Viking 2–1 Aalesund — pre-match prediction — Eliteserien — August 30, 2026

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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 19 August 30, 2026 17:00 Lyse Arena, Stavanger

Viking

#1 · 59 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Aalesund

#14 · 24 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Viking

S. Kvia-Egeskog 73'

S. Kvia-Egeskog (ast. Z. Tripic) 90'+4

4' (ast. E. Osenbroch) U. Charles

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Viking a 81% win probability (draw 10%, Aalesund 8%). The final result was Viking 2–1 Aalesund. In 2 previous meetings, Viking have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Aalesund.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.15

Actual xG

0.65

Saves

56%

Possession

44%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

ast. E. Osenbroch · U. Charles⚽

33'

M. Christensen

40'

O. Gudmundsson

45'+2

D. Johannsson / H. Hammer ↕

↕ A. Cosic / R. Postema

62'

↕ J. Bell / S. Kvia-Egeskog

62'

↕ H. J. Haugen / N. Fuglestad

71'

72'

M. Reed

⚽S. Kvia-Egeskog

73'

81'

E. Myrlid / E. Osenbroch ↕

↕ V. Auklend / V. Vevatne

83'

↕ T. Moi / H. Heggheim

83'

85'

D. Johannsson

K. Askildsen

90'+1

⚽S. Kvia-Egeskog · ast. Z. Tripic

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

81.23%

Viking ←

10.12%

8.65%

Aalesund

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Viking) 81.23% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Viking

4.19

2.15

-2.04

Aalesund

1.28

0.65

-0.63

Viking dominated by xG (2.15 vs 0.65). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Viking	24	59
2	Bodo/Glimt	24	56
3	Molde	24	43
4	Rosenborg	24	40
5	Tromso	24	40
6	Lillestrom	24	39
7	Sarpsborg 08 FF	24	31
8	KFUM Oslo	24	30
9	Brann	24	29
10	Valerenga	24	29
11	Fredrikstad	24	29
12	Ham-Kam	24	26
13	Sandefjord	24	24
14	Aalesund	24	24
15	Kristiansund BK	24	20
16	Start	24	19

Lineups

Viking 4-1-4-1

Ľ. Belko G 6.30

Vetle Auklend 83' D 7.20

J. Daland D 6.30

G. Stensness D 6.60

H. Haugen 71' D 6.50

J. Bell 62' M 7.00

Amin Cosic 62' M 7.00

K. Askildsen M 7.70

T. Moi 83' M 6.70

Z. Tripić 1 👟 M 8.60

P. Christiansen F 7.90

Bench

A. Østbø G

H. Heggheim 7' D

J. Hansen M

N. Fuglestad 19' F 6.90

O. Visted M

R. Alte M

R. Postema 28' F 6.20

S. Kvia-Egeskog 2 ⚽ 28' M 7.70

V. Vevatne 7' D

Aalesund 5-3-2

Luca Podlech G 8.00

U. Charles 1 ⚽ D 7.30

Ó. Guðmundsson D 6.90

D. Mbacke D 6.50

M. Andresen D 6.90

K. Nessø D 6.60

Hakon Butli Hammer 47' M 6.60

E. Hagen M 6.90

M. Christensen M 6.30

E. Osenbroch 1 👟 81' F 7.20

H. M. Reed F 6.20

Bench

Davíð Snær Jóhannsson 43' M 6.20

E. Engqvist D

E. Myrlid 9' F 6.30

J. Ørsahl D

Philip Storås G

S. Haram D

T. Larsen G

U. Syversen D

Best on the pitch

Z. Tripić

M · Viking

8.60

1 👟

· 30 pass

Luca Podlech

G · Aalesund

8.00

· 42 pass

P. Christiansen

F · Viking

7.90

6 shots · 13 pass

S. Kvia-Egeskog

M · Viking

7.70

2 ⚽

1 shots · 9 pass

K. Askildsen

M · Viking

7.70

· 47 pass

U. Charles

D · Aalesund

7.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 23 pass

Viking — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Ľ. Belko	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	50	34%	—	—	—
Vetle Auklend	D	83	7.20	—	—	—	48	35%	1	—	—
J. Daland	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	57	50%	2	—	—
G. Stensness	D	90	6.60	—	—	2	56	46%	2	—	—
H. Haugen	D	71	6.50	—	—	—	24	20%	1	—	—
J. Bell	M	62	7.00	—	—	1	37	34%	1	—	—
Amin Cosic	M	62	7.00	—	—	1	12	11%	1	—	—
K. Askildsen	M	90	7.70	—	—	—	47	37%	1	—	—
T. Moi	M	83	6.70	—	—	3	24	20%	1	—	—
Z. Tripić	M	90	8.60	—	1	—	30	19%	—	—	—
P. Christiansen	F	90	7.90	—	—	6	13	9%	—	—	—
H. Heggheim	D	7	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
N. Fuglestad	F	19	6.90	—	—	—	7	4%	2	—	—
R. Postema	F	28	6.20	—	—	3	1	—	—	—	—
S. Kvia-Egeskog	M	28	7.70	2	—	1	9	7%	—	—	—
V. Vevatne	D	7	—	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—

Aalesund — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Luca Podlech	G	90	8.00	—	—	—	42	16%	—	—	—
U. Charles	D	90	7.30	1	—	3	23	19%	1	—	—
Ó. Guðmundsson	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	34	25%	1	1	—
D. Mbacke	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	33	26%	—	—	—
M. Andresen	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	42	38%	1	—	—
K. Nessø	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	20	14%	1	—	—
Hakon Butli Hammer	M	47	6.60	—	—	—	13	12%	—	—	—
E. Hagen	M	90	6.90	—	—	2	33	28%	1	—	—
M. Christensen	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	49	43%	1	1	—
E. Osenbroch	F	81	7.20	—	1	—	21	20%	—	—	—
H. M. Reed	F	90	6.20	—	—	—	22	17%	—	1	—
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson	M	43	6.20	—	—	3	12	7%	—	1	—
E. Myrlid	F	9	6.30	—	—	—	6	5%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Viking vs Aalesund?

The final score was Viking 2–1 Aalesund.

What did the model predict before Viking vs Aalesund?

The model assigned 81% probability to a Viking win, 10% to a draw, and 8% to an Aalesund win.