Viking 2–1 Aalesund — pre-match prediction — Eliteserien — August 30, 2026

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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 19 August 30, 2026 17:00 Lyse Arena, Stavanger

Viking

#2 · 44 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Aalesund

#15 · 18 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Viking

S. Kvia-Egeskog 73'

S. Kvia-Egeskog (ast. Z. Tripic) 90'+4

4' (ast. E. Osenbroch) U. Charles

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Viking a 81% win probability (draw 10%, Aalesund 8%). The final result was Viking 2–1 Aalesund. In 2 previous meetings, Viking have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Aalesund.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.15

Actual xG

0.65

Saves

56%

Possession

44%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

ast. E. Osenbroch · U. Charles⚽

33'

M. Christensen

40'

O. Gudmundsson

45'+2

D. Johannsson / H. Hammer ↕

↕ A. Cosic / R. Postema

62'

↕ J. Bell / S. Kvia-Egeskog

62'

↕ H. J. Haugen / N. Fuglestad

71'

72'

M. Reed

⚽S. Kvia-Egeskog

73'

81'

E. Myrlid / E. Osenbroch ↕

↕ V. Auklend / V. Vevatne

83'

↕ T. Moi / H. Heggheim

83'

85'

D. Johannsson

K. Askildsen

90'+1

⚽S. Kvia-Egeskog · ast. Z. Tripic

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

81.23%

Viking ←

10.12%

8.65%

Aalesund

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Viking) 81.23% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Viking

4.19

2.15

-2.04

Aalesund

1.28

0.65

-0.63

Viking dominated by xG (2.15 vs 0.65). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	19	47
2	Viking	19	44
3	Tromso	19	35
4	Molde	19	33
5	Lillestrom	20	32
6	Rosenborg	19	27
7	Brann	19	26
8	Fredrikstad	19	26
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	19	24
10	Ham-Kam	19	23
11	Valerenga	20	22
12	Sandefjord	19	20
13	Kristiansund BK	19	19
14	KFUM Oslo	19	19
15	Aalesund	19	18
16	Start	19	13

Lineups

Viking 4-1-4-1

Ľ. Belko G 6.30

Vetle Auklend 83' D 7.20

J. Daland D 6.30

G. Stensness D 6.60

H. Haugen 71' D 6.50

J. Bell 62' M 7.00

Amin Cosic 62' M 7.00

K. Askildsen M 7.70

T. Moi 83' M 6.70

Z. Tripić 1 👟 M 8.60

P. Christiansen F 7.90

Bench

A. Østbø G

H. Heggheim 7' D

J. Hansen M

N. Fuglestad 19' F 6.90

O. Visted M

R. Alte M

R. Postema 28' F 6.20

S. Kvia-Egeskog 2 ⚽ 28' M 7.70

V. Vevatne 7' D

Aalesund 5-3-2

Luca Podlech G 8.00

U. Charles 1 ⚽ D 7.30

Ó. Guðmundsson D 6.90

D. Mbacke D 6.50

M. Andresen D 6.90

K. Nessø D 6.60

Hakon Butli Hammer 47' M 6.60

E. Hagen M 6.90

M. Christensen M 6.30

E. Osenbroch 1 👟 81' F 7.20

H. M. Reed F 6.20

Bench

Davíð Snær Jóhannsson 43' M 6.20

E. Engqvist D

E. Myrlid 9' F 6.30

J. Ørsahl D

Philip Storås G

S. Haram D

T. Larsen G

Ulrik Syversen D

Best on the pitch

Z. Tripić

M · Viking

8.60

1 👟

· 30 pass

Luca Podlech

G · Aalesund

8.00

· 42 pass

P. Christiansen

F · Viking

7.90

6 shots · 13 pass

S. Kvia-Egeskog

M · Viking

7.70

2 ⚽

1 shots · 9 pass

K. Askildsen

M · Viking

7.70

· 47 pass

U. Charles

D · Aalesund

7.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 23 pass

Viking — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Ľ. Belko	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	50	34%	—	—	—
Vetle Auklend	D	83	7.20	—	—	—	48	35%	1	—	—
J. Daland	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	57	50%	2	—	—
G. Stensness	D	90	6.60	—	—	2	56	46%	2	—	—
H. Haugen	D	71	6.50	—	—	—	24	20%	1	—	—
J. Bell	M	62	7.00	—	—	1	37	34%	1	—	—
Amin Cosic	M	62	7.00	—	—	1	12	11%	1	—	—
K. Askildsen	M	90	7.70	—	—	—	47	37%	1	—	—
T. Moi	M	83	6.70	—	—	3	24	20%	1	—	—
Z. Tripić	M	90	8.60	—	1	—	30	19%	—	—	—
P. Christiansen	F	90	7.90	—	—	6	13	9%	—	—	—
H. Heggheim	D	7	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
N. Fuglestad	F	19	6.90	—	—	—	7	4%	2	—	—
R. Postema	F	28	6.20	—	—	3	1	—	—	—	—
S. Kvia-Egeskog	M	28	7.70	2	—	1	9	7%	—	—	—
V. Vevatne	D	7	—	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—

Aalesund — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Luca Podlech	G	90	8.00	—	—	—	42	16%	—	—	—
U. Charles	D	90	7.30	1	—	3	23	19%	1	—	—
Ó. Guðmundsson	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	34	25%	1	1	—
D. Mbacke	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	33	26%	—	—	—
M. Andresen	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	42	38%	1	—	—
K. Nessø	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	20	14%	1	—	—
Hakon Butli Hammer	M	47	6.60	—	—	—	13	12%	—	—	—
E. Hagen	M	90	6.90	—	—	2	33	28%	1	—	—
M. Christensen	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	49	43%	1	1	—
E. Osenbroch	F	81	7.20	—	1	—	21	20%	—	—	—
H. M. Reed	F	90	6.20	—	—	—	22	17%	—	1	—
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson	M	43	6.20	—	—	3	12	7%	—	1	—
E. Myrlid	F	9	6.30	—	—	—	6	5%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Viking vs Aalesund?

The final score was Viking 2–1 Aalesund.

What did the model predict before Viking vs Aalesund?

The model assigned 81% probability to a Viking win, 10% to a draw, and 8% to an Aalesund win.