Villarreal - Napoli
Champions League
October 13, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.5%
Win
Villarreal
35.88%
Draw
28.63%
Win
Napoli
0.76
0.52
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(16.26%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
36%
2
29%
Double Chance
1X
71%
X2
65%
12
64%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Villarreal a 35% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 28% for Napoli. Expected goals are 0.8 for Villarreal and 0.5 for Napoli (total 1.3), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 16.26% probability.
Season Stats
0W
1D
8L
2W
2D
5L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
1.0
2.3
Conceded
1.8
4.0
Shots OT
3.6
3.8
Corners
5.4
43%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
78%
O 1.5
78%
67%
O 2.5
33%
44%
BTTS
44%
0%
Clean Sht
22%
ℹ
Based on the last 9 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
38%
O 3.5
63%
BTTS
0W
1D
3L
· at home
0W
1D
3L
· away
1.2
gls/g
0.8
2.2
Conceded
2.8
0%
Win %
0%
25%
Win or Draw
25%
100%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
25%
50%
O 3.5
25%
75%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
25%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Villarreal
Napoli →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 27.7% | 14.5% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 21.1% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 3 | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | — | — | — |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Villarreal
Attack
45
Defence
68
Form
35
Napoli
Attack
45
Defence
60
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Villarreal vs Napoli?
The model gives Villarreal a 35% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 28% for an Napoli win.
How many goals are expected in Villarreal vs Napoli?
Expected goals: Villarreal 0.8, Napoli 0.5 (total 1.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Villarreal vs Napoli?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.26%.