Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 25
August 30, 2026 23:30
Breno Augusto
(ast. Tiago Pagnussat)
16'
Andre Luis
(ast. Janderson)
75'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vila Nova a 47% win probability (draw 26%, Ceara 25%). The final result was Vila Nova 2–0 Ceara. In 1 previous meetings, Vila Nova have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Ceara.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
3
1.82
Actual xG
0.39
3
Saves
5
45%
Possession
55%
5
Corners
6
9
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Breno Augusto
· ast. Tiago Pagnussat
16'
Breno Augusto
/ Willian Formiga
45'+2
46'
Vinicius Zanocelo
/
Richardson
46'
Matheus Araujo
/
Lucas Mugni
Dudu
53'
54'
Julio Cesar
72'
Vina
/
Julio Cesar
72'
Lenny Lobato
/
M. N. Ferreira Berrondo
Marquinhos Gabriel
/ Dodo
73'
Everton Galdino
/ Emerson Urso
73'
⚽Andre Luis
· ast. Janderson
75'
Joao Vieira
79'
Dudu
/ Willian Maranhao
79'
Joao Vieira
/ Nathan Camargo
80'
84'
Aloisio
/
Enzo Lodovico
90'
Vinicius Zanocelo
90'
Richard
Pre-match prediction
47.26%
Vila ←
26.82%
X
25.92%
Ceara
we assigned to the actual result (Vila Nova)
47.26%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.33
1.82
+0.49
0.94
0.39
-0.55
Vila Nova dominated by xG (1.82 vs 0.39).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Helton Leite
G
Helton Leite
G
6
Higor
D
Higor
D
23
Breno
1 ⚽
47'
D
Breno
1 ⚽
47'
D
3
Tiago Pagnussat
1 👟
D
Tiago Pagnussat
1 👟
D
22
Hayner
D
Hayner
D
15
Dudu
79'
M
Dudu
79'
M
5
João Vieira
79'
M
João Vieira
79'
M
99
Janderson
1 👟
M
Janderson
1 👟
M
10
Marquinhos Gabriel
73'
M
Marquinhos Gabriel
73'
M
17
Everton Galdino
73'
M
Everton Galdino
73'
M
7
André Luís
1 ⚽
F
André Luís
1 ⚽
F
Bench
33
Bruno Xavier
M
Bruno Xavier
M
29
Dalberson
G
Dalberson
G
31
Dodô
17'
M
Dodô
17'
M
70
Emerson Urso
17'
F
Emerson Urso
17'
F
18
Enzo
M
Enzo
M
21
Higor Meritão
M
Higor Meritão
M
16
Igor Cariús
D
Igor Cariús
D
20
Nathan Camargo
11'
M
Nathan Camargo
11'
M
9
Puskas Gustavo
F
Puskas Gustavo
F
11
Ryan Lima
F
Ryan Lima
F
13
Willian Formiga
43'
D
Willian Formiga
43'
D
8
Willian Maranhão
11'
M
Willian Maranhão
11'
M
1
Richard
G
Richard
G
12
Sanchez
D
Sanchez
D
71
Gabriel Rocha
D
Gabriel Rocha
D
4
Luiz Otávio
D
Luiz Otávio
D
18
Júlio
71'
D
Júlio
71'
D
81
Joao Gabriel
M
Joao Gabriel
M
26
Richardson
45'
M
Richardson
45'
M
20
N. Ferreira
72'
M
N. Ferreira
72'
M
11
L. Mugni
45'
M
L. Mugni
45'
M
60
Enzo
84'
M
Enzo
84'
M
99
Lucca
F
Lucca
F
Bench
86
Aloisio
6'
D
Aloisio
6'
D
83
Gabriel Amaral
F
Gabriel Amaral
F
21
Giovanni Pavani
M
Giovanni Pavani
M
77
Lenny Lobato
18'
F
Lenny Lobato
18'
F
13
Luiz Otávio
D
Luiz Otávio
D
8
Matheus Araújo
45'
M
Matheus Araújo
45'
M
22
Matheus Nogueira
G
Matheus Nogueira
G
40
Melk
M
Melk
M
2
Rafael Ramos
D
Rafael Ramos
D
29
Vina
19'
M
Vina
19'
M
25
Vinicius Zanocelo
45'
M
Vinicius Zanocelo
45'
M
Best on the pitch
André Luís
F · Vila
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 21 pass
Janderson
M · Vila
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 33 pass
Breno
D · Vila
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
Marquinhos Gabriel
M · Vila
7.00
2 shots
· 15 pass
Higor
D · Vila
6.90
2 shots
· 30 pass
Tiago Pagnussat
D · Vila
6.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 27 pass
Vila Nova — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helton Leite | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Higor | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Breno | D | 47 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Tiago Pagnussat | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Hayner | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Dudu | M | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| João Vieira | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Janderson | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 33 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Marquinhos Gabriel | M | 73 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Everton Galdino | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| André Luís | F | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Dodô | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Emerson Urso | F | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Camargo | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Willian Formiga | D | 43 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Willian Maranhão | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Ceara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Sanchez | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Gabriel Rocha | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 46% | 4 | — | — |
| Luiz Otávio | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 52 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Júlio | D | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Joao Gabriel | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Richardson | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| N. Ferreira | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Mugni | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Enzo | M | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Lucca | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Aloisio | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lenny Lobato | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Araújo | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Vina | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Vinicius Zanocelo | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Ceara?
The final score was Vila Nova 2–0 Ceara.
What did the model predict before Vila Nova vs Ceara?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Vila Nova win, 26% to a draw, and 25% to an Ceara win.