Georges Mikautadze
23'
Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González
(ast. Gerard Moreno)
26'
Tani Oluwaseyi
(ast. Ayoze Pérez)
86'
8'
Amir Rrahmani
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Villarreal a 38% win probability (draw 33%, Napoli 27%). The final result was Villarreal 3–1 Napoli.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
2
1.42
Actual xG
1.94
1
Saves
1
52%
Possession
48%
4
Corners
4
15
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
8'
Amir Rrahmani⚽
⚽Georges Mikautadze
23'
⚽Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González
· ast. Gerard Moreno
26'
Georges Mikautadze
33'
55'
Giovane Santana Do Nascimento
60'
Noa Lang
/
Giovane Santana Do Nascimento
60'
Leonardo Spinazzola
/
Scott McTominay
61'
David Neres
/
Matteo Politano
62'
Kevin De Bruyne
Gerard Moreno
/ Tani Oluwaseyi
63'
Georges Mikautadze
/ Alex Freeman
63'
Nathan-Dylan Saliba
67'
Alberto Moleiro
/ Juan Foyth
68'
72'
Stanislav Lobotka
/
Billy Gilmour
72'
Lorenzo Lucca
/
Rafael Marin Zamora
Santi Comesaña
/ Ayoze Pérez
83'
Pape Gueye
/ Sergi Cardona Bermúdez
84'
85'
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
⚽Tani Oluwaseyi
· ast. Ayoze Pérez
86'
Pre-match prediction
38.69%
Villarreal ←
33.38%
X
27.93%
Napoli
we assigned to the actual result (Villarreal)
38.69%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.86
1.42
+0.56
0.65
1.94
+1.29
Napoli dominated by xG (1.94 vs 1.42).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Luíz Júnior
G
Luíz Júnior
G
20
Carlos Romero
D
Carlos Romero
D
12
Renato Veiga
D
Renato Veiga
D
6
Pau Navarro
D
Pau Navarro
D
15
S. Mouriño
1 ⚽
D
S. Mouriño
1 ⚽
D
10
Alberto Moleiro
68'
M
Alberto Moleiro
68'
M
18
P. Gueye
84'
M
P. Gueye
84'
M
14
Santi Comesaña
83'
M
Santi Comesaña
83'
M
24
N. Saliba
M
N. Saliba
M
9
G. Mikautadze
1 ⚽
63'
F
G. Mikautadze
1 ⚽
63'
F
7
Gerard Moreno
1 👟
63'
F
Gerard Moreno
1 👟
63'
F
Bench
5
A. Diatta
M
A. Diatta
M
3
A. Freeman
27'
D
A. Freeman
27'
D
22
Ayoze Pérez
1 👟
7'
F
Ayoze Pérez
1 👟
7'
F
16
C. Macia
M
C. Macia
M
11
Ilias Akhomach
F
Ilias Akhomach
F
8
J. Foyth
22'
D
J. Foyth
22'
D
2
Logan Costa
D
Logan Costa
D
27
N. El Jmili
F
N. El Jmili
F
13
Rubén Gómez
G
Rubén Gómez
G
23
Sergi Cardona
6'
D
Sergi Cardona
6'
D
21
T. Oluwaseyi
1 ⚽
27'
F
T. Oluwaseyi
1 ⚽
27'
F
32
V. Milinković-Savić
G
V. Milinković-Savić
G
5
B. Badiashile
D
B. Badiashile
D
13
Amir Rrahmani
1 ⚽
D
Amir Rrahmani
1 ⚽
D
16
Rafa Marín
72'
D
Rafa Marín
72'
D
22
G. Di Lorenzo
M
G. Di Lorenzo
M
8
S. McTominay
60'
M
S. McTominay
60'
M
6
B. Gilmour
72'
M
B. Gilmour
72'
M
21
M. Politano
61'
M
M. Politano
61'
M
23
Giovane
60'
M
Giovane
60'
M
11
K. De Bruyne
M
K. De Bruyne
M
19
R. Højlund
F
R. Højlund
F
Bench
1
A. Meret
G
A. Meret
G
7
David Neres
29'
F
David Neres
29'
F
20
L. Lucca
18'
F
L. Lucca
18'
F
37
L. Spinazzola
30'
D
L. Spinazzola
30'
D
14
N. Contini
G
N. Contini
G
70
N. Lang
30'
F
N. Lang
30'
F
31
S. Beukema
D
S. Beukema
D
68
S. Lobotka
18'
M
S. Lobotka
18'
M
Best on the pitch
T. Oluwaseyi
F · Villarreal
7.59
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 6 pass
G. Mikautadze
F · Villarreal
7.34
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
S. Mouriño
D · Villarreal
7.28
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 48 pass
Amir Rrahmani
D · Napoli
7.27
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 64 pass
Carlos Romero
D · Villarreal
7.22
1 shots
· 35 pass
Santi Comesaña
M · Villarreal
6.90
1 shots
· 49 pass
Villarreal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luíz Júnior | G | 90 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Romero | D | 90 | 7.22 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | 7 | — | — |
| Renato Veiga | D | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 46% | 0 | — | — |
| Pau Navarro | D | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 39% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Mouriño | D | 90 | 7.28 | 1 | — | 1 | 48 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Alberto Moleiro | M | 68 | 6.46 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Gueye | M | 84 | 6.32 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Santi Comesaña | M | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Saliba | M | 90 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Mikautadze | F | 63 | 7.34 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gerard Moreno | F | 63 | 6.89 | — | 1 | 2 | 37 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Freeman | D | 27 | 6.19 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Ayoze Pérez | F | 7 | 6.85 | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Foyth | D | 22 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Sergi Cardona | D | 6 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Oluwaseyi | F | 27 | 7.59 | 1 | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
Napoli — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Milinković-Savić | G | 90 | 5.53 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Badiashile | D | 90 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| Amir Rrahmani | D | 90 | 7.27 | 1 | — | 3 | 64 | 62% | 3 | — | — |
| Rafa Marín | D | 72 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Di Lorenzo | M | 90 | 6.03 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. McTominay | M | 60 | 6.02 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Gilmour | M | 72 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Politano | M | 61 | 5.87 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Giovane | M | 60 | 5.62 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| K. De Bruyne | M | 90 | 5.92 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Højlund | F | 90 | 6.33 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| David Neres | F | 29 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Lucca | F | 18 | 6.71 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Spinazzola | D | 30 | 5.69 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Lang | F | 30 | 6.16 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Lobotka | M | 18 | 5.81 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Villarreal vs Napoli?
The final score was Villarreal 3–1 Napoli.
What did the model predict before Villarreal vs Napoli?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Villarreal win, 33% to a draw, and 27% to an Napoli win.