✗Model wrong — prediction Viborg, result Sonderjyske wins
49'
(ast. O. Hyseni)
S. Emini
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Viborg a 57% win probability (draw 22%, Sonderjyske 19%). The final result was Viborg 0–1 Sonderjyske. In 3 previous meetings, Viborg have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Sonderjyske.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
3
1.24
Actual xG
1.38
2
Saves
4
68%
Possession
32%
8
Corners
0
18
Tackles
23
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
49'
ast. O. Hyseni ·
S. Emini⚽
58'
G. Duru
/
D. L. Gretarsson
H. Bidstrup
/ O. Bundgaard
62'
C. Nouck
/ B. Brahimi
62'
71'
T. Klysner
/
S. Emini
71'
L. Qamili
/
M. Hoppe
72'
A. Lyng
/
O. Hyseni
76'
A. Lyng
A. Beck
/ A. Kleis-Kristoffersen
77'
J. Gronning
/ M. Hoedemakers
77'
79'
P. Kristensen
/
S. Waever
Pre-match prediction
57.61%
Viborg
22.88%
X
19.51%
Sonderjyske ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sonderjyske)
19.51%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.68
1.24
-0.44
0.78
1.38
+0.6
xG dominance was balanced (1.24 – 1.38).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
30
Srđan Kuzmić
D
Srđan Kuzmić
D
24
D
32
Lukas Kirkegaard
D
Lukas Kirkegaard
D
26
Hjalte Bidstrup
62'
D
Hjalte Bidstrup
62'
D
8
Asker Beck
77'
M
Asker Beck
77'
M
13
J. Grønning
77'
M
J. Grønning
77'
M
10
Thomas Jørgensen
M
Thomas Jørgensen
M
11
C. Nouck
62'
F
C. Nouck
62'
F
19
Dorian Hanza
F
Dorian Hanza
F
29
Sami Jalal
F
Sami Jalal
F
Bench
21
B. Brahimi
33'
M
B. Brahimi
33'
M
18
J. Mbom
D
J. Mbom
D
4
M. Hoedemakers
18'
M
23
Oliver Bundgaard
33'
D
Oliver Bundgaard
33'
D
17
Osman Addo
F
Osman Addo
F
5
Ž. Zaletel
D
Ž. Zaletel
D
1
G
4
Daníel Grétarsson
58'
D
Daníel Grétarsson
58'
D
12
D
5
Magnus Jensen
D
Magnus Jensen
D
3
Simon Wæver
79'
D
Simon Wæver
79'
D
6
M
24
O. Hyseni
1 👟
70'
M
O. Hyseni
1 👟
70'
M
22
Andreas Oggesen
M
Andreas Oggesen
M
31
Mohamed Cherif Haidara
M
Mohamed Cherif Haidara
M
7
Sefer Emini
1 ⚽
71'
M
Sefer Emini
1 ⚽
71'
M
9
M. Hoppe
71'
F
M. Hoppe
71'
F
Bench
11
Alexander Lyng
25'
F
Alexander Lyng
25'
F
23
Chidiebube Duru
37'
D
Chidiebube Duru
37'
D
15
Lirim Qamili
24'
F
Lirim Qamili
24'
F
19
Pachanga Kristensen
16'
D
Pachanga Kristensen
16'
D
20
Tobias Klysner
24'
F
Tobias Klysner
24'
F
Best on the pitch
Lukas Kirkegaard
D · Viborg
7.90
· 110 pass
Magnus Jensen
D · Sonderjyske
7.90
· 42 pass
J. Grønning
M · Viborg
7.30
· 66 pass
Thomas Jørgensen
M · Viborg
7.30
4 shots
· 71 pass
Andreas Oggesen
M · Sonderjyske
7.30
· 27 pass
Sefer Emini
M · Sonderjyske
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
Viborg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Srđan Kuzmić | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 59 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 108 | 101% | — | — | — | |
| Lukas Kirkegaard | D | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 110 | 96% | — | — | — |
| Hjalte Bidstrup | D | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Asker Beck | M | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Grønning | M | 77 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| Thomas Jørgensen | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 4 | 71 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Nouck | F | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Dorian Hanza | F | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Sami Jalal | F | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Brahimi | M | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Hoedemakers | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Oliver Bundgaard | D | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Sonderjyske — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Daníel Grétarsson | D | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | 1 | — | — | |
| Magnus Jensen | D | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Simon Wæver | D | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 5 | — | — |
| M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — | |
| O. Hyseni | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Andreas Oggesen | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 5 | — | — |
| Mohamed Cherif Haidara | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Sefer Emini | M | 71 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| M. Hoppe | F | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Alexander Lyng | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Chidiebube Duru | D | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| Lirim Qamili | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Pachanga Kristensen | D | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tobias Klysner | F | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Viborg vs Sonderjyske?
The final score was Viborg 0–1 Sonderjyske.
What did the model predict before Viborg vs Sonderjyske?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Viborg win, 22% to a draw, and 19% to an Sonderjyske win.