Vila Nova 4–3 Nautico Recife — pre-match prediction — Brasileirão Série B — June 21, 2026

← Brasileirão Série B

Brasileirão Série B · Regular Season - 14 June 21, 2026 00:00

Vila Nova

#3 · 47 pts

4 – 3

Final score

Nautico Recife

#11 · 37 pts

Janderson (ast. Dodo) 4'

Andre Luis (ast. Ryan) 8'

Janderson (ast. Andre Luis) 18'

Ryan 42'

36' Dodo

65' Vinicius

90'+1 (ast. Dodo) Luiz Claudio

Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vila Nova a 43% win probability (draw 23%, Nautico Recife 32%). The final result was Vila Nova 4–3 Nautico Recife.

Match statistics

Shots on target

1.54

Actual xG

2.22

33%

Possession

67%

Corners

Match Events

⚽Janderson · ast. Dodo

⚽Andre Luis · ast. Ryan

16'

Mateus Silva

⚽Janderson · ast. Andre Luis

18'

29'

Matheus Ribeiro / Mateus Silva ↕

29'

Luiz Claudio / Leonai Souza ↕

Tiago Pagnussat

34'

36'

Dodo⚽

⚽Ryan

42'

45'

Luiz Felipe

46'

Arnaldo / Reginaldo ↕

62'

Leo Jance / Arnaldo ↕

65'

Vinicius⚽

↕ Dodo / Dudu

66'

↕ Andre Luis / Dellatorre

76'

↕ Ryan / Hayner

76'

78'

Felipe Cardoso / Victor Andrade ↕

↕ Janderson / Emerson Urso

85'

↕ Joao Vieira / Enzo Bizzotto

85'

90'+1

ast. Dodo · Luiz Claudio⚽

Emerson Urso

90'+6

Pre-match prediction

43.88%

Vila ←

23.87%

32.25%

Nautico

we assigned to the actual result (Vila Nova) 43.88% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Vila

2.06

1.54

-0.52

Nautico

1.81

2.22

+0.41

Nautico Recife dominated by xG (2.22 vs 1.54). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Juventude	27	50
2	Novorizontino	27	49
3	Vila Nova	27	47
4	Fortaleza EC	27	47
5	Criciuma	27	47
6	Operario-PR	27	43
7	Atletico Goianiense	27	43
8	CRB	27	42
9	Sport Recife	27	41
10	Cuiaba	27	39
11	Nautico Recife	27	37
12	Athletic Club	27	37
13	Goias	27	36
14	São Bernardo	27	35
15	Botafogo SP	27	31
16	Ceara	27	31
17	Avai	27	29
18	Londrina	27	25
19	America Mineiro	27	17
20	Ponte Preta	27	10