Vicenza Virtus 3–2 Catanzaro — pre-match prediction — Serie B — August 21, 2026

← Serie B

Serie B · Regular Season - 1 August 21, 2026 20:30 Stadio Romeo Menti, Vicenza

Vicenza Virtus

#12 · 5 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Catanzaro

#17 · 3 pts

G. Cuomo (ast. F. Costa) 39'

A. Pietrelli (ast. T. Corazza) 80'

C. Morra (ast. N. Rauti) 89'

17' (ast. G. Alesi) M. D'Alessandro

51' (ast. Matias Antonini) B. Verrengia

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vicenza Virtus a 33% win probability (draw 32%, Catanzaro 33%). The final result was Vicenza Virtus 3–2 Catanzaro.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.77

Actual xG

1.74

Saves

47%

Possession

53%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

17'

ast. G. Alesi · M. D'Alessandro⚽

⚽G. Cuomo · ast. F. Costa

39'

42'

P. Iemmello

F. Alessio

44'

51'

ast. Matias Antonini · B. Verrengia⚽

53'

J. Petriccione

F. Costa

55'

58'

M. Dorval / M. D'Alessandro ↕

↕ M. Carraro / L. Zonta

62'

↕ L. Caferri / A. Pietrelli

62'

↕ F. Alessio / N. Rauti

71'

73'

F. Tchaouna / P. Iemmello ↕

↕ G. Moncini / C. Morra

76'

↕ F. Costa / T. Corazza

76'

⚽A. Pietrelli · ast. T. Corazza

80'

82'

S. Giovane / N. Mosti ↕

82'

F. Di Francesco / G. Alesi ↕

82'

G. Arditi / N. Koffi ↕

83'

M. Ruggero

⚽C. Morra · ast. N. Rauti

89'

Pre-match prediction

33.65%

Vicenza ←

32.95%

33.4%

Catanzaro

we assigned to the actual result (Vicenza Virtus) 33.65% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Vicenza

2.49

1.77

-0.72

Catanzaro

0.56

1.74

+1.18

xG dominance was balanced (1.77 – 1.74). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	3	9
2	Sudtirol	4	8
3	Mantova	3	7
4	Modena	4	7
5	Ascoli	4	7
6	Padova	4	7
7	Arezzo	4	6
8	Cesena	4	6
9	Pisa	4	6
10	Avellino	3	6
11	Empoli	4	6
12	Vicenza Virtus	4	5
13	Benevento	4	4
14	Virtus Entella	4	4
15	Cremonese	4	4
16	Hellas Verona	4	4
17	Catanzaro	4	3
18	Juve Stabia	4	2
19	Sampdoria	3	1
20	Carrarese	4	1

Lineups

Vicenza Virtus 3-5-2

R. Gagno G 7.50

R. Marchizza D 6.90

M. Leverbe D 6.20

G. Cuomo 1 ⚽ D 8.60

F. Costa 1 👟 76' M 7.30

G. Pellizzari M 6.60

M. Carraro 62' M 6.30

M. Valoti M 6.70

L. Caferri 62' M 7.00

Filippo Alessio 71' F 7.00

G. Moncini 76' F 6.60

Bench

A. Pietrelli 1 ⚽ 28' M 7.90

C. Morra 1 ⚽ 14' F 7.90

Ettore Broggian F

L. Zonta 28' M 6.90

Mattia Basso G

M. Vescovi D

N. Brighenti D

N. Rauti 1 👟 19' F 6.90

R. Talarico M

S. Massolo G

T. Corazza 1 👟 14' D 7.50

T. Sandon D

Catanzaro 3-3-3-1

M. Pigliacelli G 7.30

B. Verrengia 1 ⚽ D 6.50

Matias Antonini 1 👟 D 7.20

M. Ruggero D 6.30

G. Alesi 1 👟 82' M 6.90

J. Petriccione M 7.30

N. Mosti 82' M 6.60

M. D'Alessandro 1 ⚽ 58' F 7.60

P. Iemmello 73' M 6.50

A. Candela F 6.20

N. Koffi 82' F 6.90

Bench

A. Garnica F

C. Marietta G

Ervin Bashi D

F. Di Francesco 8' F 6.50

Franck Tchaouna 17' M 6.30

F. Reita M

Gabriel Arditi 8' F 6.20

Gonçalo Esteves D

M. Dorval 32' D 6.30

N. Buso F

Niccolò Postiglione D

S. Giovane 8' M 6.60

Best on the pitch

G. Cuomo

D · Vicenza

8.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 42 pass

C. Morra

F · Vicenza

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 4 pass

A. Pietrelli

M · Vicenza

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 9 pass

M. D'Alessandro

F · Catanzaro

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 17 pass

R. Gagno

G · Vicenza

7.50

· 23 pass

T. Corazza

D · Vicenza

7.50

1 👟

· 7 pass

Vicenza Virtus — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
R. Gagno	G	90	7.50	—	—	—	23	14%	—	—	—
R. Marchizza	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	43	39%	1	—	—
M. Leverbe	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	46	42%	—	—	—
G. Cuomo	D	90	8.60	1	—	1	42	39%	3	—	—
F. Costa	M	76	7.30	—	1	—	24	15%	1	1	—
G. Pellizzari	M	90	6.60	—	—	2	13	10%	1	—	—
M. Carraro	M	62	6.30	—	—	—	28	25%	—	—	—
M. Valoti	M	90	6.70	—	—	2	31	27%	1	—	—
L. Caferri	M	62	7.00	—	—	1	18	15%	1	—	—
Filippo Alessio	F	71	7.00	—	—	2	18	16%	1	1	—
G. Moncini	F	76	6.60	—	—	3	15	13%	1	—	—
A. Pietrelli	M	28	7.90	1	—	1	9	7%	2	—	—
C. Morra	F	14	7.90	1	—	2	4	4%	1	—	—
L. Zonta	M	28	6.90	—	—	—	11	11%	1	—	—
N. Rauti	F	19	6.90	—	1	3	5	4%	—	—	—
T. Corazza	D	14	7.50	—	1	—	7	7%	—	—	—

Catanzaro — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Pigliacelli	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	25	15%	—	—	—
B. Verrengia	D	90	6.50	1	—	1	30	27%	—	—	—
Matias Antonini	D	90	7.20	—	1	—	39	34%	2	—	—
M. Ruggero	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	41	38%	—	1	—
G. Alesi	M	82	6.90	—	1	1	36	36%	2	—	—
J. Petriccione	M	90	7.30	—	—	1	72	62%	1	1	—
N. Mosti	M	82	6.60	—	—	1	31	22%	1	—	—
M. D'Alessandro	F	58	7.60	1	—	1	17	17%	—	—	—
P. Iemmello	M	73	6.50	—	—	1	30	23%	—	1	—
A. Candela	F	90	6.20	—	—	1	20	14%	—	—	—
N. Koffi	F	82	6.90	—	—	3	14	11%	—	—	—
F. Di Francesco	F	8	6.50	—	—	—	7	5%	—	—	—
Franck Tchaouna	M	17	6.30	—	—	—	12	11%	1	—	—
Gabriel Arditi	F	8	6.20	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
M. Dorval	D	32	6.30	—	—	—	8	8%	—	—	—
S. Giovane	M	8	6.60	—	—	—	10	9%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro?

The final score was Vicenza Virtus 3–2 Catanzaro.

What did the model predict before Vicenza Virtus vs Catanzaro?

The model assigned 33% probability to a Vicenza Virtus win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Catanzaro win.