Viking 2–1 Sandefjord — pre-match prediction — Eliteserien — July 18, 2026

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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 14 July 18, 2026 18:00 Lyse Arena, Stavanger

Viking

#2 · 44 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Sandefjord

#12 · 20 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Viking

Z. Tripic 9' (pen.)

E. Austbo 79'

54' E. Patoulidis

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Viking a 67% win probability (draw 17%, Sandefjord 15%). The final result was Viking 2–1 Sandefjord. In 1 previous meetings, Viking have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Sandefjord.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.10

Actual xG

0.38

Saves

45%

Possession

55%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽Z. Tripic (pen.)

K. Askildsen

45'+3

45'+4

M. Melchior

↕ H. Falchener / A. Baertelsen

46'

54'

E. Patoulidis⚽

↕ N. Fuglestad / E. Austbo

58'

Z. Tripic

61'

66'

B. Berntsen

67'

J. Dunsby / B. Berntsen ↕

68'

S. Mathisen / N. Moller ↕

75'

S. Mathisen

↕ K. Askildsen / O. Visted

75'

↕ T. Moi / J. Bell

75'

⚽E. Austbo

79'

E. Austbo

80'

M. Sauer / E. Patoulidis ↕

88'

R. Holten / F. Pedersen ↕

↕ Z. Tripic / H. J. Haugen

90'

Pre-match prediction

67.22%

Viking ←

17.51%

15.27%

Sandefjord

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Viking) 67.22% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Viking

3.04

2.10

-0.94

Sandefjord

0.95

0.38

-0.57

Viking dominated by xG (2.10 vs 0.38). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	19	47
2	Viking	19	44
3	Tromso	19	35
4	Molde	19	33
5	Lillestrom	20	32
6	Rosenborg	19	27
7	Brann	19	26
8	Fredrikstad	19	26
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	19	24
10	Ham-Kam	19	23
11	Valerenga	20	22
12	Sandefjord	19	20
13	Kristiansund BK	19	19
14	KFUM Oslo	19	19
15	Aalesund	19	18
16	Start	19	13

Lineups

Viking 4-1-4-1

Ľ. Belko G 6.60

K. Haugen D 6.70

H. Falchener 45' D 6.90

G. Stensness D 7.20

H. Heggheim D 7.20

T. Moi 75' M 6.30

Z. Tripić 1 ⚽ M 7.90

S. Kvia-Egeskog M 7.30

K. Askildsen 75' M 7.30

N. Fuglestad 59' M 6.90

P. Christiansen F 6.90

Bench

Anders Baertelsen 48' D 6.70

A. Østbø G

E. Austbö 1 ⚽ 34' F 7.50

H. Haugen 2' D

J. Bell 18' M 6.70

O. Visted 18' M 6.70

R. Postema F

Sondre Flem Bjørshol D

Vetle Auklend D

Sandefjord 4-1-4-1

E. Hadaya G 6.90

V. Egeli D 6.20

S. Kristiansen D 7.00

X. Lambrix D 6.30

F. Pedersen 89' D 6.90

S. Mørk M 6.90

Bendik Berntsen 68' M 6.50

Marcus Melchior M 6.30

E. Pettersen M 7.00

E. Patoulidis 1 ⚽ 80' M 7.20

Nikolaj Möller 68' F 6.90

Bench

A. Grønneberg G

Daniel Skaarud F

Devon Koswal D

Jakob Maslo Dunsby 25' F 6.50

Mathias Sauer 13' M 6.70

M. Hellan D

R. Holten 4' D

Sebastian Holm Mathisen 25' F 6.50

Best on the pitch

Z. Tripić

M · Viking

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 29 pass

E. Austbö

F · Viking

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 15 pass

S. Kvia-Egeskog

M · Viking

7.30

2 shots · 19 pass

K. Askildsen

M · Viking

7.30

2 shots · 24 pass

G. Stensness

D · Viking

7.20

4 shots · 48 pass

H. Heggheim

D · Viking

7.20

1 shots · 33 pass

Viking — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Ľ. Belko	G	93	6.60	—	—	—	42	26%	—	—	—
K. Haugen	D	93	6.70	—	—	—	40	30%	1	—	—
H. Falchener	D	45	6.90	—	—	—	28	24%	—	—	—
G. Stensness	D	93	7.20	—	—	4	48	43%	1	—	—
H. Heggheim	D	93	7.20	—	—	1	33	23%	3	—	—
T. Moi	M	75	6.30	—	—	—	22	16%	1	—	—
Z. Tripić	M	91	7.90	1	—	2	29	20%	1	1	—
S. Kvia-Egeskog	M	93	7.30	—	—	2	19	16%	3	—	—
K. Askildsen	M	75	7.30	—	—	2	24	18%	3	1	—
N. Fuglestad	M	59	6.90	—	—	1	21	16%	—	—	—
P. Christiansen	F	93	6.90	—	—	—	14	10%	2	—	—
Anders Baertelsen	D	48	6.70	—	—	—	32	26%	—	—	—
E. Austbö	F	34	7.50	1	—	1	15	15%	—	1	—
H. Haugen	D	2	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
J. Bell	M	18	6.70	—	—	—	14	13%	—	—	—
O. Visted	M	18	6.70	—	—	—	8	6%	1	—	—

Sandefjord — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
E. Hadaya	G	93	6.90	—	—	—	56	43%	—	—	—
V. Egeli	D	93	6.20	—	—	1	34	27%	2	—	—
S. Kristiansen	D	93	7.00	—	—	—	89	71%	—	—	—
X. Lambrix	D	93	6.30	—	—	—	73	64%	—	—	—
F. Pedersen	D	89	6.90	—	—	—	36	32%	1	—	—
S. Mørk	M	93	6.90	—	—	1	79	64%	1	—	—
Bendik Berntsen	M	68	6.50	—	—	—	9	7%	1	1	—
Marcus Melchior	M	93	6.30	—	—	—	27	19%	2	1	—
E. Pettersen	M	93	7.00	—	—	—	33	26%	2	—	—
E. Patoulidis	M	80	7.20	1	—	2	20	19%	—	—	—
Nikolaj Möller	F	68	6.90	—	—	1	8	4%	1	—	—
Jakob Maslo Dunsby	F	25	6.50	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—
Mathias Sauer	M	13	6.70	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
R. Holten	D	4	—	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—
Sebastian Holm Mathisen	F	25	6.50	—	—	—	5	2%	—	1	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Viking vs Sandefjord?

The final score was Viking 2–1 Sandefjord.

What did the model predict before Viking vs Sandefjord?

The model assigned 67% probability to a Viking win, 17% to a draw, and 15% to an Sandefjord win.