Vitória de Sernache - Varzim
Taça de Portugal
September 19, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
27.67%
Win
Vitória de Sernache
26.74%
Draw
45.59%
Win
Varzim
1.65
3.44
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(9.72%)
1X2 Result
1
28%
X
27%
2
46%
Double Chance
1X
54%
X2
72%
12
73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
63%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Varzim a 45% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Vitória de Sernache. Expected goals are 1.6 for Vitória de Sernache and 3.4 for Varzim (total 5.1), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.72% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
1W
0D
1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
3.0
1.0
Conceded
3.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Vitória de Sernache
Varzim →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| 2 | 0.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Vitória de Sernache
Attack
31
Defence
50
Form
42
Varzim
Attack
45
Defence
79
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Vitória de Sernache vs Varzim?
The model gives Vitória de Sernache a 27% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 45% for an Varzim win.
How many goals are expected in Vitória de Sernache vs Varzim?
Expected goals: Vitória de Sernache 1.6, Varzim 3.4 (total 5.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Vitória de Sernache vs Varzim?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.72%.