The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vissel Kobe a 36% win probability (draw 30%, Machida Zelvia 33%). The final result was Vissel Kobe 0–0 Machida Zelvia.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
19
6
Shots on target
7
1.32
Actual xG
2.04
7
Saves
6
50%
Possession
50%
8
Corners
4
15
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
16'
Takuma Nishimura
45'
Min-Tae Kim
/
Daihachi Okamura
Yuya Osako
/ Ren Komatsu
63'
Yuta Goke
/ Daiju Sasaki
64'
Katsuya Nagato
/ Jean Patric Lima dos Reis
69'
70'
Ryohei Shirasaki
/
Neta Lavi
70'
Mitchell Duke
/
Takuma Nishimura
71'
Hiroyuki Mae
84'
Hotaka Nakamura
/
Thomas Ouwejan
88'
Futa Tokumura
/
Yuki Soma
João Victor Andrade Caetano
/ Tetsushi Yamakawa
90'+2
Diego Jara Rodrigues
90'
Pre-match prediction
36.25%
Vissel
30.34%
X ←
33.41%
Machida
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.34%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.01
1.32
+0.31
0.99
2.04
+1.05
Machida Zelvia dominated by xG (2.04 vs 1.32).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
71
S. Gonda
G
S. Gonda
G
15
Diego
D
Diego
D
16
Caetano
89'
D
Caetano
89'
D
3
Matheus Thuler
D
Matheus Thuler
D
24
G. Sakai
D
G. Sakai
D
5
Y. Goke
64'
M
Y. Goke
64'
M
23
Yuan Iwamoto
M
Yuan Iwamoto
M
7
Y. Ideguchi
M
Y. Ideguchi
M
41
K. Nagato
69'
F
K. Nagato
69'
F
10
Y. Osako
63'
F
Y. Osako
63'
F
11
Y. Muto
F
Y. Muto
F
Bench
1
D. Maekawa
G
D. Maekawa
G
13
D. Sasaki
26'
F
D. Sasaki
26'
F
62
H. Kawabata
F
H. Kawabata
F
26
Jean Patrick
21'
F
Jean Patrick
21'
F
20
K. Watanabe
M
K. Watanabe
M
44
M. Hidaka
M
M. Hidaka
M
29
R. Komatsu
27'
F
R. Komatsu
27'
F
4
T. Yamakawa
1'
D
T. Yamakawa
1'
D
25
Y. Kuwasaki
M
Y. Kuwasaki
M
1
K. Tani
G
K. Tani
G
2
T. Ouwejan
84'
D
T. Ouwejan
84'
D
50
D. Okamura
45'
D
D. Okamura
45'
D
3
G. Shōji
D
G. Shōji
D
33
T. Akimoto
M
T. Akimoto
M
31
N. Lavi
70'
M
N. Lavi
70'
M
16
H. Mae
M
H. Mae
M
6
H. Mochizuki
M
H. Mochizuki
M
7
Y. Soma
88'
M
Y. Soma
88'
M
20
T. Nishimura
70'
M
T. Nishimura
70'
M
9
Koki Ogawa
F
Koki Ogawa
F
Bench
34
Futa Tokumura
2'
F
Futa Tokumura
2'
F
88
H. Nakamura
6'
D
H. Nakamura
6'
D
18
H. Shimoda
M
H. Shimoda
M
5
I. Drešević
D
I. Drešević
D
24
Kim Min-Tae
45'
D
Kim Min-Tae
45'
D
8
K. Sento
M
K. Sento
M
15
M. Duke
20'
F
M. Duke
20'
F
23
R. Shirasaki
20'
M
R. Shirasaki
20'
M
13
T. Morita
G
T. Morita
G
Best on the pitch
S. Gonda
G · Vissel
8.80
· 49 pass
K. Tani
G · Machida
7.97
· 39 pass
G. Shōji
D · Machida
7.51
1 shots
· 45 pass
G. Sakai
D · Vissel
7.47
2 shots
· 40 pass
T. Ouwejan
D · Machida
7.32
1 shots
· 38 pass
H. Mochizuki
M · Machida
7.20
1 shots
· 35 pass
Vissel Kobe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gonda | G | 90 | 8.80 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| Diego | D | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 30% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Caetano | D | 89 | 7.12 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Thuler | D | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Sakai | D | 90 | 7.47 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| Y. Goke | M | 64 | 6.33 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Yuan Iwamoto | M | 90 | 6.85 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Ideguchi | M | 90 | 6.55 | — | — | 5 | 41 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Nagato | F | 69 | 6.06 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Osako | F | 63 | 6.29 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Muto | F | 90 | 6.47 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Sasaki | F | 26 | 6.96 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean Patrick | F | 21 | 6.64 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Komatsu | F | 27 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Yamakawa | D | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Machida Zelvia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Tani | G | 90 | 7.97 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Ouwejan | D | 84 | 7.32 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Okamura | D | 45 | 7.02 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Shōji | D | 90 | 7.51 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 39% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Akimoto | M | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Lavi | M | 70 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Mae | M | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| H. Mochizuki | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Soma | M | 88 | 6.27 | — | — | 5 | 36 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Nishimura | M | 70 | 6.12 | — | — | 4 | 12 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Koki Ogawa | F | 90 | 6.40 | — | — | 4 | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Futa Tokumura | F | 2 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Nakamura | D | 6 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Kim Min-Tae | D | 45 | 6.74 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Duke | F | 20 | 6.31 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Shirasaki | M | 20 | 6.61 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?
The final score was Vissel Kobe 0–0 Machida Zelvia.
What did the model predict before Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Vissel Kobe win, 30% to a draw, and 33% to an Machida Zelvia win.