Vila Nova 2–2 Novorizontino — pre-match prediction — Brasileirão Série B — October 18, 2026

← Brasileirão Série B

Brasileirão Série B · Regular Season - 34 October 18, 2026 23:00 Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiania

Vila Nova

#3 · 62 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Novorizontino

#1 · 64 pts

Raphael Guimarães de Paula (ast. Higor Meritão) 62'

André Luís (ast. Raphael Guimarães de Paula) 71'

25' (ast. Eduardo Brock) Robson

90'+8 (ast. Madson Ferreira dos Santos) C. Ortiz

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Novorizontino a 42% win probability (draw 24%, Vila Nova 33%). The final result was Vila Nova 2–2 Novorizontino. In 1 previous meetings, Vila Nova have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Novorizontino.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.08

Actual xG

0.48

Saves

58%

Possession

42%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

25'

ast. Eduardo Brock · Robson⚽

Hayner

27'

Willian Maranhão

32'

36'

Robson

41'

Maykon Kesley de Jesus Ramalho / Sander ↕

↕ Willian Maranhão / Raphael Guimarães de Paula

45'

Carlos Henrique de Moura Brito / Robson ↕

⚽Raphael Guimarães de Paula · ast. Higor Meritão

62'

65'

Juninho / Nicolas Morês da Cruz ↕

↕ Higor Meritão / Nathan Camargo

70'

⚽André Luís · ast. Raphael Guimarães de Paula

71'

75'

Vinicius / Luís Oyama ↕

75'

Ronald Barcellos Arantes / Francisco Reidiney Duarte Gomes ↕

↕ Hayner / Igor Cariús

77'

↕ André Luís / Guilherme Augusto Alves Dellatorre

77'

78'

Matheus Henrique Bianqui

↕ Marquinhos Gabriel / Tiago Pagnussat

84'

↕ Everton Galdino / enzo

84'

C. Ortiz / Romulo Azevedo Simão ↕

90'+5

Maykon Kesley de Jesus Ramalho

90'+8

ast. Madson Ferreira dos Santos · C. Ortiz⚽

Pre-match prediction

33.38%

Vila

24.34%

X ←

42.28%

Novorizontino

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.34% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Vila

1.30

1.08

-0.22

Novorizontino

1.61

0.48

-1.13

Vila Nova dominated by xG (1.08 vs 0.48). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Novorizontino	35	64
2	Juventude	35	64
3	Vila Nova	35	62
4	Fortaleza EC	35	61
5	Criciuma	35	59
6	CRB	35	55
7	Sport Recife	35	54
8	Atletico Goianiense	35	54
9	Goias	35	52
10	Operario-PR	35	51
11	São Bernardo	35	49
12	Botafogo SP	35	47
13	Cuiaba	35	47
14	Athletic Club	35	44
15	Nautico Recife	35	43
16	Ceara	35	43
17	Avai	35	37
18	Londrina	35	32
19	America Mineiro	35	23
20	Ponte Preta	35	15

Lineups

Vila Nova 4-2-3-1

Helton Leite G 6.05

Higor D 6.48

Jonathan Costa D 6.83

Douglas Mendes D 6.82

Hayner 77' D 6.65

Willian Maranhão 45' M 5.94

Higor Meritão 1 👟 70' M 6.10

Janderson M 6.41

Marquinhos Gabriel 84' M 5.83

Everton Galdino 84' M 6.26

André Luís 1 ⚽ 77' F 7.73

Bench

Anderson D 0.00

Dalberson G 0.00

Dellatorre 13' F 6.51

Dodô 1 ⚽ 1 👟 45' M 8.71

Emerson Urso F 0.00

Enzo 6' M 6.63

Igor Cariús 13' D 6.24

Lincoln F 0.00

Nathan Camargo 20' M 5.97

Ryan Lima F 0.00

Tiago Pagnussat 6' D 6.17

Willian Formiga D 0.00

Novorizontino 4-2-3-1

Jordi G 5.70

Sander 41' D 6.29

Eduardo Brock 1 👟 D 6.73

Carlinhos D 6.75

Madson 1 👟 D 6.07

Luis Oyama 75' M 6.88

Matheus Bianqui M 6.62

Nicolas Careca 65' M 6.39

Romulo 84' M 6.43

Reidiney 75' M 6.15

Robson 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.51

Bench

A. Alvariño M 0.00

Carlão 45' F 6.74

César G 0.00

C. Ortíz 1 ⚽ 6' F 8.13

Diego Mathias F 0.00

J. Lora D 0.00

Juninho 25' M 6.06

Léo Naldi M 0.00

Marlon M 0.00

Maykon 49' D 5.98

Ronald Barcellos 15' F 6.54

Vinícius 15' F 6.52

Best on the pitch

Dodô

M · Vila

8.71

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 17 pass

C. Ortíz

F · Novorizontino

8.13

1 ⚽

1 shots · 4 pass

André Luís

F · Vila

7.73

1 ⚽

1 shots · 7 pass

Robson

F · Novorizontino

7.51

1 ⚽

1 shots · 4 pass

Luis Oyama

M · Novorizontino

6.88

· 30 pass

Jonathan Costa

D · Vila

6.83

1 shots · 77 pass

Vila Nova — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Helton Leite	G	90	6.05	—	—	0	40	28%	0	—	—
Higor	D	90	6.48	—	—	0	55	44%	1	—	—
Jonathan Costa	D	90	6.83	—	—	1	77	68%	0	—	—
Douglas Mendes	D	90	6.82	—	—	1	66	60%	1	—	—
Hayner	D	77	6.65	—	—	1	33	28%	1	1	—
Willian Maranhão	M	45	5.94	—	—	0	20	15%	0	1	—
Higor Meritão	M	70	6.10	—	1	0	33	23%	1	—	—
Janderson	M	90	6.41	—	—	1	23	16%	0	—	—
Marquinhos Gabriel	M	84	5.83	—	—	1	15	12%	0	—	—
Everton Galdino	M	84	6.26	—	—	1	30	26%	3	—	—
André Luís	F	77	7.73	1	—	1	7	3%	0	—	—
Dellatorre	F	13	6.51	—	—	0	4	3%	0	—	—
Dodô	M	45	8.71	1	1	2	17	14%	1	—	—
Enzo	M	6	6.63	—	—	1	2	0%	1	—	—
Igor Cariús	D	13	6.24	—	—	0	5	3%	0	—	—
Nathan Camargo	M	20	5.97	—	—	0	5	4%	0	—	—
Tiago Pagnussat	D	6	6.17	—	—	1	1	1%	0	—	—

Novorizontino — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Jordi	G	90	5.70	—	—	0	24	11%	1	—	—
Sander	D	41	6.29	—	—	0	9	4%	2	—	—
Eduardo Brock	D	90	6.73	—	1	1	47	35%	1	—	—
Carlinhos	D	90	6.75	—	—	1	56	41%	2	—	—
Madson	D	90	6.07	—	1	0	32	19%	0	—	—
Luis Oyama	M	75	6.88	—	—	0	30	22%	4	—	—
Matheus Bianqui	M	90	6.62	—	—	0	30	22%	6	1	—
Nicolas Careca	M	65	6.39	—	—	1	16	10%	2	—	—
Romulo	M	84	6.43	—	—	2	16	10%	2	—	—
Reidiney	M	75	6.15	—	—	1	16	9%	0	—	—
Robson	F	45	7.51	1	—	1	4	1%	1	1	—
Carlão	F	45	6.74	—	—	0	6	5%	2	—	—
C. Ortíz	F	6	8.13	1	—	1	4	2%	0	—	—
Juninho	M	25	6.06	—	—	1	18	15%	0	—	—
Maykon	D	49	5.98	—	—	1	17	12%	0	1	—
Ronald Barcellos	F	15	6.54	—	—	1	2	1%	0	—	—
Vinícius	F	15	6.52	—	—	0	4	4%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?

The final score was Vila Nova 2–2 Novorizontino.

What did the model predict before Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?

The model assigned 33% probability to a Vila Nova win, 24% to a draw, and 42% to an Novorizontino win.