Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 16
July 07, 2026 00:00
Marquinhos Gabriel
(ast. Higor)
23'
Janderson
90'+1
52'
Hyoran
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vila Nova a 51% win probability (draw 25%, São Bernardo 23%). The final result was Vila Nova 2–1 São Bernardo.
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
6
2.00
Actual xG
0.54
47%
Possession
53%
6
Corners
6
Match Events
⚽Marquinhos Gabriel
· ast. Higor
23'
48'
Foguinho
52'
Hyoran⚽
Bruno Xavier
/ Enzo Bizzotto
60'
Marquinhos Gabriel
/ Dodo
67'
Andre Luis
/ Dellatorre
67'
68'
D. Davi
/
Lucas Rian
70'
Felipe Garcia
76'
Daniel Amorim
/
Echapora
76'
Marcao Silva
/
Hyoran
Anderson Jesus
/ Willian Formiga
82'
Hayner
/ Emerson Urso
82'
85'
Luizao
/
Foguinho
85'
Fabricio Daniel
/
Felipe Garcia
89'
D. Davi
⚽Janderson
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
51.19%
Vila ←
25.19%
X
23.62%
São
we assigned to the actual result (Vila Nova)
51.19%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.56
2.00
+0.44
0.94
0.54
-0.4
Vila Nova dominated by xG (2.00 vs 0.54).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vila Nova vs São Bernardo?
The final score was Vila Nova 2–1 São Bernardo.
What did the model predict before Vila Nova vs São Bernardo?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Vila Nova win, 25% to a draw, and 23% to an São Bernardo win.