Brasileirão Série B · Regular Season - 14 June 21, 2026 00:00

Vila Nova

#3 · 63 pts

4 – 3

Final score

Nautico Recife

#15 · 46 pts

Janderson (ast. Dodo) 4'

Andre Luis (ast. Ryan) 8'

Janderson (ast. Andre Luis) 18'

Ryan 42'

36' Dodo

65' Vinicius

90'+1 (ast. Dodo) Luiz Claudio

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vila Nova a 43% win probability (draw 23%, Nautico Recife 32%). The final result was Vila Nova 4–3 Nautico Recife. In 1 previous meetings, Vila Nova have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nautico Recife.

Match statistics

6

Shots on target

7

1.54

Actual xG

2.22

33%

Possession

67%

2

Corners

10

Match Events

⚽Janderson · ast. Dodo

4'

⚽Andre Luis · ast. Ryan

8'

16'

Mateus Silva

⚽Janderson · ast. Andre Luis

18'

29'

Matheus Ribeiro / Mateus Silva ↕

29'

Luiz Claudio / Leonai Souza ↕

Tiago Pagnussat

34'

36'

Dodo⚽

⚽Ryan

42'

45'

Luiz Felipe

46'

Arnaldo / Reginaldo ↕

62'

Leo Jance / Arnaldo ↕

65'

Vinicius⚽

↕ Dodo / Dudu

66'

↕ Andre Luis / Dellatorre

76'

↕ Ryan / Hayner

76'

78'

Felipe Cardoso / Victor Andrade ↕

↕ Janderson / Emerson Urso

85'

↕ Joao Vieira / Enzo Bizzotto

85'

90'+1

ast. Dodo · Luiz Claudio⚽

Emerson Urso

90'+6

Pre-match prediction

43.88%

Vila ←

23.87%

X

32.25%

Nautico

we assigned to the actual result (Vila Nova) 43.88% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Vila

2.06

1.54

-0.52

Nautico

1.81

2.22

+0.41

Nautico Recife dominated by xG (2.22 vs 1.54). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Novorizontino	36	67
2	Juventude	36	65
3	Vila Nova	36	63
4	Criciuma	36	62
5	Fortaleza EC	36	62
6	CRB	36	55
7	Goias	36	55
8	Atletico Goianiense	36	55
9	Sport Recife	37	55
10	Operario-PR	37	54
11	São Bernardo	36	52
12	Botafogo SP	37	51
13	Cuiaba	36	47
14	Athletic Club	36	47
15	Nautico Recife	36	46
16	Ceara	36	43
17	Avai	36	37
18	Londrina	37	32
19	America Mineiro	36	26
20	Ponte Preta	36	15