Vitoria Setubal - UD da Serra
Taça de Portugal
October 17, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.39%
Win
Vitoria Setubal
32.17%
Draw
33.43%
Win
UD da Serra
3.68
3.16
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.61%)
1X2 Result
1
34%
X
32%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
66%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
✓ 63.6% hit rate (44 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Vitoria Setubal a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for UD da Serra. Expected goals are 3.7 for Vitoria Setubal and 3.2 for UD da Serra (total 6.8), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.61% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
0L
2W
0D
1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
3.0
0.0
Conceded
1.7
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
67%
0%
BTTS
33%
100%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Vitoria Setubal
UD da Serra →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 0.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
Playing profile
Vitoria Setubal
Attack
50
Defence
100
Form
81
UD da Serra
Attack
95
Defence
59
Form
77
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Vitoria Setubal vs UD da Serra?
The model gives Vitoria Setubal a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 33% for an UD da Serra win.
How many goals are expected in Vitoria Setubal vs UD da Serra?
Expected goals: Vitoria Setubal 3.7, UD da Serra 3.2 (total 6.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Vitoria Setubal vs UD da Serra?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.61%.