Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 9
May 17, 2026 23:00
Bruno Xavier
33'
Dudu
(ast. Marquinhos Gabriel)
45'+2
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vila Nova a 38% win probability (draw 32%, Avai 29%). The final result was Vila Nova 2–0 Avai.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
3
1.30
Actual xG
0.65
3
Saves
4
45%
Possession
55%
2
Corners
1
14
Tackles
21
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Bruno Xavier
33'
44'
Daniel Penha
⚽Dudu
· ast. Marquinhos Gabriel
45'+2
45'
DG
46'
Walace Franca
/
Thayllon
46'
Paulo Vitor
/
Jean Lucas
Willian Maranhao
57'
64'
Sorriso
/
Rafael Bilu
Bruno Xavier
/ Pedro Romano
79'
Pedro Romano
82'
82'
Wenderson
/
Ze Ricardo
83'
F. Avenatti
/
Luiz Henrique
Dellatorre
/ Andre Luis
88'
Ryan
/ Gustavo Puskas
88'
Nathan Camargo
/ Elias
88'
Elias
90'+2
90'+3
Guilherme Aquino
Pre-match prediction
38.5%
Vila ←
32.41%
X
29.09%
Avai
we assigned to the actual result (Vila Nova)
38.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.32
1.30
-0.02
1.06
0.65
-0.41
Vila Nova dominated by xG (1.30 vs 0.65).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Helton Leite
G
Helton Leite
G
6
Higor
D
Higor
D
14
Anderson
D
Anderson
D
3
Tiago Pagnussat
D
Tiago Pagnussat
D
20
Nathan Camargo
88'
D
Nathan Camargo
88'
D
15
Dudu
1 ⚽
M
Dudu
1 ⚽
M
8
Willian Maranhão
M
Willian Maranhão
M
33
Bruno Xavier
1 ⚽
80'
M
Bruno Xavier
1 ⚽
80'
M
10
Marquinhos Gabriel
1 👟
M
Marquinhos Gabriel
1 👟
M
11
Ryan Lima
88'
M
Ryan Lima
88'
M
49
Dellatorre
88'
F
Dellatorre
88'
F
Bench
7
André Luís
10'
F
André Luís
10'
F
38
Caio Marcelo
D
Caio Marcelo
D
29
Dalberson
G
Dalberson
G
31
Dodô
M
Dodô
M
2
Elias
10'
D
Elias
10'
D
18
Enzo
M
Enzo
M
17
Gabriel Lima Dias
M
Gabriel Lima Dias
M
19
Gustavo Puskas
10'
F
Gustavo Puskas
10'
F
4
Pedro Romano
18'
D
Pedro Romano
18'
D
23
Samuel Lucas
D
Samuel Lucas
D
13
Willian Formiga
D
Willian Formiga
D
41
Léo Aragão
G
Léo Aragão
G
36
DG
D
DG
D
15
Guilherme Aquino
D
Guilherme Aquino
D
4
Gabriel Pereira Simples
D
Gabriel Pereira Simples
D
2
Wallison
D
Wallison
D
8
Luiz Henrique
82'
M
Luiz Henrique
82'
M
77
Zé Ricardo
82'
M
Zé Ricardo
82'
M
10
Jean Lucas
45'
M
Jean Lucas
45'
M
14
Daniel Penha
M
Daniel Penha
M
43
Thayllon Roberth
45'
M
Thayllon Roberth
45'
M
7
Rafael Bilú
64'
F
Rafael Bilú
64'
F
Bench
30
Cristiano
F
Cristiano
F
9
Felipe Avenatti
16'
F
Felipe Avenatti
16'
F
18
Hyan
M
Hyan
M
1
Igor Bohn
G
Igor Bohn
G
20
Isaías Pereira
F
Isaías Pereira
F
16
Jamerson dos Santos Nascimento
M
Jamerson dos Santos Nascimento
M
6
Nicolás Cabral
D
Nicolás Cabral
D
25
Paulo Vitor
53'
M
Paulo Vitor
53'
M
11
Sorriso
34'
F
Sorriso
34'
F
57
Walace
53'
F
Walace
53'
F
95
Wenderson
16'
M
Wenderson
16'
M
52
Wesley Gasolina
D
Wesley Gasolina
D
Best on the pitch
Marquinhos Gabriel
M · Vila
7.90
1 👟
· 30 pass
Dudu
M · Vila
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
Gabriel Pereira Simples
D · Avai
7.50
· 49 pass
Helton Leite
G · Vila
7.30
· 26 pass
Higor
D · Vila
7.30
2 shots
· 31 pass
Anderson
D · Vila
7.30
1 shots
· 41 pass
Vila Nova — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helton Leite | G | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Higor | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Anderson | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
| Tiago Pagnussat | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 63 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Nathan Camargo | D | 88 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Dudu | M | 98 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| Willian Maranhão | M | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Xavier | M | 80 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Marquinhos Gabriel | M | 98 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Ryan Lima | M | 88 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Dellatorre | F | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| André Luís | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Elias | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Puskas | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Romano | D | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
Avai — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Aragão | G | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| DG | D | 98 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Guilherme Aquino | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 55% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Pereira Simples | D | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 49 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Wallison | D | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Luiz Henrique | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Zé Ricardo | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean Lucas | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Penha | M | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Thayllon Roberth | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Bilú | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Avenatti | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Vitor | M | 53 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Sorriso | F | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Walace | F | 53 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Wenderson | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Avai?
The final score was Vila Nova 2–0 Avai.
What did the model predict before Vila Nova vs Avai?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Vila Nova win, 32% to a draw, and 29% to an Avai win.