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Serie B · Regular Season - 9 October 27, 2026 20:00 Stadio Romeo Menti, Vicenza
Vicenza Virtus
#15 · 9 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Modena
#2 · 19 pts
Bryant Nieling 13' (og)
17' (ast. Giuseppe Caso) Andrea Belotti
89' Giuseppe Ambrosino
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Modena a 49% win probability (draw 24%, Vicenza Virtus 25%). The final result was Vicenza Virtus 1–2 Modena.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
3
0.34
Actual xG
1.15
2
Saves
2
46%
Possession
54%
5
Corners
4
23
Tackles
10
5
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Bryant Nieling (og)
13'
17'
ast. Giuseppe Caso · Andrea Belotti⚽
Nicolò Brighenti
19'
36'
Antonio Imputato / Francesco Zampano ↕
55'
Gastón Brugman / Giuseppe Caso ↕
Alessandro Bellemo
62'
64'
Francesco Folino
Mattia Valoti
69'
↕ Nicola Rauti / Claudio Morra
71'
↕ Giulio Pellizzari / Loris Zonta
71'
↕ Mattia Valoti / Filippo Alessio
76'
Silvio Merkaj
82'
Tommaso Corazza
84'
↕ Tommaso Corazza / Thomas Sandon
84'
88'
Daniele Montevago / Andrea Belotti ↕
88'
Kleis Bozhanaj / Giacomo Olzer ↕
89'
Giuseppe Ambrosino⚽
Pre-match prediction
25.53%
Vicenza
24.64%
X
49.83%
Modena ←
we assigned to the actual result (Modena) 49.83% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Vicenza
1.08
0.34
-0.74
Modena
2.51
1.15
-1.36
Modena dominated by xG (1.15 vs 0.34). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 8 22
2 Modena Modena 9 19
3 Ascoli Ascoli 9 18
4 Mantova Mantova 9 17
5 Benevento Benevento 9 15
6 Pisa Pisa 8 14
7 Padova Padova 9 13
8 Sudtirol Sudtirol 9 13
9 Avellino Avellino 9 12
10 Cesena Cesena 9 11
11 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 9 10
12 Arezzo Arezzo 8 10
13 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 8 9
14 Cremonese Cremonese 9 9
15 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 9 9
16 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 8 8
17 Empoli Empoli 9 7
18 Carrarese Carrarese 8 7
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 9 5
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 9 5
Lineups
Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 3-5-2
16 R. Gagno R. Gagno G 5.90
5 R. Marchizza R. Marchizza D 6.19
23 N. Brighenti N. Brighenti D 6.28
66 A. Papetti A. Papetti D 6.61
21 T. Corazza T. Corazza 84' M 5.38
10 M. Valoti M. Valoti 76' M 6.50
8 A. Bellemo A. Bellemo M 6.27
26 G. Pellizzari G. Pellizzari 71' M 6.14
28 L. Caferri L. Caferri M 5.66
33 S. Merkaj S. Merkaj F 5.81
7 N. Rauti N. Rauti 71' F 6.04
Bench
99 A. Pietrelli A. Pietrelli M 0.00
77 A. Rada A. Rada M 0.00
9 C. Morra C. Morra 19' F 6.25
68 F. Bagheria F. Bagheria G 0.00
32 F. Costa F. Costa D 0.00
24 Filippo Alessio Filippo Alessio 14' F 6.41
11 G. Moncini G. Moncini F 0.00
29 L. Zonta L. Zonta 19' M 5.93
4 M. Carraro M. Carraro M 0.00
30 M. Vescovi M. Vescovi D 0.00
44 R. Talarico R. Talarico M 0.00
27 T. Sandon T. Sandon 6' D 6.14
Modena Modena 4-2-3-1
1 L. Chichizola L. Chichizola G 5.98
20 B. Nieling B. Nieling 1 ⚽ D 5.68
6 S. Nador S. Nador D 7.13
23 F. Folino F. Folino D 6.21
7 F. Zampano F. Zampano 36' D 5.88
42 A. Bianco A. Bianco M 6.74
8 S. Santoro S. Santoro M 6.25
10 G. Caso G. Caso 1 👟 55' M 6.89
70 G. Ambrosino G. Ambrosino 1 ⚽ M 7.30
72 G. Olzer G. Olzer 88' M 6.35
11 A. Belotti A. Belotti 1 ⚽ 88' F 8.01
Bench
26 A. Imputato A. Imputato 54' F 7.02
25 A. Laidani A. Laidani G 0.00
28 D. Adorni D. Adorni D 0.00
9 D. Montevago D. Montevago 2' F 6.66
16 G. Brugman G. Brugman 35' M 6.60
17 K. Bozhanaj K. Bozhanaj 2' M 6.27
29 L. Bacchin L. Bacchin F 0.00
22 L. Consiglio L. Consiglio G 0.00
15 Martino Odero Martino Odero D 0.00
27 Paulo Azzi Paulo Azzi M 0.00
37 T. Egharevba T. Egharevba D 0.00
32 W. Acquah W. Acquah M 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Belotti
A. Belotti
F · Modena
8.01
1 ⚽
1 shots · 21 pass
G. Ambrosino
G. Ambrosino
M · Modena
7.30
1 ⚽
6 shots · 28 pass
S. Nador
S. Nador
D · Modena
7.13
· 53 pass
A. Imputato
A. Imputato
F · Modena
7.02
1 shots · 32 pass
G. Caso
G. Caso
M · Modena
6.89
1 👟
· 15 pass
A. Bianco
A. Bianco
M · Modena
6.74
1 shots · 60 pass
Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Gagno G 90 5.90 — — 0 38 24% 0 — —
R. Marchizza D 90 6.19 — — 0 38 28% 2 — —
N. Brighenti D 90 6.28 — — 0 39 34% 1 1 —
A. Papetti D 90 6.61 — — 0 28 24% 2 — —
T. Corazza M 84 5.38 — — 2 26 16% 3 1 —
M. Valoti M 76 6.50 — — 1 24 20% 3 1 —
A. Bellemo M 90 6.27 — — 0 40 35% 2 1 —
G. Pellizzari M 71 6.14 — — 0 21 17% 3 — —
L. Caferri M 90 5.66 — — 2 31 19% 4 — —
S. Merkaj F 90 5.81 — — 1 15 10% 0 1 —
N. Rauti F 71 6.04 — — 0 20 17% 1 — —
C. Morra F 19 6.25 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
Filippo Alessio F 14 6.41 — — 0 4 3% 2 — —
L. Zonta M 19 5.93 — — 0 9 7% 0 — —
T. Sandon D 6 6.14 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
Modena Modena — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Chichizola G 90 5.98 — — 0 35 26% 0 — —
B. Nieling D 90 5.68 1 — 0 39 31% 0 — —
S. Nador D 90 7.13 — — 0 53 47% 3 — —
F. Folino D 90 6.21 — — 0 39 30% 1 1 —
F. Zampano D 36 5.88 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
A. Bianco M 90 6.74 — — 1 60 50% 1 — —
S. Santoro M 90 6.25 — — 0 29 22% 2 — —
G. Caso M 55 6.89 — 1 0 15 9% 0 — —
G. Ambrosino M 90 7.30 1 — 6 28 14% 0 — —
G. Olzer M 88 6.35 — — 1 23 18% 0 — —
A. Belotti F 88 8.01 1 — 1 21 16% 1 — —
A. Imputato F 54 7.02 — — 1 32 28% 2 — —
D. Montevago F 2 6.66 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
G. Brugman M 35 6.60 — — 0 25 22% 0 — —
K. Bozhanaj M 2 6.27 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vicenza Virtus vs Modena?
The final score was Vicenza Virtus 1–2 Modena.
What did the model predict before Vicenza Virtus vs Modena?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Vicenza Virtus win, 24% to a draw, and 49% to an Modena win.