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La Liga · Regular Season - 38 May 24, 2026 21:00 Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal
Villarreal
#17 · 2 pts
5 – 1
Final score
Atletico Madrid
#8 · 7 pts
D. Parejo 30' (pen.)
A. Perez 34'
G. Mikautadze (ast. A. Perez) 40'
P. Gueye (ast. N. Pepe) 45'
A. Perez (ast. N. Pepe) 54'
43' (ast. A. Griezmann) M. Pubill
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Villarreal a 47% win probability (draw 22%, Atletico Madrid 30%). The final result was Villarreal 5–1 Atletico Madrid. In 2 previous meetings, Villarreal have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Madrid.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
8
Shots on target
4
2.45
Actual xG
1.16
3
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
5
Corners
7
15
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
27'
G. Simeone
⚽D. Parejo (pen.)
30'
⚽A. Perez
34'
⚽G. Mikautadze · ast. A. Perez
40'
43'
ast. A. Griezmann · M. Pubill⚽
⚽P. Gueye · ast. N. Pepe
45'
46'
A. Sorloth / G. Simeone ↕
46'
A. Puric / D. Hancko ↕
46'
M. Ruggeri / M. Pubill ↕
⚽A. Perez · ast. N. Pepe
54'
61'
J. Bonar / A. Lookman ↕
61'
J. Morcillo / A. Baena ↕
↕ D. Parejo / A. Diatta
66'
↕ A. Pedraza / S. Cardona
67'
↕ P. Gueye / L. Costa
75'
↕ A. Perez / P. Cabanes
75'
↕ G. Mikautadze / C. Macia
89'
Pre-match prediction
47.15%
Villarreal ←
22.22%
X
30.63%
Atletico
we assigned to the actual result (Villarreal) 47.15% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Villarreal
1.92
2.45
+0.53
Atletico
1.37
1.16
-0.21
Villarreal dominated by xG (2.45 vs 1.16). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 4 12
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 5 12
3 Alaves Alaves 5 10
4 Sevilla Sevilla 5 10
5 Real Betis Real Betis 4 9
6 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 4 8
7 Espanyol Espanyol 5 7
8 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4 7
9 Athletic Club Athletic Club 5 7
10 Racing Santander Racing Santander 5 7
11 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 5 7
12 Osasuna Osasuna 5 7
13 Levante Levante 4 5
14 Getafe Getafe 4 4
15 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 5 4
16 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 5 3
17 Villarreal Villarreal 4 2
18 Malaga Malaga 4 2
19 Elche Elche 5 2
20 Valencia Valencia 5 1
Lineups
Villarreal Villarreal 4-4-2
25 Arnau Tenas Arnau Tenas G 6.30
24 Alfonso Pedraza Alfonso Pedraza 67' D 6.60
4 Rafa Marín Rafa Marín D 7.50
6 Pau Navarro Pau Navarro D 6.60
15 S. Mouriño S. Mouriño D 7.20
20 Alberto Moleiro Alberto Moleiro M 6.50
10 Dani Parejo Dani Parejo 1 ⚽ 66' M 7.70
18 P. Gueye P. Gueye 1 ⚽ 75' M 8.00
19 N. Pépé N. Pépé 2 👟 M 8.20
9 G. Mikautadze G. Mikautadze 1 ⚽ 89' F 8.20
22 Ayoze Pérez Ayoze Pérez 2 ⚽ 1 👟 75' F 9.50
Bench
38 A. Diatta A. Diatta 24' M 6.60
3 A. Freeman A. Freeman D
11 Alfon González Alfon González F
37 C. Macia C. Macia 1' M
2 Logan Costa Logan Costa 15' D 6.60
1 Luíz Júnior Luíz Júnior G
33 Pau Cabanes Pau Cabanes 15' F 6.50
12 Renato Veiga Renato Veiga M
23 Sergi Cardona Sergi Cardona 23' D 6.60
17 T. Buchanan T. Buchanan F
21 T. Oluwaseyi T. Oluwaseyi F
5 Willy Kambwala Ndengushi Willy Kambwala Ndengushi D
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4-3-3
1 J. Musso J. Musso G 5.70
17 D. Hancko D. Hancko 45' D 5.60
15 C. Lenglet C. Lenglet D 6.00
18 Marc Pubill Marc Pubill 1 ⚽ 45' D 6.70
14 Marcos Llorente Marcos Llorente D 5.30
21 O. Vargas O. Vargas M 7.00
6 Koke Koke M 6.90
10 Álex Baena Álex Baena 61' M 5.90
22 A. Lookman A. Lookman 61' F 6.20
7 A. Griezmann A. Griezmann 1 👟 F 6.50
20 G. Simeone G. Simeone 45' F 6.20
Bench
40 Aleksa Purić Aleksa Purić 45' D 6.30
9 A. Sørloth A. Sørloth 45' F 6.20
37 Iker Luque Iker Luque F
32 Javier Boñar Javier Boñar 29' D 6.30
47 J. Morcillo J. Morcillo 29' M 6.70
13 J. Oblak J. Oblak G
34 Julio Díaz del Romo Julio Díaz del Romo M
61 Miguel Cubo Miguel Cubo F
3 M. Ruggeri M. Ruggeri 45' D 6.30
29 Rayane Belid Rayane Belid F
31 Salvi Esquivel Salvi Esquivel G
Best on the pitch
Ayoze Pérez
Ayoze Pérez
F · Villarreal
9.50
2 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 23 pass
N. Pépé
N. Pépé
M · Villarreal
8.20
2 👟
2 shots · 56 pass
G. Mikautadze
G. Mikautadze
F · Villarreal
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 22 pass
P. Gueye
P. Gueye
M · Villarreal
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 49 pass
Dani Parejo
Dani Parejo
M · Villarreal
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 51 pass
Rafa Marín
Rafa Marín
D · Villarreal
7.50
· 47 pass
Villarreal Villarreal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Arnau Tenas G 90 6.30 — — — 33 21% — — —
Alfonso Pedraza D 67 6.60 — — — 24 16% 1 — —
Rafa Marín D 90 7.50 — — — 47 45% 3 — —
Pau Navarro D 90 6.60 — — — 42 38% 2 — —
S. Mouriño D 90 7.20 — — — 74 67% 2 — —
Alberto Moleiro M 90 6.50 — — — 28 23% — — —
Dani Parejo M 66 7.70 1 — 1 51 50% 3 — —
P. Gueye M 75 8.00 1 — 1 49 42% 2 — —
N. Pépé M 90 8.20 — 2 2 56 49% — — —
G. Mikautadze F 89 8.20 1 — 3 22 20% — — —
Ayoze Pérez F 75 9.50 2 1 2 23 18% — — —
A. Diatta M 24 6.60 — — — 21 18% 1 — —
C. Macia M 1 — — — — — — — — —
Logan Costa D 15 6.60 — — — 12 12% 1 — —
Pau Cabanes F 15 6.50 — — — 5 4% — — —
Sergi Cardona D 23 6.60 — — — 11 9% — — —
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Musso G 90 5.70 — — — 18 17% — — —
D. Hancko D 45 5.60 — — — 21 20% — — —
C. Lenglet D 90 6.00 — — — 57 53% 5 — —
Marc Pubill D 45 6.70 1 — 1 42 39% 1 — —
Marcos Llorente D 90 5.30 — — — 58 53% 1 — —
O. Vargas M 90 7.00 — — 1 38 32% 3 — —
Koke M 90 6.90 — — — 86 75% — — —
Álex Baena M 61 5.90 — — 2 38 32% — — —
A. Lookman F 61 6.20 — — — 22 18% 2 — —
A. Griezmann F 90 6.50 — 1 2 45 37% — — —
G. Simeone F 45 6.20 — — 2 19 17% 1 1 —
Aleksa Purić D 45 6.30 — — — 16 14% — — —
A. Sørloth F 45 6.20 — — 1 6 4% — — —
Javier Boñar D 29 6.30 — — — 16 14% — — —
J. Morcillo M 29 6.70 — — — 18 17% — — —
M. Ruggeri D 45 6.30 — — — 27 21% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid?
The final score was Villarreal 5–1 Atletico Madrid.
What did the model predict before Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Villarreal win, 22% to a draw, and 30% to an Atletico Madrid win.