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La Liga · Regular Season - 38 May 24, 2026 21:00 Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal
Villarreal
#20 · 0 pts
5 – 1
Final score
Atletico Madrid
#2 · 0 pts
D. Parejo 30' (pen.)
A. Perez 34'
G. Mikautadze (ast. A. Perez) 40'
P. Gueye (ast. N. Pepe) 45'
A. Perez (ast. N. Pepe) 54'
43' (ast. A. Griezmann) M. Pubill
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Villarreal a 47% win probability (draw 22%, Atletico Madrid 30%). The final result was Villarreal 5–1 Atletico Madrid. In 1 previous meetings, Villarreal have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Madrid.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
8
Shots on target
4
2.45
Actual xG
1.16
3
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
5
Corners
7
15
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
27'
G. Simeone
⚽D. Parejo (pen.)
30'
⚽A. Perez
34'
⚽G. Mikautadze · ast. A. Perez
40'
43'
ast. A. Griezmann · M. Pubill⚽
⚽P. Gueye · ast. N. Pepe
45'
46'
A. Sorloth / G. Simeone ↕
46'
A. Puric / D. Hancko ↕
46'
M. Ruggeri / M. Pubill ↕
⚽A. Perez · ast. N. Pepe
54'
61'
J. Bonar / A. Lookman ↕
61'
J. Morcillo / A. Baena ↕
↕ D. Parejo / A. Diatta
66'
↕ A. Pedraza / S. Cardona
67'
↕ P. Gueye / L. Costa
75'
↕ A. Perez / P. Cabanes
75'
↕ G. Mikautadze / C. Macia
89'
Pre-match prediction
47.15%
Villarreal ←
22.22%
X
30.63%
Atletico
we assigned to the actual result (Villarreal) 47.15% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Villarreal
1.92
2.45
+0.53
Atletico
1.37
1.16
-0.21
Villarreal dominated by xG (2.45 vs 1.16). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Athletic Club Athletic Club 0 0
2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 0 0
3 Osasuna Osasuna 0 0
4 Alaves Alaves 0 0
5 Elche Elche 0 0
6 Barcelona Barcelona 0 0
7 Getafe Getafe 0 0
8 Levante Levante 0 0
9 Malaga Malaga 0 0
10 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0 0
11 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
12 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0 0
13 Espanyol Espanyol 0 0
14 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 0 0
15 Real Betis Real Betis 0 0
16 Real Madrid Real Madrid 0 0
17 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
18 Sevilla Sevilla 0 0
19 Valencia Valencia 0 0
20 Villarreal Villarreal 0 0
Lineups
Villarreal Villarreal 4-4-2
25 Arnau Tenas Arnau Tenas G 6.30
24 Alfonso Pedraza Alfonso Pedraza 67' D 6.60
4 Rafa Marín Rafa Marín D 7.50
6 Pau Navarro Pau Navarro D 6.60
15 S. Mouriño S. Mouriño D 7.20
20 Alberto Moleiro Alberto Moleiro M 6.50
10 Dani Parejo Dani Parejo 1 ⚽ 66' M 7.70
18 P. Gueye P. Gueye 1 ⚽ 75' M 8.00
19 Nicolas Pépé Nicolas Pépé 2 👟 M 8.20
9 G. Mikautadze G. Mikautadze 1 ⚽ 89' F 8.20
22 Ayoze Pérez Ayoze Pérez 2 ⚽ 1 👟 75' F 9.50
Bench
38 Alassane Diatta Alassane Diatta 24' M 6.60
3 Alexander Freeman Alexander Freeman D
11 Alfon González Alfon González F
37 Carlos Maciá Carlos Maciá 1' M
2 Logan Costa Logan Costa 15' D 6.60
1 Luiz Júnior Luiz Júnior G
33 Pau Cabanes Pau Cabanes 15' F 6.50
12 Renato Veiga Renato Veiga M
23 Sergi Cardona Sergi Cardona 23' D 6.60
17 T. Buchanan T. Buchanan F
21 T. Oluwaseyi T. Oluwaseyi F
5 Willy Kambwala Willy Kambwala D
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4-3-3
1 J. Musso J. Musso G 5.70
17 D. Hancko D. Hancko 45' D 5.60
15
Clément Lenglet D 6.00
18 Marc Pubill Marc Pubill 1 ⚽ 45' D 6.70
14 Marcos Llorente Marcos Llorente D 5.30
21 Obed Vargas Obed Vargas M 7.00
6 Koke Koke M 6.90
10 Álex Baena Álex Baena 61' M 5.90
22 A. Lookman A. Lookman 61' F 6.20
7 A. Griezmann A. Griezmann 1 👟 F 6.50
20 G. Simeone G. Simeone 45' F 6.20
Bench
40 Aleksa Purić Aleksa Purić 45' D 6.30
9 A. Sørloth A. Sørloth 45' F 6.20
37 Iker Luque Iker Luque F
13 Jan Oblak Jan Oblak G
32 Javier Boñar Javier Boñar 29' D 6.30
47 Javi Morcillo Javi Morcillo 29' M 6.70
34 Julio Díaz Julio Díaz M
3 Matteo Ruggeri Matteo Ruggeri 45' D 6.30
61 Miguel Cubo Miguel Cubo F
29 Rayane Belaid Rayane Belaid F
31 Salvi Esquivel Salvi Esquivel G
Best on the pitch
Ayoze Pérez
Ayoze Pérez
F · Villarreal
9.50
2 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 23 pass
Nicolas Pépé
Nicolas Pépé
M · Villarreal
8.20
2 👟
2 shots · 56 pass
G. Mikautadze
G. Mikautadze
F · Villarreal
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 22 pass
P. Gueye
P. Gueye
M · Villarreal
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 49 pass
Dani Parejo
Dani Parejo
M · Villarreal
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 51 pass
Rafa Marín
Rafa Marín
D · Villarreal
7.50
· 47 pass
Villarreal Villarreal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Arnau Tenas G 90 6.30 — — — 33 21% — — —
Alfonso Pedraza D 67 6.60 — — — 24 16% 1 — —
Rafa Marín D 90 7.50 — — — 47 45% 3 — —
Pau Navarro D 90 6.60 — — — 42 38% 2 — —
S. Mouriño D 90 7.20 — — — 74 67% 2 — —
Alberto Moleiro M 90 6.50 — — — 28 23% — — —
Dani Parejo M 66 7.70 1 — 1 51 50% 3 — —
P. Gueye M 75 8.00 1 — 1 49 42% 2 — —
Nicolas Pépé M 90 8.20 — 2 2 56 49% — — —
G. Mikautadze F 89 8.20 1 — 3 22 20% — — —
Ayoze Pérez F 75 9.50 2 1 2 23 18% — — —
Alassane Diatta M 24 6.60 — — — 21 18% 1 — —
Carlos Maciá M 1 — — — — — — — — —
Logan Costa D 15 6.60 — — — 12 12% 1 — —
Pau Cabanes F 15 6.50 — — — 5 4% — — —
Sergi Cardona D 23 6.60 — — — 11 9% — — —
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Musso G 90 5.70 — — — 18 17% — — —
D. Hancko D 45 5.60 — — — 21 20% — — —
Clément Lenglet D 90 6.00 — — — 57 53% 5 — —
Marc Pubill D 45 6.70 1 — 1 42 39% 1 — —
Marcos Llorente D 90 5.30 — — — 58 53% 1 — —
Obed Vargas M 90 7.00 — — 1 38 32% 3 — —
Koke M 90 6.90 — — — 86 75% — — —
Álex Baena M 61 5.90 — — 2 38 32% — — —
A. Lookman F 61 6.20 — — — 22 18% 2 — —
A. Griezmann F 90 6.50 — 1 2 45 37% — — —
G. Simeone F 45 6.20 — — 2 19 17% 1 1 —
Aleksa Purić D 45 6.30 — — — 16 14% — — —
A. Sørloth F 45 6.20 — — 1 6 4% — — —
Javier Boñar D 29 6.30 — — — 16 14% — — —
Javi Morcillo M 29 6.70 — — — 18 17% — — —
Matteo Ruggeri D 45 6.30 — — — 27 21% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid?
The final score was Villarreal 5–1 Atletico Madrid.
What did the model predict before Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Villarreal win, 22% to a draw, and 30% to an Atletico Madrid win.