Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 12
June 09, 2026 01:00
Andre Luis
(ast. Janderson)
21'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vila Nova a 46% win probability (draw 30%, Botafogo SP 23%). The final result was Vila Nova 1–0 Botafogo SP.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
1
0.52
Actual xG
0.62
0
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
9
Corners
9
8
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽Andre Luis
· ast. Janderson
21'
32'
Patrick Brey
Andre Luis
48'
Andre Luis
/ Gustavo Puskas
56'
61'
Felipe Vieira
/
Rafael Gava
61'
Jefferson Nem
/
Kelvin
74'
Arthur Caike
/
Hygor
74'
Marcio Maranhao
/
Ze Hugo
Janderson
/ Hayner
75'
Higor
/ Willian Formiga
75'
Helton Leite
/ Dalberson
87'
Willian Formiga
/ Bruno Xavier
87'
90'+2
Thiago Moraes
/
Gabriel Inocencio
90'+3
Pedro Henrique
/
Matheus Sales
90'+8
Thiago Moraes
90'+13
Wallace
90'
Felipe Vieira
Pre-match prediction
46.47%
Vila ←
30.14%
X
23.39%
Botafogo
we assigned to the actual result (Vila Nova)
46.47%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.35
0.52
-0.83
0.74
0.62
-0.12
xG dominance was balanced (0.52 – 0.62).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Helton Leite
87'
G
Helton Leite
87'
G
16
Higor
75'
D
Higor
75'
D
14
Anderson
D
Anderson
D
3
Tiago Pagnussat
D
Tiago Pagnussat
D
20
Nathan Camargo
D
Nathan Camargo
D
8
João Vieira
M
João Vieira
M
15
Dudu
M
Dudu
M
99
Janderson
1 👟
75'
M
Janderson
1 👟
75'
M
31
Dodô
M
Dodô
M
11
Ryan Lima
M
Ryan Lima
M
7
André Luís
1 ⚽
56'
F
André Luís
1 ⚽
56'
F
Bench
23
Bruno Xavier
17'
M
Bruno Xavier
17'
M
29
Dalberson
17'
G
Dalberson
17'
G
18
Enzo
M
Enzo
M
22
Hayner
15'
D
Hayner
15'
D
70
Kerlon
M
Kerlon
M
9
Puskas Gustavo
34'
F
Puskas Gustavo
34'
F
4
Samuel Lucas
D
Samuel Lucas
D
21
Soares
F
Soares
F
13
Willian Formiga
12'
D
Willian Formiga
12'
D
1
Victor Souza
G
Victor Souza
G
6
Patrick Brey
D
Patrick Brey
D
13
Wallace
D
Wallace
D
4
Vilar
D
Vilar
D
22
Gabriel Inocêncio
89'
D
Gabriel Inocêncio
89'
D
16
Matheus Sales
89'
M
Matheus Sales
89'
M
7
Kelvin
61'
M
Kelvin
61'
M
10
Rafael Gava
61'
M
Rafael Gava
61'
M
8
Everton Morelli
M
Everton Morelli
M
30
Zé Hugo
74'
M
Zé Hugo
74'
M
9
Hygor
74'
F
Hygor
74'
F
Bench
18
Arthur Caíke
16'
F
Arthur Caíke
16'
F
33
Badaró
D
Badaró
D
3
Ericson
D
Ericson
D
34
Erik Rebello de Castro
M
Erik Rebello de Castro
M
26
Felipe Vieira
29'
D
Felipe Vieira
29'
D
11
Jefferson Nem
29'
F
Jefferson Nem
29'
F
12
Jordan
G
Jordan
G
19
Márcio Carlos Maranhão
16'
F
Márcio Carlos Maranhão
16'
F
31
Pedro Henrique
11'
D
Pedro Henrique
11'
D
29
Thiago Henrique
12'
M
Thiago Henrique
12'
M
Best on the pitch
André Luís
F · Vila
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
Nathan Camargo
D · Vila
7.60
· 38 pass
Victor Souza
G · Botafogo
7.50
· 32 pass
Janderson
M · Vila
7.50
1 👟
2 shots
· 12 pass
Dodô
M · Vila
7.30
1 shots
· 30 pass
Higor
D · Vila
7.20
2 shots
· 31 pass
Vila Nova — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helton Leite | G | 87 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Higor | D | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Anderson | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Tiago Pagnussat | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Nathan Camargo | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| João Vieira | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Dudu | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Janderson | M | 75 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Dodô | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Ryan Lima | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| André Luís | F | 56 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Bruno Xavier | M | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Dalberson | G | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — |
| Hayner | D | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Puskas Gustavo | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Willian Formiga | D | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Botafogo SP — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Souza | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Patrick Brey | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Wallace | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| Vilar | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Inocêncio | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Matheus Sales | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Kelvin | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Rafael Gava | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Everton Morelli | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Zé Hugo | M | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Hygor | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Caíke | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Vieira | D | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jefferson Nem | F | 29 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Márcio Carlos Maranhão | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Thiago Henrique | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP?
The final score was Vila Nova 1–0 Botafogo SP.
What did the model predict before Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Vila Nova win, 30% to a draw, and 23% to an Botafogo SP win.