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Villarreal - Manchester United

Champions League January 27, 2027 21:00
Villarreal
#19 · 3 pts
vs
Manchester United
#21 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.3%
Win
Villarreal
33.99%
Draw
28.72%
Win
Manchester United
0.92
Expected xG
0.59

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (15.2%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 34%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 63%
12 66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Villarreal a 37% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Manchester United. Expected goals are 0.9 for Villarreal and 0.6 for Manchester United (total 1.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.2% probability.

Season Stats

Villarreal
1W 1D 9L
Manchester United
1W 0D 2L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.7
2.4
Conceded
2.0
4.1
Shots OT
6.0
3.6
Corners
5.0
44%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
82%
O 1.5
100%
73%
O 2.5
67%
55%
BTTS
33%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 11 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
55%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Villarreal
1W 1D 3L · at home
Manchester United
0W 0D 2L · away
1.6
gls/g
0.5
2.0
Conceded
3.0
20%
Win %
0%
40%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
80%
O 2.5
50%
60%
O 3.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
20%
Failed to Score
50%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Villarreal Manchester United →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 22.3% 13.0% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% —
1 20.4% 11.9% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% —
2 9.4% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% — —
3 2.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% — —
4 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% — — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Villarreal Villarreal
L Liverpool 4–3
W Napoli 3–1
L Borussia Dortmund 3–2
L Bayer Leverkusen 3–0
L Ajax 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Manchester United Manchester United
L Como 4–1
L Atletico Madrid 2–0
W Sabah FA 4–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

Villarreal Villarreal
Attack
57
Defence
71
Form
58
Manchester United Manchester United
Attack
31
Defence
51
Form
25
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 9
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3 9
3 Liverpool Liverpool 3 9
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 3 9
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 7
7 Arsenal Arsenal 3 7
8 Barcelona Barcelona 3 6
9 Como Como 3 6
10 Manchester City Manchester City 3 6
11 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 3 6
12 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3 6
13 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 6
14 Bayern München Bayern München 3 5
15 AS Roma AS Roma 3 4
16 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3 4
17 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3 4
18 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3 4
19 Villarreal Villarreal 3 3
20 Inter Inter 3 3
21 Manchester United Manchester United 3 3
22 Napoli Napoli 3 3
23 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3 3
24 Lask Linz Lask Linz 3 3
25 Sabah FA Sabah FA 3 3
26 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3 3
27 Lens Lens 3 3
28 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3 3
29 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 3 3
30 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3 3
31 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3 2
32 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 3 1
33 Viking Viking 3 1
34 FC Porto FC Porto 3 0
35 Lille Lille 3 0
36 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Villarreal vs Manchester United?
The model gives Villarreal a 37% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 28% for an Manchester United win.
How many goals are expected in Villarreal vs Manchester United?
Expected goals: Villarreal 0.9, Manchester United 0.6 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Villarreal vs Manchester United?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.2%.