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← Brasileirão Série B

Vila Nova - Juventude

#3 · 62 pts
vs
#2 · 64 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 21.5°C 💨 2 km/h 🌧️ 65% · Goiania
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.47%
Win
Vila Nova
25.07%
Draw
34.45%
Win
Juventude
1.4
Expected xG
1.31

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.6%)
1X2 Result
1 40%
X 25%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 60%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 70%
Over 2.5 49%
✓ 61.5% hit rate (39 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Vila Nova a 40% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Juventude. Expected goals are 1.4 for Vila Nova and 1.3 for Juventude (total 2.7), with a 69% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.6% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Vila Nova have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Juventude.

Season Stats

Vila Nova
8W 4D 3L
Juventude
8W 5D 2L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.5
0.8
Conceded
0.7
4.9
Shots OT
4.3
5.4
Corners
3.8
48%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
27%
O 2.5
47%
20%
BTTS
33%
67%
Clean Sht
60%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Brasileirão Série B. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
30%
BTTS
Vila Nova
7W 2D 1L · at home
Juventude
5W 3D 2L · away
1.9
gls/g
1.2
0.5
Conceded
0.8
70%
Win %
50%
90%
Win or Draw
80%
70%
O 1.5
50%
40%
O 2.5
30%
20%
O 3.5
20%
30%
BTTS
30%
60%
Clean Sht
70%
20%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Vila Nova Juventude →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7% 8.7% 5.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.3% 12.2% 8.0% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.5% 8.5% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.0% 4.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

L São Bernardo 3–2
D Novorizontino 2–2
W Nautico Recife 0–2
D Cuiaba 0–0
W Botafogo SP 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 48%
W Nautico Recife 4–0
D Ceara 2–2
D São Bernardo 2–2
W Ponte Preta 0–2
W Operario-PR 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 57%

Playing profile

Vila Nova Vila Nova
Attack
36
Defence
74
Form
60
Juventude Juventude
Attack
52
Defence
68
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Vila Nova
0
Draw
1
Juventude
11 Jul 2026 Brasileirão Série B 0–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Novorizontino Novorizontino 35 64
2 Juventude Juventude 35 64
3 Vila Nova Vila Nova 35 62
4 Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 35 61
5 Criciuma Criciuma 35 59
6 CRB CRB 35 55
7 Sport Recife Sport Recife 35 54
8 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 35 54
9 Goias Goias 35 52
10 Operario-PR Operario-PR 35 51
11 São Bernardo São Bernardo 35 49
12 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 35 47
13 Cuiaba Cuiaba 35 47
14 Athletic Club Athletic Club 35 44
15 Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 35 43
16 Ceara Ceara 35 43
17 Avai Avai 35 37
18 Londrina Londrina 35 32
19 America Mineiro America Mineiro 35 23
20 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 35 15
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Vila Nova vs Juventude?
The model gives Vila Nova a 40% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 34% for an Juventude win.
How many goals are expected in Vila Nova vs Juventude?
Expected goals: Vila Nova 1.4, Juventude 1.3 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 69%.
What is the most likely score in Vila Nova vs Juventude?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.6%.