Viking 3–1 Tromso — pre-match prediction — Eliteserien — October 25, 2026

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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 12 October 25, 2026 14:30 Lyse Arena, Stavanger

Viking

#1 · 59 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Tromso

#5 · 40 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Viking

Peter Christiansen 18'

Henrik Heggheim (ast. Kristoffer Haugen) 31'

Erik Botheim (ast. Kristoffer Haugen) 45'+2

90'+3 (ast. David Edvardsson) Jesper Andreas Grundt

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Viking a 67% win probability (draw 15%, Tromso 16%). The final result was Viking 3–1 Tromso. In 1 previous meetings, Viking have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Tromso.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.16

Actual xG

1.25

Saves

41%

Possession

59%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

Joe Bell

11'

Lars Olden Larsen / Troy Engseth Nyhammer ↕

Gianni Stensness

12'

⚽Peter Christiansen

18'

⚽Henrik Heggheim · ast. Kristoffer Haugen

31'

⚽Erik Botheim · ast. Kristoffer Haugen

45'+2

↕ Gianni Stensness / Jesper Daland

45'

↕ Joe Bell / Tobias Moi

45'

Isak·Dahlqvist / Sander Håvik Innvær ↕

53'

Isak·Dahlqvist

59'

Ruben Jenssen

68'

Vince Osuji / Casper Oyvann ↕

68'

Jesper Andreas Grundt / Morten Bjorlo ↕

68'

Daniel Braut / Heine Asen Larsen ↕

Henrik Bjørdal

69'

↕ Peter Christiansen / Amin Cosic

74'

↕ Henrik Falchener / Herman Haugen

74'

↕ Erik Botheim / Romano Postema

80'

90'+3

ast. David Edvardsson · Jesper Andreas Grundt⚽

Pre-match prediction

67.65%

Viking ←

15.83%

16.51%

Tromso

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Viking) 67.65% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Viking

2.91

1.16

-1.75

Tromso

1.30

1.25

-0.05

xG dominance was balanced (1.16 – 1.25). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Viking	24	59
2	Bodo/Glimt	24	56
3	Molde	24	43
4	Rosenborg	24	40
5	Tromso	24	40
6	Lillestrom	24	39
7	Sarpsborg 08 FF	24	31
8	KFUM Oslo	24	30
9	Brann	24	29
10	Valerenga	24	29
11	Fredrikstad	24	29
12	Ham-Kam	24	26
13	Sandefjord	24	24
14	Aalesund	24	24
15	Kristiansund BK	24	20
16	Start	24	19

Lineups

Viking 4-3-3

A. Østbø G 6.60

K. Haugen 2 👟 D 8.24

H. Falchener 74' D 7.73

G. Stensness 45' D 6.74

H. Heggheim 1 ⚽ D 8.02

S. Kvia-Egeskog M 6.83

J. Bell 45' M 6.93

H. Bjørdal M 6.37

Z. Tripić F 6.08

E. Botheim 1 ⚽ 80' F 7.69

P. Christiansen 1 ⚽ 74' F 7.88

Bench

A. Cosic 16' F 6.52

H. Haugen 16' D 6.96

J. Daland 45' D 7.27

J. Hansen M 0.00

Ľ. Belko G 0.00

N. Fuglestad F 0.00

R. Postema 10' F 6.46

T. Moi 45' M 7.20

Vetle Auklend D 0.00

Tromso 5-3-2

J. Haugaard G 5.77

A. Warneryd D 6.71

I. Vådebu D 6.13

C. Øyvann 68' D 6.41

V. Skjærvik D 6.70

S. Innvær 45' D 5.98

M. Bjørlo 68' M 5.24

R. Jenssen M 6.99

D. Edvardsson 1 👟 M 6.25

H. Larsen 68' F 6.57

T. Nyhammer 11' F 6.31

Bench

D. Braut 22' F 6.45

I. Dahlqvist 45' M 5.91

J. Grundt 1 ⚽ 22' M 5.93

L. Olden Larsen 79' F 6.47

M. Jatta D 0.00

Nicolai Arun Jacobsen F 0.00

O. Lauvli G 0.00

V. Osuji 22' D 6.32

Best on the pitch

K. Haugen

D · Viking

8.24

2 👟

· 50 pass

H. Heggheim

D · Viking

8.02

1 ⚽

1 shots · 38 pass

P. Christiansen

F · Viking

7.88

1 ⚽

2 shots · 8 pass

H. Falchener

D · Viking

7.73

1 shots · 39 pass

E. Botheim

F · Viking

7.69

1 ⚽

2 shots · 10 pass

J. Daland

D · Viking

7.27

· 28 pass

Viking — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Østbø	G	90	6.60	—	—	0	42	23%	0	—	—
K. Haugen	D	90	8.24	—	2	0	50	37%	0	—	—
H. Falchener	D	74	7.73	—	—	1	39	37%	3	—	—
G. Stensness	D	45	6.74	—	—	0	30	25%	2	1	—
H. Heggheim	D	90	8.02	1	—	1	38	30%	2	—	—
S. Kvia-Egeskog	M	90	6.83	—	—	1	21	19%	1	—	—
J. Bell	M	45	6.93	—	—	0	25	22%	1	1	—
H. Bjørdal	M	90	6.37	—	—	0	34	26%	1	1	—
Z. Tripić	F	90	6.08	—	—	0	40	29%	1	—	—
E. Botheim	F	80	7.69	1	—	2	10	9%	0	—	—
P. Christiansen	F	74	7.88	1	—	2	8	5%	1	—	—
A. Cosic	F	16	6.52	—	—	1	5	4%	0	—	—
H. Haugen	D	16	6.96	—	—	0	13	9%	0	—	—
J. Daland	D	45	7.27	—	—	0	28	27%	0	—	—
R. Postema	F	10	6.46	—	—	0	1	1%	0	—	—
T. Moi	M	45	7.20	—	—	1	23	21%	1	—	—

Tromso — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Haugaard	G	90	5.77	—	—	0	56	41%	0	—	—
A. Warneryd	D	90	6.71	—	—	2	36	30%	1	—	—
I. Vådebu	D	90	6.13	—	—	0	71	67%	1	—	—
C. Øyvann	D	68	6.41	—	—	0	50	44%	1	—	—
V. Skjærvik	D	90	6.70	—	—	1	76	70%	0	—	—
S. Innvær	D	45	5.98	—	—	1	11	9%	1	—	—
M. Bjørlo	M	68	5.24	—	—	3	26	16%	2	—	—
R. Jenssen	M	90	6.99	—	—	2	84	76%	1	1	—
D. Edvardsson	M	90	6.25	—	1	2	77	71%	2	—	—
H. Larsen	F	68	6.57	—	—	0	11	9%	0	—	—
T. Nyhammer	F	11	6.31	—	—	0	2	2%	0	—	—
D. Braut	F	22	6.45	—	—	0	6	4%	1	—	—
I. Dahlqvist	M	45	5.91	—	—	3	16	15%	1	1	—
J. Grundt	M	22	5.93	1	—	2	15	12%	0	—	—
L. Olden Larsen	F	79	6.47	—	—	3	39	37%	0	—	—
V. Osuji	D	22	6.32	—	—	0	27	24%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Viking vs Tromso?

The final score was Viking 3–1 Tromso.

What did the model predict before Viking vs Tromso?

The model assigned 67% probability to a Viking win, 15% to a draw, and 16% to an Tromso win.