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La Liga · Regular Season - 9 October 17, 2026 16:15 Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
Villarreal
#10 · 12 pts
0 – 0
Final score
Elche
#15 · 10 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Villarreal, result Draw
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Villarreal a 53% win probability (draw 22%, Elche 23%). The final result was Villarreal 0–0 Elche. In 2 previous meetings, Villarreal have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Elche.

Match statistics
20
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
1
2.23
Actual xG
0.31
1
Saves
6
58%
Possession
42%
10
Corners
5
11
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
28'
Federico Redondo Solari / Marc Aguado ↕
38'
Gonzalo Villar
63'
65'
Tete Morente / Lucas Cepeda ↕
65'
Martim Neto / Thomas Lemar ↕
65'
Fernando Niño Rodríguez / Abiel Alessio Osorio ↕
↕ Santi Comesaña / Georges Mikautadze
66'
↕ Tani Oluwaseyi / Pape Gueye
66'
↕ Carlos Macià / Nathan-Dylan Saliba
66'
71'
Tete Morente
75'
Roy Revivo
↕ Ilias Akhomach Chakkour / Gerard Moreno
75'
Alex Freeman
81'
83'
Ruben Sanchez Saez / Buba Sangaré ↕
↕ Ayoze Pérez / Nizar El Jmili
84'
90'+1
Víctor Chust
Juan Foyth
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
53.59%
Villarreal
22.8%
X ←
23.61%
Elche
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 22.8% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Villarreal
3.25
2.23
-1.02
Elche
1.58
0.31
-1.28
Villarreal dominated by xG (2.23 vs 0.31). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 10 27
2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 10 25
3 Real Madrid Real Madrid 10 24
4 Real Betis Real Betis 10 20
5 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 10 19
6 Sevilla Sevilla 10 17
7 Alaves Alaves 10 12
8 Athletic Club Athletic Club 9 12
9 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 10 12
10 Villarreal Villarreal 10 12
11 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 10 11
12 Osasuna Osasuna 10 11
13 Racing Santander Racing Santander 10 11
14 Levante Levante 10 10
15 Elche Elche 10 10
16 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 9 9
17 Getafe Getafe 10 9
18 Espanyol Espanyol 10 8
19 Valencia Valencia 10 6
20 Malaga Malaga 10 5
Lineups
Villarreal Villarreal 4-4-2
25 P. Gulácsi P. Gulácsi G 6.80
23 Sergi Cardona Sergi Cardona D 7.02
2 Logan Costa Logan Costa D 7.29
8 J. Foyth J. Foyth D 7.10
3 A. Freeman A. Freeman D 6.74
10 Alberto Moleiro Alberto Moleiro M 6.29
16 C. Macia C. Macia 66' M 6.75
14 Santi Comesaña Santi Comesaña 66' M 6.90
11 Ilias Akhomach Ilias Akhomach 75' M 6.61
21 T. Oluwaseyi T. Oluwaseyi 66' F 6.33
22 Ayoze Pérez Ayoze Pérez 84' F 6.43
Bench
5 A. Diatta A. Diatta M 0.00
20 Carlos Romero Carlos Romero D 0.00
7 Gerard Moreno Gerard Moreno 15' F 6.55
9 G. Mikautadze G. Mikautadze 24' F 6.54
1 Luíz Júnior Luíz Júnior G 0.00
27 N. El Jmili N. El Jmili 6' F 6.62
24 N. Saliba N. Saliba 24' M 6.69
6 Pau Navarro Pau Navarro D 0.00
18 P. Gueye P. Gueye 24' M 6.09
12 Renato Veiga Renato Veiga D 0.00
15 S. Mouriño S. Mouriño D 0.00
Elche Elche 5-3-2
1 M. Dituro M. Dituro G 7.93
11 Germán Valera Germán Valera D 6.35
3 R. Revivo R. Revivo D 6.25
23 Víctor Chust Víctor Chust D 6.66
47 J. Morcillo J. Morcillo D 7.10
2 Buba Sangaré Buba Sangaré 83' D 6.05
18 T. Lemar T. Lemar 65' M 7.03
8 Marc Aguado Marc Aguado 28' M 6.93
12 Gonzalo Villar Gonzalo Villar M 6.22
21 L. Cepeda L. Cepeda 65' F 6.65
24 A. Osorio A. Osorio 65' F 6.33
Bench
13 Alejandro Iturbe Alejandro Iturbe G 0.00
29 Ali Houary Ali Houary F 0.00
6 Bigas Bigas D 0.00
9 E. Ponce E. Ponce F 0.00
10 F. Buonanotte F. Buonanotte M 0.00
14 Fer Niño Fer Niño 25' F 6.48
5 F. Redondo F. Redondo 62' M 6.77
17 Josan Josan M 0.00
15 K. Lomónaco K. Lomónaco D 0.00
16 Martim Neto Martim Neto 25' M 6.48
22 Rubén Sánchez Rubén Sánchez 7' D 6.56
20 Tete Morente Tete Morente 25' F 6.37
Best on the pitch
M. Dituro
M. Dituro
G · Elche
7.93
· 50 pass
Logan Costa
Logan Costa
D · Villarreal
7.29
3 shots · 79 pass
J. Foyth
J. Foyth
D · Villarreal
7.10
· 80 pass
J. Morcillo
J. Morcillo
D · Elche
7.10
1 shots · 42 pass
T. Lemar
T. Lemar
M · Elche
7.03
1 shots · 30 pass
Sergi Cardona
Sergi Cardona
D · Villarreal
7.02
· 50 pass
Villarreal Villarreal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Gulácsi G 90 6.80 — — 0 24 22% 0 — —
Sergi Cardona D 90 7.02 — — 0 50 42% 2 — —
Logan Costa D 90 7.29 — — 3 79 73% 0 — —
J. Foyth D 90 7.10 — — 0 80 73% 2 1 —
A. Freeman D 90 6.74 — — 0 77 68% 1 1 —
Alberto Moleiro M 90 6.29 — — 4 39 30% 1 — —
C. Macia M 66 6.75 — — 0 33 28% 4 — —
Santi Comesaña M 66 6.90 — — 1 39 38% 0 — —
Ilias Akhomach M 75 6.61 — — 4 30 21% 0 — —
T. Oluwaseyi F 66 6.33 — — 4 9 8% 0 — —
Ayoze Pérez F 84 6.43 — — 2 22 17% 1 — —
Gerard Moreno F 15 6.55 — — 1 10 8% 0 — —
G. Mikautadze F 24 6.54 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
N. El Jmili F 6 6.62 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
N. Saliba M 24 6.69 — — 1 13 13% 0 — —
P. Gueye M 24 6.09 — — 0 15 9% 0 — —
Elche Elche — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Dituro G 90 7.93 — — 0 50 30% 0 — —
Germán Valera D 90 6.35 — — 0 33 23% 3 — —
R. Revivo D 90 6.25 — — 0 32 29% 1 1 —
Víctor Chust D 90 6.66 — — 0 47 41% 2 1 —
J. Morcillo D 90 7.10 — — 1 42 33% 0 — —
Buba Sangaré D 83 6.05 — — 0 26 19% 1 — —
T. Lemar M 65 7.03 — — 1 30 27% 3 — —
Marc Aguado M 28 6.93 — — 0 9 8% 0 — —
Gonzalo Villar M 90 6.22 — — 1 27 21% 2 1 —
L. Cepeda F 65 6.65 — — 1 22 21% 1 — —
A. Osorio F 65 6.33 — — 1 8 4% 1 — —
Fer Niño F 25 6.48 — — 1 11 7% 0 — —
F. Redondo M 62 6.77 — — 0 35 33% 1 — —
Martim Neto M 25 6.48 — — 0 10 10% 0 — —
Rubén Sánchez D 7 6.56 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
Tete Morente F 25 6.37 — — 1 5 2% 0 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Villarreal vs Elche?
The final score was Villarreal 0–0 Elche.
What did the model predict before Villarreal vs Elche?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Villarreal win, 22% to a draw, and 23% to an Elche win.