Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 19
July 22, 2026 02:35
Douglas Mendes
(ast. Marquinhos Gabriel)
14'
Joao Vieira
32'
78'
Pedro Henrique
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vila Nova a 44% win probability (draw 26%, Fortaleza EC 29%). The final result was Vila Nova 2–1 Fortaleza EC.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
3
1.61
Actual xG
1.09
2
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
4
Corners
4
14
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Douglas Mendes
· ast. Marquinhos Gabriel
14'
⚽Joao Vieira
32'
46'
Nathan Fogaca
/
J. B. Miritello
46'
Pierre
/
Lucas Sasha
46'
Paulo Baya
/
Luiz Fernando
Igor Carius
/ Hayner
62'
Andre Luis
/ Dudu
65'
66'
Welliton
/
Vitinho
69'
Nathan Fogaca
77'
Mailton
/
Mauricio Junior
78'
Pedro Henrique⚽
84'
Pierre
Dellatorre
/ Gustavo Puskas
85'
Marquinhos Gabriel
/ Dodo
85'
Higor Meritao
/ Emerson Urso
85'
90'+2
G. Fuentes
Emerson Urso
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
44.07%
Vila ←
26.57%
X
29.37%
Fortaleza
we assigned to the actual result (Vila Nova)
44.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.34
1.61
+0.27
1.06
1.09
+0.03
Vila Nova dominated by xG (1.61 vs 1.09).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Helton Leite
G
Helton Leite
G
13
Willian Formiga
D
Willian Formiga
D
23
Breno
D
Breno
D
4
Douglas Mendes
1 ⚽
D
Douglas Mendes
1 ⚽
D
16
Igor Cariús
62'
D
Igor Cariús
62'
D
21
Higor Meritão
85'
M
Higor Meritão
85'
M
5
João Vieira
1 ⚽
M
João Vieira
1 ⚽
M
99
Janderson
M
Janderson
M
10
Marquinhos Gabriel
1 👟
85'
M
Marquinhos Gabriel
1 👟
85'
M
7
André Luís
65'
M
André Luís
65'
M
49
Dellatorre
85'
F
Dellatorre
85'
F
Bench
19
Caique Jesus
F
Caique Jesus
F
29
Dalberson
G
Dalberson
G
31
Dodô
11'
M
Dodô
11'
M
15
Dudu
31'
M
Dudu
31'
M
70
Emerson Urso
11'
F
Emerson Urso
11'
F
18
Enzo
M
Enzo
M
22
Hayner
34'
D
Hayner
34'
D
17
Kerlon
M
Kerlon
M
20
Nathan Camargo
M
Nathan Camargo
M
9
Puskas Gustavo
11'
F
Puskas Gustavo
11'
F
14
Samuel Frota Nunes
M
Samuel Frota Nunes
M
1
João Ricardo
G
João Ricardo
G
18
G. Fuentes
D
G. Fuentes
D
4
Luan
D
Luan
D
23
Neris
D
Neris
D
13
Maurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues
77'
D
Maurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues
77'
D
29
Rodrigo
M
Rodrigo
M
88
Lucas Sasha
45'
M
Lucas Sasha
45'
M
32
Luiz Fernando
45'
M
Luiz Fernando
45'
M
11
Vitinho
66'
M
Vitinho
66'
M
16
Pedro Henrique
1 ⚽
M
Pedro Henrique
1 ⚽
M
9
J. Miritello
45'
F
J. Miritello
45'
F
Bench
33
Kauã Rocha
D
Kauã Rocha
D
10
Lucas Crispim
M
Lucas Crispim
M
15
Magrão
G
Magrão
G
22
Maílton
19'
D
Maílton
19'
D
17
Nathan Fogaça
51'
F
Nathan Fogaça
51'
F
77
Paulo Baya
51'
F
Paulo Baya
51'
F
5
Pierre
51'
M
Pierre
51'
M
8
Ronald
M
Ronald
M
37
Ryan Gustavo
M
Ryan Gustavo
M
6
T. Cardona
D
T. Cardona
D
25
Vinícius Silvestre
G
Vinícius Silvestre
G
31
Welliton
30'
F
Welliton
30'
F
Best on the pitch
Douglas Mendes
D · Vila
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 42 pass
Marquinhos Gabriel
M · Vila
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 29 pass
Pierre
M · Fortaleza
7.30
· 29 pass
Janderson
M · Vila
7.30
2 shots
· 18 pass
Pedro Henrique
M · Fortaleza
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 12 pass
João Ricardo
G · Fortaleza
7.20
· 25 pass
Vila Nova — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helton Leite | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Willian Formiga | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Breno | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Douglas Mendes | D | 96 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Cariús | D | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Higor Meritão | M | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 5 | — | — |
| João Vieira | M | 96 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 40 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Janderson | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Marquinhos Gabriel | M | 85 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| André Luís | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Dellatorre | F | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Dodô | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Dudu | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Emerson Urso | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Hayner | D | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Puskas Gustavo | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Fortaleza EC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Ricardo | G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | — | — | — |
| G. Fuentes | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Luan | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Neris | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Maurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues | D | 77 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Sasha | M | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Luiz Fernando | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Vitinho | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | M | 96 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 12 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Miritello | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Maílton | D | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Fogaça | F | 51 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Paulo Baya | F | 51 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Pierre | M | 51 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Welliton | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Fortaleza EC?
The final score was Vila Nova 2–1 Fortaleza EC.
What did the model predict before Vila Nova vs Fortaleza EC?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Vila Nova win, 26% to a draw, and 29% to an Fortaleza EC win.