjyske — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| D. Grétarsson | D | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | 1 | — | — | |
| M. Jensen | D | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Simon Wæver | D | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 5 | — | — |
| M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — | |
| O. Hyseni | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Oggesen | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Haidara | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Emini | M | 71 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| M. Hoppe | F | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Alexander Lyng | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Duru | D | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Qamili | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| P. Kristensen | D | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tobias Klysner | F | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Viborg vs Sonderjyske?
The final score was Viborg 0–1 Sonderjyske.
What did the model predict before Viborg vs Sonderjyske?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Viborg win, 22% to a draw, and 19% to an Sonderjyske win.