Taça de Portugal
· Round of 64
October 18, 2026 16:00
Ze Mario
62'
120'+2
(pen.)
120'+3
(pen.)
37'
M. Pereira
(pen.)
120'+1
(pen.)
120'+2
(pen.)
120'+4
(pen.)
120'+5
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vitoria Setubal a 34% win probability (draw 32%, UD da Serra 33%). The final result was Vitoria Setubal 1–1 UD da Serra.
Match statistics
Match Events
37'
M. Pereira⚽
A. Gomes
41'
J. Delgado
/ B. dos Santos
46'
F. Pala
/ R. Geraldo
46'
Mani
47'
G. Teixeira
/ Ze Mario
62'
⚽Ze Mario
62'
66'
J. Costa
/
T. F. Justino G.
66'
Vieirinha
/
W. Costa
73'
J. Costa
81'
D. Gameiro
/
I. Nabais
87'
E. Frazier
/
I. Alves
T. Piedade
90'+2
91'
T. F. Justino G.
/
P. Faustino
C. Amaral
/ U. Lima
95'
C. Djalo
/ J. Chima
95'
Mani
/ Cuca
97'
101'
E. Frazier
105'+5
G. Isaias
R. Geraldo
106'
118'
B. Castro
119'
G. Ribeiro
/
G. Isaias
120'+1
(pen.)
⚽
⚽
(missed pen.)
120'+1
120'+2
(pen.)
⚽
⚽
(pen.)
120'+2
120'+3
(missed pen.)
⚽
⚽
(pen.)
120'+3
120'+4
(pen.)
⚽
⚽
(missed pen.)
120'+4
120'+5
(pen.)
⚽
Pre-match prediction
34.13%
Vitoria
32.48%
X ←
33.38%
UD
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.48%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.00
—
—
1.72
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vitoria Setubal vs UD da Serra?
The final score was Vitoria Setubal 1–1 UD da Serra.
What did the model predict before Vitoria Setubal vs UD da Serra?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Vitoria Setubal win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an UD da Serra win.