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Serie B · Regular Season - 8 October 24, 2026 15:00
Virtus Entella
#11 · 10 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Mantova
#4 · 17 pts
10' (ast. Tommaso Del Lungo) Ettore Gliozzi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Virtus Entella a 36% win probability (draw 28%, Mantova 34%). The final result was Virtus Entella 0–1 Mantova. In 2 previous meetings, Virtus Entella have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Mantova.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
3
1.37
Actual xG
1.01
2
Saves
5
44%
Possession
56%
5
Corners
1
11
Tackles
15
5
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
10'
ast. Tommaso Del Lungo · Ettore Gliozzi⚽
12'
Andrea Tiritiello
36'
42'
Tommaso Del Lungo
45'+3
Francesco Modesto
M. Alborghetti
51'
55'
Stefano Cella
58'
Rachid Kouda / Lorenzo Ignacchiti ↕
59'
David·Wieser / Tommaso Del Lungo ↕
↕ Luca Parodi / Marwane Kritta
62'
↕ Niccolo Squizzato / Tommaso Annoni
69'
↕ Giacomo Corona / M Tirelli
69'
M Tirelli
74'
77'
matteo spinacce / Ettore Gliozzi ↕
77'
Davide Bragantini / Francesco Ruocco ↕
↕ Andrea Franzoni / Luigi Cuppone
78'
↕ M. Alborghetti / Luca Vignali
78'
85'
matteo spinacce
90'+1
Simone Trimboli
Leonardo Benedetti
90'+1
90'
Bodin Tomašević
Luigi Cuppone
90'
Pre-match prediction
36.71%
Virtus
28.75%
X
34.54%
Mantova ←
we assigned to the actual result (Mantova) 34.54% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Virtus
1.48
1.37
-0.11
Mantova
1.50
1.01
-0.49
Virtus Entella dominated by xG (1.37 vs 1.01). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 8 22
2 Modena Modena 9 19
3 Ascoli Ascoli 9 18
4 Mantova Mantova 9 17
5 Benevento Benevento 9 15
6 Pisa Pisa 8 14
7 Padova Padova 9 13
8 Sudtirol Sudtirol 9 13
9 Avellino Avellino 9 12
10 Cesena Cesena 9 11
11 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 9 10
12 Arezzo Arezzo 8 10
13 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 8 9
14 Cremonese Cremonese 9 9
15 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 9 9
16 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 8 8
17 Empoli Empoli 9 7
18 Carrarese Carrarese 8 7
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 9 5
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 9 5
Lineups
Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 3-5-2
12 E. Torrielli E. Torrielli G 5.59
27 M. Alborghetti M. Alborghetti 78' D 6.58
6 A. Tiritiello A. Tiritiello D 6.81
23 L. Parodi L. Parodi 62' D 6.82
26
M 0.00
80 L. Benedetti L. Benedetti M 5.93
5 N. Squizzato N. Squizzato 69' M 6.27
24 A. Franzoni A. Franzoni 78' M 6.30
94 F. Mezzoni F. Mezzoni M 5.72
11 Bernat Guiu Bernat Guiu F 6.95
9 Giacomo Corona Giacomo Corona 69' F 6.23
Bench
22 F. Del Frate F. Del Frate G 0.00
10 L. Cuppone L. Cuppone 12' F 6.03
55 Lucas Felippe Lucas Felippe M 0.00
8 L. Vignali L. Vignali 12' D 6.39
39 M. Motolese M. Motolese D 0.00
17 M. Tirelli M. Tirelli 21' F 6.14
3 N. Previtali N. Previtali D 0.00
16 R. Turicchia R. Turicchia M 0.00
18 T. Annoni T. Annoni 21' M 6.05
Mantova Mantova 3-4-2-1
22 F. Bardi F. Bardi G 7.01
27 A. Castellini A. Castellini D 6.85
29 S. Cella S. Cella D 6.22
5 B. Tomašević B. Tomašević D 6.25
50 F. Benaissa-Yahia F. Benaissa-Yahia M 6.35
25 L. Ignacchiti L. Ignacchiti 58' M 6.46
21 S. Trimboli S. Trimboli M 7.01
58
M 0.00
19 F. Ruocco F. Ruocco 77' M 6.11
8 R. Ilie R. Ilie M 6.58
9 E. Gliozzi E. Gliozzi 1 ⚽ 77' F 8.02
Bench
13 A. Meroni A. Meroni D 0.00
30 D. Bragantini D. Bragantini 13' F 6.38
10 D. Wieser D. Wieser 31' M 6.58
75 E. Košpo E. Košpo D 0.00
77 F. Vesentini F. Vesentini M 0.00
11 I. Cajazzo I. Cajazzo M 0.00
6 J. Mboyo J. Mboyo M 0.00
1 L. Gemello L. Gemello G 0.00
7 M. Spinaccè M. Spinaccè 13' F 6.30
17 N. Radaelli N. Radaelli D 0.00
80 R. Kouda R. Kouda 32' M 6.53
99 V. Vlahović V. Vlahović F 0.00
Best on the pitch
E. Gliozzi
E. Gliozzi
F · Mantova
8.02
1 ⚽
2 shots · 25 pass
F. Bardi
F. Bardi
G · Mantova
7.01
· 32 pass
S. Trimboli
S. Trimboli
M · Mantova
7.01
· 64 pass
Bernat Guiu
Bernat Guiu
F · Virtus
6.95
1 shots · 24 pass
A. Castellini
A. Castellini
D · Mantova
6.85
· 55 pass
L. Parodi
L. Parodi
D · Virtus
6.82
· 21 pass
Virtus Entella Virtus Entella — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Torrielli G 90 5.59 — — 0 28 9% 0 — —
M. Alborghetti D 78 6.58 — — 0 33 31% 0 1 —
A. Tiritiello D 90 6.81 — — 4 55 42% 3 1 —
L. Parodi D 62 6.82 — — 0 21 19% 1 — —
M 0 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
L. Benedetti M 90 5.93 — — 1 35 26% 0 1 —
N. Squizzato M 69 6.27 — — 0 41 34% 0 — —
A. Franzoni M 78 6.30 — — 2 17 8% 2 — —
F. Mezzoni M 90 5.72 — — 1 31 21% 2 — —
Bernat Guiu F 90 6.95 — — 1 24 20% 1 — —
Giacomo Corona F 69 6.23 — — 2 14 4% 0 — —
L. Cuppone F 12 6.03 — — 0 3 1% 0 1 —
L. Vignali D 12 6.39 — — 0 3 3% 1 — —
M. Tirelli F 21 6.14 — — 0 5 3% 0 1 —
T. Annoni M 21 6.05 — — 1 6 5% 1 — —
Mantova Mantova — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Bardi G 90 7.01 — — 0 32 15% 0 — —
A. Castellini D 90 6.85 — — 0 55 42% 1 — —
S. Cella D 90 6.22 — — 0 47 32% 2 1 —
B. Tomašević D 90 6.25 — — 0 36 29% 2 1 —
F. Benaissa-Yahia M 90 6.35 — — 1 44 38% 1 — —
L. Ignacchiti M 58 6.46 — — 0 35 27% 0 — —
S. Trimboli M 90 7.01 — — 0 64 57% 1 1 —
M 0 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
F. Ruocco M 77 6.11 — — 2 31 27% 0 — —
R. Ilie M 90 6.58 — — 1 31 25% 4 — —
E. Gliozzi F 77 8.02 1 — 2 25 16% 0 — —
D. Bragantini F 13 6.38 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
D. Wieser M 31 6.58 — — 0 11 9% 2 — —
M. Spinaccè F 13 6.30 — — 0 4 4% 2 1 —
R. Kouda M 32 6.53 — — 1 15 9% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs Mantova?
The final score was Virtus Entella 0–1 Mantova.
What did the model predict before Virtus Entella vs Mantova?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Virtus Entella win, 28% to a draw, and 34% to an Mantova win.