Viking 3–3 Bayern München — pre-match prediction — Champions League — October 13, 2026

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Champions League · League Stage - 2 October 13, 2026 21:00 Lyse Arena, Stavanger

Viking

#33 · 1 pts

3 – 3

Final score

Bayern München

#14 · 5 pts

Gianni Stensness (ast. Zlatko Tripić) 2'

Peter Christiansen (ast. Erik Botheim) 38'

Herman Haugen (ast. Zlatko Tripić) 90'

(pen.) 54' Harry Kane

60' (ast. Joshua Kimmich) Harry Kane

71' (ast. Konrad Laimer) Luis Díaz

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayern München a 46% win probability (draw 24%, Viking 29%). The final result was Viking 3–3 Bayern München.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.64

Actual xG

3.57

Saves

34%

Possession

66%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

⚽Gianni Stensness · ast. Zlatko Tripić

⚽Peter Christiansen · ast. Erik Botheim

38'

45'

Alphonso Davies / Nathaniel Brown ↕

45'

Dayot Upamecano / Jonathan Tah ↕

45'

Ismael Saibari / Lennart Karl ↕

52'

Konrad Laimer

52'

Kristoffer Haugen

53'

54'

(pen.) Harry Kane⚽

↕ Kristoffer Haugen / Jesper Daland

59'

60'

ast. Joshua Kimmich · Harry Kane⚽

Jesper Daland

67'

68'

Ismael Saibari

71'

ast. Konrad Laimer · Luis Díaz⚽

↕ Henrik Bjørdal / Herman Haugen

72'

73'

Michael Olise

73'

Michael Olise

76'

Josip Stanišić / Luis Díaz ↕

83'

Hiroki Ito / Ismael Saibari ↕

↕ Joe Bell / Simen Kvia Egeskog

85'

↕ Henrik Heggheim / Viljar Helland Vevatne

85'

↕ Erik Botheim / Tobias Moi

85'

⚽Herman Haugen · ast. Zlatko Tripić

90'

Pre-match prediction

29.7%

Viking

24.27%

X ←

46.03%

Bayern

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.27% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Viking

1.15

0.64

-0.51

Bayern

1.14

3.57

+2.43

Bayern München dominated by xG (3.57 vs 0.64). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	3	9
2	Aston Villa	3	9
3	Liverpool	3	9
4	Real Madrid	3	9
5	Real Betis	3	9
6	VfB Stuttgart	3	7
7	Arsenal	3	7
8	Barcelona	3	6
9	Como	3	6
10	Manchester City	3	6
11	Club Brugge KV	3	6
12	Sporting CP	3	6
13	Borussia Dortmund	3	6
14	Bayern München	3	5
15	AS Roma	3	4
16	Atletico Madrid	3	4
17	Shakhtar Donetsk	3	4
18	PSV Eindhoven	3	4
19	Villarreal	3	3
20	Inter	3	3
21	Manchester United	3	3
22	Napoli	3	3
23	Galatasaray	3	3
24	Lask Linz	3	3
25	Sabah FA	3	3
26	Feyenoord	3	3
27	Lens	3	3
28	Bodo/Glimt	3	3
29	AEK Athens FC	3	3
30	RB Leipzig	3	3
31	Fenerbahçe	3	2
32	Slavia Praha	3	1
33	Viking	3	1
34	FC Porto	3	0
35	Lille	3	0
36	Slovan Bratislava	3	0

Lineups

Viking 4-3-3

A. Østbø G 6.53

K. Haugen 59' D 6.22

H. Falchener D 6.03

G. Stensness 1 ⚽ D 7.11

H. Heggheim 85' D 6.36

K. Askildsen M 6.39

J. Bell 85' M 6.01

H. Bjørdal 72' M 6.35

Z. Tripić 2 👟 F 7.28

E. Botheim 1 👟 85' F 6.91

P. Christiansen 1 ⚽ F 8.08

Bench

A. Cosic F 0.00

E. Bassey D 0.00

H. Haugen 1 ⚽ 18' D 7.73

J. Daland 31' D 5.81

J. Hansen M 0.00

Ľ. Belko G 0.00

N. Fuglestad F 0.00

R. Postema F 0.00

S. Kvia-Egeskog 5' M 5.58

T. Moi 5' M 5.90

Vetle Auklend D 0.00

V. Vevatne 5' D 6.12

Bayern München 4-2-3-1

J. Urbig G 6.40

N. Brown 45' D 6.07

Kim Min-Jae D 6.21

J. Tah 45' D 6.31

K. Laimer 1 👟 D 6.25

T. Bischof M 6.60

J. Kimmich 1 👟 M 7.70

L. Díaz 1 ⚽ 76' M 6.99

L. Karl 45' M 5.83

M. Olise 73' M 6.59

H. Kane 2 ⚽ F 8.20

Bench

A. Davies 45' D 6.14

A. Pavlović M 0.00

Bara Ndiaye M 0.00

D. Podar-Stiube G 0.00

D. Upamecano 45' D 5.94

H. Ito 7' D 5.84

I. Saibari 38' M 5.59

J. Stanišić 14' D 5.94

M. Neuer G 0.00

S. Boey D 0.00

S. Gnabry F 0.00

S. Ulreich G 0.00

Best on the pitch

H. Kane

F · Bayern

8.20

2 ⚽

5 shots · 18 pass

P. Christiansen

F · Viking

8.08

1 ⚽

2 shots · 15 pass

H. Haugen

D · Viking

7.73

1 ⚽

1 shots · 7 pass

J. Kimmich

M · Bayern

7.70

1 👟

1 shots · 90 pass

Z. Tripić

F · Viking

7.28

2 👟

· 31 pass

G. Stensness

D · Viking

7.11

1 ⚽

1 shots · 40 pass

Viking — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Østbø	G	90	6.53	—	—	0	34	13%	0	—	—
K. Haugen	D	59	6.22	—	—	0	13	8%	5	1	—
H. Falchener	D	90	6.03	—	—	0	27	26%	1	—	—
G. Stensness	D	90	7.11	1	—	1	40	32%	2	—	—
H. Heggheim	D	85	6.36	—	—	1	12	7%	0	—	—
K. Askildsen	M	90	6.39	—	—	2	25	15%	5	—	—
J. Bell	M	85	6.01	—	—	0	18	13%	2	—	—
H. Bjørdal	M	72	6.35	—	—	0	16	13%	2	—	—
Z. Tripić	F	90	7.28	—	2	0	31	25%	0	—	—
E. Botheim	F	85	6.91	—	1	1	17	13%	0	—	—
P. Christiansen	F	90	8.08	1	—	2	15	12%	3	—	—
H. Haugen	D	18	7.73	1	—	1	7	7%	0	—	—
J. Daland	D	31	5.81	—	—	0	19	18%	4	1	—
S. Kvia-Egeskog	M	5	5.58	—	—	0	6	4%	0	—	—
T. Moi	M	5	5.90	—	—	0	4	4%	1	—	—
V. Vevatne	D	5	6.12	—	—	0	0	0%	1	—	—

Bayern München — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Urbig	G	90	6.40	—	—	0	28	21%	0	—	—
N. Brown	D	45	6.07	—	—	0	21	20%	0	—	—
Kim Min-Jae	D	90	6.21	—	—	0	62	54%	2	—	—
J. Tah	D	45	6.31	—	—	1	37	35%	0	—	—
K. Laimer	D	90	6.25	—	1	2	60	54%	1	1	—
T. Bischof	M	90	6.60	—	—	4	65	59%	2	—	—
J. Kimmich	M	90	7.70	—	1	1	90	83%	1	—	—
L. Díaz	M	76	6.99	1	—	3	31	23%	0	—	—
L. Karl	M	45	5.83	—	—	2	18	16%	0	—	—
M. Olise	M	73	6.59	—	—	3	55	51%	0	—	1
H. Kane	F	90	8.20	2	—	5	18	15%	0	—	—
A. Davies	D	45	6.14	—	—	0	11	10%	0	—	—
D. Upamecano	D	45	5.94	—	—	1	26	24%	1	—	—
H. Ito	D	7	5.84	—	—	1	3	2%	0	—	—
I. Saibari	M	38	5.59	—	—	2	6	6%	1	1	—
J. Stanišić	D	14	5.94	—	—	0	3	1%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Viking vs Bayern München?

The final score was Viking 3–3 Bayern München.

What did the model predict before Viking vs Bayern München?

The model assigned 29% probability to a Viking win, 24% to a draw, and 46% to an Bayern München win.