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Vikingur Reykjavik - FC Thun

Europa League August 13, 2026 19:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
55.62%
Win
Vikingur Reykjavik
22.82%
Draw
21.56%
Win
FC Thun
3.08
Expected xG
1.48
Most likely outcome
Vikingur Reykjavik
55.62%
Probability
20.0%
1X2 accuracy · 5 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.15%)
1X2 Result
1 56%
X 23%
2 22%
Double Chance
1X 78%
X2 44%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 72%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Vikingur Reykjavik a 55% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 21% for FC Thun. Expected goals are 3.1 for Vikingur Reykjavik and 1.5 for FC Thun (total 4.6), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.15% probability.

Season Stats

Vikingur Reykjavik
12W 1D 2L
FC Thun
5W 3D 7L
Averages per game
3.1
Goals
1.7
0.9
Conceded
1.9
2.0
Shots OT
4.7
4.0
Corners
5.9
38%
Poss.
44%
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
87%
73%
O 2.5
67%
53%
BTTS
80%
40%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Vikingur Reykjavik
9W 1D 0L · at home
FC Thun
4W 1D 5L · away
3.2
gls/g
1.6
0.7
Conceded
1.5
90%
Win %
40%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
90%
O 1.5
90%
70%
O 2.5
70%
60%
O 3.5
40%
50%
BTTS
70%
50%
Clean Sht
10%
0%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Score Matrix

↕ Vikingur Reykjavik FC Thun →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
1 3.2% 4.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
2 5.0% 7.4% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.1% 7.5% 5.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 3.9% 5.8% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
5 2.4% 3.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%

Recent form

No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 44%
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 15%

Playing profile

Vikingur Reykjavik Vikingur Reykjavik
Attack
50
Defence
67
Form
67
FC Thun FC Thun
Attack
46
Defence
47
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
The model gives Vikingur Reykjavik a 55% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 21% for an FC Thun win.
How many goals are expected in Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
Expected goals: Vikingur Reykjavik 3.1, FC Thun 1.5 (total 4.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.15%.