Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 24
August 23, 2026 21:00
67'
(ast. Erick Pulga)
A. Veliz
90'+7
(ast. Michel Araujo)
Jean Lucas
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bahia a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Vitoria 33%). The final result was Vitoria 0–2 Bahia. In 1 previous meetings, Vitoria have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Bahia.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
21
2
Shots on target
9
0.46
Actual xG
3.96
6
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
7
Corners
7
20
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Matheuzinho
26'
42'
Rodrigo
D. Tarzia
/ T. Pochettino
46'
Walace
/ Emmanuel Martinez
46'
Erick
/ Marinho
63'
67'
ast. Erick Pulga ·
A. Veliz⚽
Matheuzinho
/ Renato Kayzer
70'
71'
Jean Lucas
/
Erick
E. Britez
/ Matheusinho
77'
78'
Erick Pulga
82'
Ruan Pablo
/
Erick Pulga
82'
Michel Araujo
/
Rodrigo
90'+4
Everaldo
/
A. Veliz
90'+7
ast. Michel Araujo ·
Jean Lucas⚽
Caca
90'+7
90'+7
Jean Lucas
Pre-match prediction
33.01%
Vitoria
31.04%
X
35.95%
Bahia ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bahia)
35.95%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.85
0.46
-0.39
0.96
3.96
+3.0
Bahia dominated by xG (3.96 vs 0.46).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Lucas Arcanjo
G
Lucas Arcanjo
G
13
Ramon
D
Ramon
D
36
Luan Cândido
D
Luan Cândido
D
25
Cacá
D
Cacá
D
2
E. Brítez
77'
D
E. Brítez
77'
D
15
Walace
45'
M
Walace
45'
M
88
Zé Vitor
M
Zé Vitor
M
12
D. Tarzia
45'
M
D. Tarzia
45'
M
10
Matheuzinho
70'
M
Matheuzinho
70'
M
33
Erick
63'
M
Erick
63'
M
91
Rene
F
Rene
F
Bench
9
Alex Bruno
F
Alex Bruno
F
26
Edenilson
M
Edenilson
M
6
E. Martínez
45'
M
E. Martínez
45'
M
23
Fabrício
F
Fabrício
F
83
Jamerson
D
Jamerson
D
18
Kauan
D
Kauan
D
7
Marinho
27'
F
Marinho
27'
F
98
Mateusinho
13'
D
Mateusinho
13'
D
11
Osvaldo
F
Osvaldo
F
79
Renato Kayzer
20'
F
Renato Kayzer
20'
F
8
T. Pochettino
45'
M
T. Pochettino
45'
M
71
Yuri Sena
G
Yuri Sena
G
1
Ronaldo
G
Ronaldo
G
46
Luciano Juba
D
Luciano Juba
D
21
S. Ramos
D
S. Ramos
D
33
David Duarte
D
David Duarte
D
31
Roman Gomez
D
Roman Gomez
D
11
Rodrigo Nestor
82'
M
Rodrigo Nestor
82'
M
5
N. Acevedo
M
N. Acevedo
M
14
Erick
71'
M
Erick
71'
M
16
Erick Pulga
1 👟
82'
F
Erick Pulga
1 👟
82'
F
9
A. Véliz
1 ⚽
89'
F
A. Véliz
1 ⚽
89'
F
99
C. Olivera
F
C. Olivera
F
Bench
8
Caio Alexandre
M
Caio Alexandre
M
27
Everaldo
1'
F
Everaldo
1'
F
17
G. Herrera
G
G. Herrera
G
6
Jean Lucas
1 ⚽
19'
M
Jean Lucas
1 ⚽
19'
M
4
Kanu
D
Kanu
D
15
M. Araújo
1 👟
8'
M
M. Araújo
1 👟
8'
M
3
Marco Moreno
D
Marco Moreno
D
44
Marcos Victor
D
Marcos Victor
D
23
M. Sanabria
F
M. Sanabria
F
77
Ruan Pablo
8'
F
Ruan Pablo
8'
F
12
Willian José
F
Willian José
F
66
Zé Guilherme
D
Zé Guilherme
D
Best on the pitch
Luciano Juba
D · Bahia
8.90
1 shots
· 42 pass
M. Araújo
M · Bahia
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 7 pass
Ronaldo
G · Bahia
7.70
· 34 pass
Lucas Arcanjo
G · Vitoria
7.60
· 26 pass
A. Véliz
F · Bahia
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 12 pass
Erick Pulga
F · Bahia
7.50
1 👟
4 shots
· 22 pass
Vitoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Arcanjo | G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Ramon | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Luan Cândido | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Cacá | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Brítez | D | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Walace | M | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Tarzia | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Erick | M | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Rene | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Martínez | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Marinho | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Mateusinho | D | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Renato Kayzer | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| T. Pochettino | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
Bahia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Luciano Juba | D | 90 | 8.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 39% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Ramos | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | — | — | — |
| David Duarte | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Roman Gomez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Nestor | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 24% | 2 | 1 | — |
| N. Acevedo | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Erick | M | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 6 | — | — |
| Erick Pulga | F | 82 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Véliz | F | 89 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 4 | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
| C. Olivera | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Everaldo | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jean Lucas | M | 19 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Araújo | M | 8 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Ruan Pablo | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vitoria vs Bahia?
The final score was Vitoria 0–2 Bahia.
What did the model predict before Vitoria vs Bahia?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Vitoria win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Bahia win.