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Vitoria - Atletico Paranaense

Copa do Brasil August 07, 2026 01:00
Vitoria
vs
Atletico Paranaense
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.32%
Win
Vitoria
31.75%
Draw
31.93%
Win
Atletico Paranaense
1.17
Expected xG
1.06

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.88%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 64%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 66%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Vitoria a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Atletico Paranaense. Expected goals are 1.2 for Vitoria and 1.1 for Atletico Paranaense (total 2.2), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.88% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Vitoria have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Paranaense.

Season Stats

Vitoria
2W 0D 2L
Atletico Paranaense
4W 3D 3L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.8
1.0
Conceded
0.6
0.0
Shots OT
4.3
6.0
Corners
5.0
—
Poss.
48%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
40%
25%
O 2.5
20%
25%
BTTS
20%
50%
Clean Sht
60%
ℹ Based on the last 10 matches in Copa do Brasil. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
10%
BTTS
Vitoria
1W 0D 1L · at home
Atletico Paranaense
1W 2D 2L · away
1.0
gls/g
0.6
1.0
Conceded
0.8
50%
Win %
20%
50%
Win or Draw
60%
100%
O 1.5
60%
0%
O 2.5
20%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
20%
50%
Clean Sht
60%
50%
Failed to Score
60%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Vitoria Atletico Paranaense →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7% 11.4% 6.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13.3% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.4% 7.8% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.9% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% —
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% — —
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Vitoria Vitoria
W Flamengo 2–0
L Flamengo 2–1
L Nautico Recife 0–2
W Maranhão 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 55%
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
D Atletico Goianiense 0–0
D Atletico Goianiense 0–0
L Corinthians 2–0
L Corinthians 0–1
W Sao Paulo 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Vitoria Vitoria
Attack
31
Defence
61
Form
58
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
Attack
33
Defence
75
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Vitoria
0
Draw
1
Atletico Paranaense
26 Apr 2026 Brasileirão Série A 1–3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?
The model gives Vitoria a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Atletico Paranaense win.
How many goals are expected in Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?
Expected goals: Vitoria 1.2, Atletico Paranaense 1.1 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.88%.