AFC Champions League
· Semi-finals
April 20, 2026 18:15
Y. Muto
(ast. Y. Osako)
31'
62'
(ast. E. Millot)
Galeno
70'
I. Toney
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vissel Kobe a 48% win probability (draw 23%, Al-Ahli Jeddah 27%). The final result was Vissel Kobe 1–2 Al-Ahli Jeddah.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
15
3
Shots on target
8
0.64
Actual xG
1.77
6
Saves
2
41%
Possession
59%
1
Corners
1
17
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Y. Muto
· ast. Y. Osako
31'
Y. Osako
38'
Y. Goke
45'
Y. Goke
/ M. Hidaka
46'
51'
60'
M. Jaissle
62'
ast. E. Millot ·
Galeno⚽
M. Mitsuta
/ Jean Patric
69'
69'
F. Al Buraikan
/
M. Demiral
70'
I. Toney⚽
M. Thuler
73'
75'
G. Sakai
/ R. Komatsu
79'
D. Sasaki
/ R. Hirose
79'
83'
R. Hamidou
Y. Ideguchi
/ K. Hamasaki
85'
90'+4
M. Abdulrahman
/
R. Mahrez
Pre-match prediction
48.12%
Vissel
23.89%
X
27.99%
Al-Ahli ←
we assigned to the actual result (Al-Ahli Jeddah)
27.99%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.93
0.64
-1.29
1.22
1.77
+0.55
Al-Ahli Jeddah dominated by xG (1.77 vs 0.64).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Daiya Maekawa
G
Daiya Maekawa
G
41
Katsuya Nagato
D
Katsuya Nagato
D
3
Matheus Thuler
D
Matheus Thuler
D
4
Tetsushi Yamakawa
D
Tetsushi Yamakawa
D
24
Gotoku Sakai
79'
D
Gotoku Sakai
79'
D
7
Y. Ideguchi
85'
M
Y. Ideguchi
85'
M
5
Yuta Goke
45'
M
Yuta Goke
45'
M
13
D. Sasaki
79'
M
D. Sasaki
79'
M
19
Makoto Mitsuta
69'
M
Makoto Mitsuta
69'
M
11
Y. Muto
1 ⚽
M
Y. Muto
1 ⚽
M
10
Yuya Osako
1 👟
F
Yuya Osako
1 👟
F
Bench
80
Boniface Nduka
D
Boniface Nduka
D
16
Caetano
D
Caetano
D
26
Jean Patric
21'
F
Jean Patric
21'
F
44
Mitsuki Hidaka
45'
M
Mitsuki Hidaka
45'
M
29
Ren Komatsu
11'
F
Ren Komatsu
11'
F
23
Rikuto Hirose
11'
D
Rikuto Hirose
11'
D
71
Shuichi Gonda
G
Shuichi Gonda
G
25
Yuya Kuwasaki
M
Yuya Kuwasaki
M
16
É. Mendy
G
É. Mendy
G
2
Zakaria Al Hawsawi
D
Zakaria Al Hawsawi
D
3
Ibañez
D
Ibañez
D
28
M. Demiral
69'
D
M. Demiral
69'
D
46
D
79
Franck Kessié
M
Franck Kessié
M
6
Valentin Atangana Edoa
M
Valentin Atangana Edoa
M
13
Galeno
1 ⚽
M
Galeno
1 ⚽
M
10
E. Millot
1 👟
M
E. Millot
1 👟
M
7
R. Mahrez
89'
M
R. Mahrez
89'
M
17
I. Toney
1 ⚽
F
I. Toney
1 ⚽
F
Bench
14
Eid Al Muwallad
M
Eid Al Muwallad
M
9
Firas Al-Buraikan
21'
F
Firas Al-Buraikan
21'
F
20
Matheus Gonçalves
F
Matheus Gonçalves
F
29
Mohammed Yousef
1'
D
Mohammed Yousef
1'
D
30
Ziyad Al Johani
M
Ziyad Al Johani
M
Best on the pitch
Galeno
M · Al-Ahli
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 28 pass
E. Millot
M · Al-Ahli
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 33 pass
Y. Muto
M · Vissel
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
R. Mahrez
M · Al-Ahli
7.00
2 shots
· 39 pass
Valentin Atangana Edoa
M · Al-Ahli
7.00
· 27 pass
M. Demiral
D · Al-Ahli
7.00
2 shots
· 35 pass
Vissel Kobe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daiya Maekawa | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Katsuya Nagato | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| Matheus Thuler | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tetsushi Yamakawa | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Gotoku Sakai | D | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Ideguchi | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Yuta Goke | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Sasaki | M | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Makoto Mitsuta | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Y. Muto | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Yuya Osako | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Jean Patric | F | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Mitsuki Hidaka | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Ren Komatsu | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Rikuto Hirose | D | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| É. Mendy | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Zakaria Al Hawsawi | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Ibañez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Demiral | D | 69 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 18% | 3 | 1 | — | |
| Franck Kessié | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Valentin Atangana Edoa | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Galeno | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 28 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Millot | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 33 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Mahrez | M | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Toney | F | 90 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Firas Al-Buraikan | F | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Yousef | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
The final score was Vissel Kobe 1–2 Al-Ahli Jeddah.
What did the model predict before Vissel Kobe vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Vissel Kobe win, 23% to a draw, and 27% to an Al-Ahli Jeddah win.