Viking 2–1 Sandefjord — pre-match prediction — Eliteserien — July 18, 2026

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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 14 July 18, 2026 18:00 Lyse Arena, Stavanger

Viking

#1 · 59 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Sandefjord

#13 · 24 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Viking

Z. Tripic 9' (pen.)

E. Austbo 79'

54' E. Patoulidis

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Viking a 67% win probability (draw 17%, Sandefjord 15%). The final result was Viking 2–1 Sandefjord. In 1 previous meetings, Viking have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Sandefjord.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.10

Actual xG

0.38

Saves

45%

Possession

55%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽Z. Tripic (pen.)

K. Askildsen

45'+3

45'+4

M. Melchior

↕ H. Falchener / A. Baertelsen

46'

54'

E. Patoulidis⚽

↕ N. Fuglestad / E. Austbo

58'

Z. Tripic

61'

66'

B. Berntsen

67'

J. Dunsby / B. Berntsen ↕

68'

S. Mathisen / N. Moller ↕

75'

S. Mathisen

↕ K. Askildsen / O. Visted

75'

↕ T. Moi / J. Bell

75'

⚽E. Austbo

79'

E. Austbo

80'

M. Sauer / E. Patoulidis ↕

88'

R. Holten / F. Pedersen ↕

↕ Z. Tripic / H. J. Haugen

90'

Pre-match prediction

67.22%

Viking ←

17.51%

15.27%

Sandefjord

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Viking) 67.22% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Viking

3.04

2.10

-0.94

Sandefjord

0.95

0.38

-0.57

Viking dominated by xG (2.10 vs 0.38). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Viking	24	59
2	Bodo/Glimt	24	56
3	Molde	24	43
4	Rosenborg	24	40
5	Tromso	24	40
6	Lillestrom	24	39
7	Sarpsborg 08 FF	24	31
8	KFUM Oslo	24	30
9	Brann	24	29
10	Valerenga	24	29
11	Fredrikstad	24	29
12	Ham-Kam	24	26
13	Sandefjord	24	24
14	Aalesund	24	24
15	Kristiansund BK	24	20
16	Start	24	19

Lineups

Viking 4-1-4-1

Ľ. Belko G 6.60

K. Haugen D 6.70

H. Falchener 45' D 6.90

G. Stensness D 7.20

H. Heggheim D 7.20

T. Moi 75' M 6.30

Z. Tripić 1 ⚽ M 7.90

S. Kvia-Egeskog M 7.30

K. Askildsen 75' M 7.30

N. Fuglestad 59' M 6.90

P. Christiansen F 6.90

Bench

Anders Baertelsen 48' D 6.70

A. Østbø G

E. Austbö 1 ⚽ 34' F 7.50

H. Haugen 2' D

J. Bell 18' M 6.70

O. Visted 18' M 6.70

R. Postema F

Sondre Flem Bjørshol D

Vetle Auklend D

Sandefjord 4-1-4-1

E. Hadaya G 6.90

V. Egeli D 6.20

S. Kristiansen D 7.00

X. Lambrix D 6.30

F. Pedersen 89' D 6.90

S. Mørk M 6.90

Bendik Berntsen 68' M 6.50

Marcus Melchior M 6.30

E. Pettersen M 7.00

E. Patoulidis 1 ⚽ 80' M 7.20

Nikolaj Möller 68' F 6.90

Bench

A. Grønneberg G

Devon Koswal D

D. Skaarud F

Jakob Maslo Dunsby 25' F 6.50

M. Hellan D

M. Sauer 13' M 6.70

R. Holten 4' D

Sebastian Holm Mathisen 25' F 6.50

Best on the pitch

Z. Tripić

M · Viking

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 29 pass

E. Austbö

F · Viking

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 15 pass

S. Kvia-Egeskog

M · Viking

7.30

2 shots · 19 pass

K. Askildsen

M · Viking

7.30

2 shots · 24 pass

G. Stensness

D · Viking

7.20

4 shots · 48 pass

H. Heggheim

D · Viking

7.20

1 shots · 33 pass

Viking — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Ľ. Belko	G	93	6.60	—	—	—	42	26%	—	—	—
K. Haugen	D	93	6.70	—	—	—	40	30%	1	—	—
H. Falchener	D	45	6.90	—	—	—	28	24%	—	—	—
G. Stensness	D	93	7.20	—	—	4	48	43%	1	—	—
H. Heggheim	D	93	7.20	—	—	1	33	23%	3	—	—
T. Moi	M	75	6.30	—	—	—	22	16%	1	—	—
Z. Tripić	M	91	7.90	1	—	2	29	20%	1	1	—
S. Kvia-Egeskog	M	93	7.30	—	—	2	19	16%	3	—	—
K. Askildsen	M	75	7.30	—	—	2	24	18%	3	1	—
N. Fuglestad	M	59	6.90	—	—	1	21	16%	—	—	—
P. Christiansen	F	93	6.90	—	—	—	14	10%	2	—	—
Anders Baertelsen	D	48	6.70	—	—	—	32	26%	—	—	—
E. Austbö	F	34	7.50	1	—	1	15	15%	—	1	—
H. Haugen	D	2	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
J. Bell	M	18	6.70	—	—	—	14	13%	—	—	—
O. Visted	M	18	6.70	—	—	—	8	6%	1	—	—

Sandefjord — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
E. Hadaya	G	93	6.90	—	—	—	56	43%	—	—	—
V. Egeli	D	93	6.20	—	—	1	34	27%	2	—	—
S. Kristiansen	D	93	7.00	—	—	—	89	71%	—	—	—
X. Lambrix	D	93	6.30	—	—	—	73	64%	—	—	—
F. Pedersen	D	89	6.90	—	—	—	36	32%	1	—	—
S. Mørk	M	93	6.90	—	—	1	79	64%	1	—	—
Bendik Berntsen	M	68	6.50	—	—	—	9	7%	1	1	—
Marcus Melchior	M	93	6.30	—	—	—	27	19%	2	1	—
E. Pettersen	M	93	7.00	—	—	—	33	26%	2	—	—
E. Patoulidis	M	80	7.20	1	—	2	20	19%	—	—	—
Nikolaj Möller	F	68	6.90	—	—	1	8	4%	1	—	—
Jakob Maslo Dunsby	F	25	6.50	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—
M. Sauer	M	13	6.70	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
R. Holten	D	4	—	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—
Sebastian Holm Mathisen	F	25	6.50	—	—	—	5	2%	—	1	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Viking vs Sandefjord?

The final score was Viking 2–1 Sandefjord.

What did the model predict before Viking vs Sandefjord?

The model assigned 67% probability to a Viking win, 17% to a draw, and 15% to an Sandefjord win.