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← AFC Champions League Two

Viettel - Melbourne Victory

AFC Champions League Two September 16, 2026 14:15
#3 · 0 pts
vs
#2 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Viettel
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Melbourne Victory
1.22
Expected xG
1.41

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.07%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Viettel a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Melbourne Victory. Expected goals are 1.2 for Viettel and 1.4 for Melbourne Victory (total 2.6), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.07% probability.

Season Stats

Viettel
9W 5D 1L
Melbourne Victory
6W 5D 4L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.9
0.6
Conceded
1.2
Shots OT
4.4
Corners
7.0
Poss.
45%
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
80%
13%
O 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
67%
53%
Clean Sht
13%
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
Viettel
6W 2D 2L · at home
Melbourne Victory
4W 3D 3L · away
0.9
gls/g
1.4
0.7
Conceded
1.1
60%
Win %
40%
80%
Win or Draw
70%
30%
O 1.5
60%
10%
O 2.5
50%
10%
O 3.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%
60%
Clean Sht
30%
10%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Score Matrix

↕ Viettel Melbourne Victory →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3% 10.2% 7.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
1 8.8% 12.4% 8.7% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.4% 7.6% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.2% 3.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
No data available

Playing profile

Viettel Viettel
Attack
30
Defence
87
Form
57
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
Attack
53
Defence
68
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Group E

# Team G Pts
1 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0 0
2 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 0 0
3 Viettel Viettel 0 0
4 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 0 0

What's at stake · Group E

Top 2 advance to the next round

Viettel Melbourne Victory
Current #3 #2
Viettel #1 #3
Draw #2 #1
Melbourne Victory #3 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Viettel vs Melbourne Victory?
The model gives Viettel a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Melbourne Victory win.
How many goals are expected in Viettel vs Melbourne Victory?
Expected goals: Viettel 1.2, Melbourne Victory 1.4 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Viettel vs Melbourne Victory?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.07%.