Copa do Brasil
· Round of 16
August 07, 2026 01:00
Rene
11'
Erick
(ast. E. Britez)
45'+4
Rene
60'
Marinho
(ast. Fabricio)
90'+3
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vitoria a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Atletico Paranaense 29%). The final result was Vitoria 4–0 Atletico Paranaense. In 2 previous meetings, Vitoria have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Atletico Paranaense.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
9
Shots on target
3
3
Saves
5
50%
Possession
50%
7
Corners
6
16
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Rene
11'
Caique Goncalves
25'
45'+2
F. Aguirre
⚽Erick
· ast. E. Britez
45'+4
Caique Goncalves
/ Ze Vitor
46'
46'
Joao Cruz
/
Leo Derik
46'
K. A. Calderon Vargas
/
Leozinho
⚽Rene
60'
66'
Dudu Kogitzki
/
Gilberto
66'
B. Zapelli
/
Luiz Gustavo
Erick
/ D. Tarzia
71'
72'
Arthur Dias
D. Tarzia
74'
74'
S. Mendoza
Rene
79'
Renato Kayzer
/ Fabricio
81'
Matheuzinho
/ Marinho
82'
82'
Renan Peixoto
/
Jadson
Rene
/ Walace
89'
Marinho
89'
⚽Marinho
· ast. Fabricio
90'+3
E. Britez
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
39.85%
Vitoria ←
30.51%
X
29.63%
Atletico
we assigned to the actual result (Vitoria)
39.85%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.38
—
—
1.03
—
—
Lineups
1
Lucas Arcanjo
G
Lucas Arcanjo
G
36
Luan Cândido
D
Luan Cândido
D
25
Cacá
D
Cacá
D
2
E. Brítez
1 👟
D
E. Brítez
1 👟
D
13
Ramon
M
Ramon
M
10
Matheuzinho
82'
M
Matheuzinho
82'
M
95
Caíque
45'
M
Caíque
45'
M
44
Gabriel Baralhas
M
Gabriel Baralhas
M
33
Erick
1 ⚽
71'
M
Erick
1 ⚽
71'
M
79
Renato Kayzer
81'
F
Renato Kayzer
81'
F
91
Rene
2 ⚽
89'
F
Rene
2 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
12
D. Tarzia
28'
D
D. Tarzia
28'
D
26
Edenilson
M
Edenilson
M
70
Fabiano
D
Fabiano
D
23
Fabrício
1 👟
18'
F
Fabrício
1 👟
18'
F
83
Jamerson
D
Jamerson
D
20
Lucas Silva
F
Lucas Silva
F
7
Marinho
1 ⚽
17'
F
Marinho
1 ⚽
17'
F
98
Mateusinho
D
Mateusinho
D
11
Osvaldo
F
Osvaldo
F
15
Walace
10'
D
Walace
10'
D
71
Yuri Sena
G
Yuri Sena
G
88
Zé Vitor
54'
M
Zé Vitor
54'
M
23
Santos
G
Santos
G
4
Arthur Dias
D
Arthur Dias
D
33
J. Aguirre
D
J. Aguirre
D
29
G. Benavídez
D
G. Benavídez
D
6
Leonardo Derik
45'
M
Leonardo Derik
45'
M
14
Luiz Gustavo
66'
M
Luiz Gustavo
66'
M
16
Jádson
82'
M
Jádson
82'
M
12
Gilberto
66'
M
Gilberto
66'
M
7
S. Mendoza
F
S. Mendoza
F
21
Leozinho
45'
F
Leozinho
45'
F
9
K. Viveros
F
K. Viveros
F
Bench
10
B. Zapelli
33'
M
B. Zapelli
33'
M
25
Dantas
D
Dantas
D
63
Diogo Riquelme
M
Diogo Riquelme
M
53
Dudu
33'
M
Dudu
33'
M
5
Felipinho
D
Felipinho
D
2
Gilberto
D
Gilberto
D
8
João Cruz
54'
M
João Cruz
54'
M
19
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto
F
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto
F
18
K. Vargas
54'
F
K. Vargas
54'
F
3
Léo
D
Léo
D
1
Mycael
G
Mycael
G
70
Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno
17'
F
Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno
17'
F
Best on the pitch
Erick
M · Vitoria
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
Rene
F · Vitoria
8.00
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
Marinho
F · Vitoria
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
Cacá
D · Vitoria
7.70
· 57 pass
Luan Cândido
D · Vitoria
7.60
· 49 pass
Lucas Arcanjo
G · Vitoria
7.30
· 25 pass
Vitoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Arcanjo | G | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Luan Cândido | D | 99 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 49 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Cacá | D | 99 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 57 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Brítez | D | 99 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 50 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Ramon | M | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Caíque | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Baralhas | M | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Erick | M | 71 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Renato Kayzer | F | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Rene | F | 89 | 8.00 | 2 | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D. Tarzia | D | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Fabrício | F | 18 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Marinho | F | 17 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Walace | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | M | 54 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
Atletico Paranaense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | G | 99 | 5.00 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Dias | D | 99 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Aguirre | D | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 3 | 1 | — |
| G. Benavídez | D | 99 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Leonardo Derik | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Luiz Gustavo | M | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Jádson | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Gilberto | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Mendoza | F | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Leozinho | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| K. Viveros | F | 99 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| B. Zapelli | M | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Dudu | M | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| João Cruz | M | 54 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Vargas | F | 54 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno | F | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?
The final score was Vitoria 4–0 Atletico Paranaense.
What did the model predict before Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Vitoria win, 30% to a draw, and 29% to an Atletico Paranaense win.