Viking 3–2 Fredrikstad — pre-match prediction — Eliteserien — October 17, 2026

← Eliteserien

Eliteserien · Regular Season - 24 October 17, 2026 18:00 Lyse Arena, Stavanger

Viking

#1 · 59 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Fredrikstad

#11 · 29 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Viking

Simen Kvia Egeskog (ast. Peter Christiansen) 7'

Peter Christiansen (ast. Simen Kvia Egeskog) 56'

Peter Christiansen (ast. Vetle Auklend) 57'

27' (ast. Gabriel Wesseh) Bryan Fiabema

40' (ast. Daniel Eid) Gabriel Wesseh

Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Viking a 71% win probability (draw 14%, Fredrikstad 14%). The final result was Viking 3–2 Fredrikstad. In 1 previous meetings, Viking have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Fredrikstad.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.79

Actual xG

0.48

Saves

43%

Possession

57%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽Simen Kvia Egeskog · ast. Peter Christiansen

27'

ast. Gabriel Wesseh · Bryan Fiabema⚽

Joe Bell

36'

40'

ast. Daniel Eid · Gabriel Wesseh⚽

↕ Niklas Fuglestad / Zlatko Tripić

45'

↕ Joe Bell / Henrik Bjørdal

45'

Vetle Auklend

46'

⚽Peter Christiansen · ast. Simen Kvia Egeskog

56'

⚽Peter Christiansen · ast. Vetle Auklend

57'

↕ Henrik Falchener / Jesper Daland

58'

Henrik Langaas Skogvold / jakub jezierski ↕

66'

Sondre Sørløkk

66'

Fanuel Ghebreyohannes / Gabriel Wesseh ↕

↕ Vetle Auklend / Herman Haugen

70'

74'

Daniel Eid

80'

Leonard Owusu / Solomon Owusu ↕

80'

Johannes Andres Hummelvoll-Nunez / Samuel Holm ↕

80'

Benjamin Thoresen Faraas / Sondre Sørløkk ↕

↕ Peter Christiansen / Jakob Segadal Hansen

89'

Erik Botheim

90'+3

Pre-match prediction

71.14%

Viking ←

14.73%

14.13%

Fredrikstad

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Viking) 71.14% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Viking

2.81

1.79

-1.02

Fredrikstad

1.14

0.48

-0.66

Viking dominated by xG (1.79 vs 0.48). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Viking	24	59
2	Bodo/Glimt	24	56
3	Molde	24	43
4	Rosenborg	24	40
5	Tromso	24	40
6	Lillestrom	24	39
7	Sarpsborg 08 FF	24	31
8	KFUM Oslo	24	30
9	Brann	24	29
10	Valerenga	24	29
11	Fredrikstad	24	29
12	Ham-Kam	24	26
13	Sandefjord	24	24
14	Aalesund	24	24
15	Kristiansund BK	24	20
16	Start	24	19

Lineups

Viking 4-3-3

A. Østbø G 5.84

Vetle Auklend 1 👟 70' D 6.17

H. Falchener 58' D 6.53

G. Stensness D 6.11

H. Heggheim D 6.39

S. Kvia-Egeskog 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.68

J. Bell 45' M 6.07

T. Moi M 6.27

P. Christiansen 2 ⚽ 1 👟 89' F 9.67

E. Botheim F 6.36

N. Fuglestad 45' F 6.62

Bench

A. Cosic F 0.00

E. Bassey D 0.00

H. Bjørdal 45' M 6.98

H. Haugen 20' D 5.71

J. Daland 32' D 5.90

J. Hansen 1' M 6.05

Ľ. Belko G 0.00

R. Postema F 0.00

Z. Tripić 45' F 6.84

Fredrikstad 3-4-3

M. Børsheim G 5.62

S. Owusu 80' D 6.51

F. Holmé D 6.37

I. Amundsen D 6.32

S. Sørløkk 80' M 5.48

J. Jezierski 58' M 6.04

S. Leach Holm 80' M 6.57

D. Eid 1 👟 M 6.25

L. West F 6.37

B. Fiabema 1 ⚽ F 7.42

G. Wesseh 1 ⚽ 1 👟 66' F 8.28

Bench

B. Thoresen 10' F 6.26

F. Ghebreyohannes 24' D 5.87

H. Skogvold 32' F 6.12

J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez 10' F 6.67

J. Torkildsen G 0.00

L. Owusu 10' M 5.83

S. Laghzaoui M 0.00

S. Rafn D 0.00

U. Fredriksen D 0.00

Best on the pitch

P. Christiansen

F · Viking

9.67

2 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 13 pass

G. Wesseh

F · Fredrikstad

8.28

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 22 pass

S. Kvia-Egeskog

M · Viking

7.68

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 34 pass

B. Fiabema

F · Fredrikstad

7.42

1 ⚽

2 shots · 26 pass

H. Bjørdal

M · Viking

6.98

2 shots · 25 pass

Z. Tripić

F · Viking

6.84

1 shots · 23 pass

Viking — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Østbø	G	90	5.84	—	—	0	41	22%	0	—	—
Vetle Auklend	D	70	6.17	—	1	0	28	23%	0	1	—
H. Falchener	D	58	6.53	—	—	1	36	36%	1	—	—
G. Stensness	D	90	6.11	—	—	0	61	48%	0	—	—
H. Heggheim	D	90	6.39	—	—	0	35	28%	2	—	—
S. Kvia-Egeskog	M	90	7.68	1	1	1	34	26%	1	—	—
J. Bell	M	45	6.07	—	—	0	33	29%	0	1	—
T. Moi	M	90	6.27	—	—	0	44	40%	1	—	—
P. Christiansen	F	89	9.67	2	1	2	13	6%	3	—	—
E. Botheim	F	90	6.36	—	—	4	15	12%	0	1	—
N. Fuglestad	F	45	6.62	—	—	0	17	12%	0	—	—
H. Bjørdal	M	45	6.98	—	—	2	25	23%	2	—	—
H. Haugen	D	20	5.71	—	—	0	12	10%	0	—	—
J. Daland	D	32	5.90	—	—	0	15	10%	0	—	—
J. Hansen	M	1	6.05	—	—	1	0	0%	0	—	—
Z. Tripić	F	45	6.84	—	—	1	23	21%	0	—	—

Fredrikstad — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Børsheim	G	90	5.62	—	—	0	39	25%	0	—	—
S. Owusu	D	80	6.51	—	—	1	48	42%	1	—	—
F. Holmé	D	90	6.37	—	—	0	87	76%	0	—	—
I. Amundsen	D	90	6.32	—	—	0	87	78%	0	—	—
S. Sørløkk	M	80	5.48	—	—	0	27	20%	0	1	—
J. Jezierski	M	58	6.04	—	—	0	47	40%	0	—	—
S. Leach Holm	M	80	6.57	—	—	0	73	69%	2	—	—
D. Eid	M	90	6.25	—	1	0	56	46%	0	1	—
L. West	F	90	6.37	—	—	3	33	30%	1	—	—
B. Fiabema	F	90	7.42	1	—	2	26	25%	0	—	—
G. Wesseh	F	66	8.28	1	1	2	22	20%	1	—	—
B. Thoresen	F	10	6.26	—	—	0	4	2%	0	—	—
F. Ghebreyohannes	D	24	5.87	—	—	0	16	14%	2	—	—
H. Skogvold	F	32	6.12	—	—	0	9	6%	2	—	—
J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez	F	10	6.67	—	—	0	8	5%	0	—	—
L. Owusu	M	10	5.83	—	—	0	14	14%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Viking vs Fredrikstad?

The final score was Viking 3–2 Fredrikstad.

What did the model predict before Viking vs Fredrikstad?

The model assigned 71% probability to a Viking win, 14% to a draw, and 14% to an Fredrikstad win.