✓Model correct — prediction Villarreal
G. Mikautadze
38'
A. Moleiro
(ast. S. Comesana)
62'
G. Mikautadze
(ast. N. Pepe)
68'
T. Buchanan
(ast. N. Pepe)
87'
N. Pepe
(ast. S. Cardona)
90'
51'
(ast. P. Martinez)
C. Espi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Villarreal a 55% win probability (draw 22%, Levante 22%). The final result was Villarreal 5–1 Levante. In 3 previous meetings, Villarreal have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Levante.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
6
8
Shots on target
3
2.22
Actual xG
0.75
2
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
7
Corners
3
17
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
30'
I. Losada
/
C. Alvarez
⚽G. Mikautadze
38'
D. Parejo
45'+4
45'
K. Arriaga
46'
K. Tunde
/
I. Romero
51'
ast. P. Martinez ·
C. Espi⚽
R. Veiga
55'
⚽A. Moleiro
· ast. S. Comesana
62'
⚽G. Mikautadze
· ast. N. Pepe
68'
68'
K. Etta Eyong
/
K. Tunde
68'
U. Raghouber
/
K. Arriaga
A. Pedraza
/ S. Cardona
73'
G. Mikautadze
/ A. Perez
74'
D. Parejo
/ T. Partey
74'
77'
R. Brugue
/
P. Martinez
P. Navarro
/ W. Kambwala
81'
G. Moreno
/ T. Buchanan
84'
⚽T. Buchanan
· ast. N. Pepe
87'
T. Partey
88'
⚽N. Pepe
· ast. S. Cardona
90'
Pre-match prediction
55.22%
Villarreal ←
22.72%
X
22.06%
Levante
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Villarreal)
55.22%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.72
2.22
+0.5
1.02
0.75
-0.27
Villarreal dominated by xG (2.22 vs 0.75).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
25
G
24
Pedraza
73'
D
Pedraza
73'
D
12
Renato Veiga
D
Renato Veiga
D
6
Pau Navarro
81'
D
Pau Navarro
81'
D
3
A. Freeman
D
A. Freeman
D
20
Alberto Moleiro
1 ⚽
M
Alberto Moleiro
1 ⚽
M
10
Dani Parejo
74'
M
Dani Parejo
74'
M
14
Santi Comesaña
1 👟
M
Santi Comesaña
1 👟
M
19
N. Pépé
1 ⚽
2 👟
M
N. Pépé
1 ⚽
2 👟
M
9
G. Mikautadze
2 ⚽
74'
F
G. Mikautadze
2 ⚽
74'
F
7
Gerard Moreno
84'
F
Gerard Moreno
84'
F
Bench
11
Alfon González
F
Alfon González
F
18
P. Gueye
M
P. Gueye
M
4
Rafa Marín
D
Rafa Marín
D
23
Sergi Cardona
1 👟
25'
D
Sergi Cardona
1 👟
25'
D
15
S. Mouriño
D
S. Mouriño
D
17
T. Buchanan
1 ⚽
14'
F
T. Buchanan
1 ⚽
14'
F
21
T. Oluwaseyi
F
T. Oluwaseyi
F
16
T. Partey
24'
M
T. Partey
24'
M
13
G
6
D
3
D
2
M. Moreno
D
M. Moreno
D
22
J. Toljan
D
J. Toljan
D
16
K. Arriaga
68'
M
K. Arriaga
68'
M
9
Iván Romero
45'
M
Iván Romero
45'
M
8
Jon Ander Olasagasti
M
Jon Ander Olasagasti
M
10
Pablo Martínez
1 👟
77'
M
Pablo Martínez
1 👟
77'
M
24
Carlos Álvarez
30'
M
Carlos Álvarez
30'
M
19
Carlos Espí
1 ⚽
F
Carlos Espí
1 ⚽
F
Bench
21
Etta Eyong
30'
F
Etta Eyong
30'
F
18
Iker Losada
68'
F
Iker Losada
68'
F
26
K. Tunde
23'
F
K. Tunde
23'
F
23
Manu Sánchez
D
Manu Sánchez
D
20
Oriol Rey
M
Oriol Rey
M
14
U. Raghouber
30'
M
U. Raghouber
30'
M
17
Víctor García
D
Víctor García
D
Best on the pitch
N. Pépé
M · Villarreal
10.00
1 ⚽ 2 👟
2 shots
· 35 pass
G. Mikautadze
F · Villarreal
8.50
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 16 pass
T. Buchanan
F · Villarreal
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
Alberto Moleiro
M · Villarreal
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 33 pass
Sergi Cardona
D · Villarreal
7.30
1 👟
· 11 pass
Pablo Martínez
M · Levante
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 29 pass
Villarreal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Pedraza | D | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Renato Veiga | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 78 | 73% | — | 1 | — |
| Pau Navarro | D | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Freeman | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| Alberto Moleiro | M | 98 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Dani Parejo | M | 74 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 58 | 51% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Santi Comesaña | M | 98 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 73 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Pépé | M | 98 | 10.00 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 31% | — | — | — |
| G. Mikautadze | F | 74 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 5 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Gerard Moreno | F | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergi Cardona | D | 25 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Buchanan | F | 14 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| T. Partey | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
Levante — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | — | — | — | |
| D | 98 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 53 | 50% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | 2 | — | — | |
| M. Moreno | D | 98 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 71 | 65% | — | — | — |
| J. Toljan | D | 98 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Arriaga | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Iván Romero | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Jon Ander Olasagasti | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Pablo Martínez | M | 77 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Álvarez | M | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Espí | F | 98 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Etta Eyong | F | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Iker Losada | F | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| K. Tunde | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| U. Raghouber | M | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Villarreal vs Levante?
The final score was Villarreal 5–1 Levante.
What did the model predict before Villarreal vs Levante?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Villarreal win, 22% to a draw, and 22% to an Levante win.