Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 7
May 05, 2026 00:00
Dellatorre
(ast. Marquinhos Gabriel)
70'
87'
Bruninho
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vila Nova a 43% win probability (draw 29%, Athletic Club 26%). The final result was Vila Nova 1–1 Athletic Club.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
2
5
Shots on target
2
1.59
Actual xG
1.04
1
Saves
4
68%
Possession
32%
9
Corners
1
11
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
23'
Douglas Pele
Hayner
45'+1
46'
Gabriel Moyses
/
Samuel Otusanya
53'
Ian Luccas
54'
Felipe Vieira
/
Max
Rafa Silva
/ Enzo Bizzotto
58'
Hayner
/ Dellatorre
58'
⚽Dellatorre
· ast. Marquinhos Gabriel
70'
71'
Pedro Oliveira
/
Jota
71'
Diogo Batista
/
Douglas Pele
78'
Bruninho
/
Zeca
79'
Felipe Vieira
Janderson
80'
Tiago Pagnussat
/ Pedro Romano
83'
Dudu
/ Elias
83'
87'
Bruninho⚽
88'
Bruninho
Pre-match prediction
43.9%
Vila
29.26%
X ←
26.84%
Athletic
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.26%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.88
1.59
-0.29
1.08
1.04
-0.03
Vila Nova dominated by xG (1.59 vs 1.04).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
6
Higor
D
Higor
D
14
D
3
Tiago Pagnussat
82'
D
Tiago Pagnussat
82'
D
22
Hayner
58'
D
Hayner
58'
D
5
João Vieira
M
João Vieira
M
15
Dudu
82'
M
Dudu
82'
M
99
Janderson
M
Janderson
M
10
Marquinhos Gabriel
1 👟
M
Marquinhos Gabriel
1 👟
M
11
Ryan Lima
M
Ryan Lima
M
9
Rafa Silva
58'
F
Rafa Silva
58'
F
Bench
38
Caio Marcelo
D
Caio Marcelo
D
49
Dellatorre
1 ⚽
38'
F
Dellatorre
1 ⚽
38'
F
2
Elias
14'
D
Elias
14'
D
4
Pedro Romano
14'
D
Pedro Romano
14'
D
13
Willian Formiga
D
Willian Formiga
D
8
Willian Maranhão
M
Willian Maranhão
M
1
G
6
Zeca
78'
D
Zeca
78'
D
4
Lucas Belezi
D
Lucas Belezi
D
3
Jhonatan
D
Jhonatan
D
2
Douglas Pele
71'
D
Douglas Pele
71'
D
5
Ian Luccas
53'
M
Ian Luccas
53'
M
16
M
15
Jota
71'
M
Jota
71'
M
11
Max
54'
F
Max
54'
F
9
Oluwasegun Samuel Otusanya
45'
F
Oluwasegun Samuel Otusanya
45'
F
17
Kauan Rodrigues
F
Kauan Rodrigues
F
Bench
7
Bruninho
1 ⚽
18'
F
Bruninho
1 ⚽
18'
F
22
Diogo Batista de Souza
25'
D
Diogo Batista de Souza
25'
D
21
D. Vera
F
D. Vera
F
8
Gian Cabezas
M
Gian Cabezas
M
10
Gustavinho
M
Gustavinho
M
Best on the pitch
G · Athletic
8.70
· 21 pass
Marquinhos Gabriel
M · Vila
7.90
1 👟
3 shots
· 43 pass
Dudu
M · Vila
7.50
· 37 pass
Lucas Belezi
D · Athletic
7.50
· 34 pass
Bruninho
F · Athletic
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 6 pass
Dellatorre
F · Vila
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 4 pass
Vila Nova — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Higor | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 81 | 69% | — | — | — |
| D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 77 | 72% | — | — | — | |
| Tiago Pagnussat | D | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Hayner | D | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| João Vieira | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 62 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Dudu | M | 82 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| Janderson | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 30% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Marquinhos Gabriel | M | 96 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 43 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Ryan Lima | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafa Silva | F | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Dellatorre | F | 38 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Elias | D | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Romano | D | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
Athletic Club — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Zeca | D | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| Lucas Belezi | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 5 | — | — |
| Jhonatan | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Douglas Pele | D | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Ian Luccas | M | 53 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | 2 | — | 1 |
| M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Jota | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Max | F | 54 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Oluwasegun Samuel Otusanya | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Kauan Rodrigues | F | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Bruninho | F | 18 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Diogo Batista de Souza | D | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Athletic Club?
The final score was Vila Nova 1–1 Athletic Club.
What did the model predict before Vila Nova vs Athletic Club?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Vila Nova win, 29% to a draw, and 26% to an Athletic Club win.