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#14 · 38 pts
1 – 0
Final score
#11 · 39 pts
Matheuzinho 27' (pen.)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo a 41% win probability (draw 29%, Vitoria 28%). The final result was Vitoria 1–0 Botafogo. In 1 previous meetings, Vitoria have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Botafogo.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
3
2.08
Actual xG
1.13
3
Saves
2
46%
Possession
54%
7
Corners
4
21
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
2'
Huguinho
⚽Matheuzinho (pen.)
27'
28'
Junior Santos / Huguinho ↕
29'
A. Montoro
30'
Ramon
45'+3
Emmanuel Martinez
51'
53'
Danilo Pereira / Matheus Martins ↕
↕ Ramon / Jamerson
59'
↕ Emmanuel Martinez / Walace
59'
61'
L. Monzon
↕ Rene / Renato Kayzer
65'
↕ D. Tarzia / T. Pochettino
65'
73'
D. Andrade / Danilo Santos ↕
73'
S. Rodriguez / C. Medina ↕
↕ Matheuzinho / Marinho
78'
Pre-match prediction
28.93%
Vitoria ←
29.48%
X
41.59%
Botafogo
we assigned to the actual result (Vitoria) 28.93% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Vitoria
0.78
2.08
+1.3
Botafogo
1.16
1.13
-0.03
Vitoria dominated by xG (2.08 vs 1.13). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 33 73
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 33 70
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 33 57
4 Fluminense Fluminense 33 54
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 33 54
6 Bahia Bahia 33 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 33 50
8 Santos Santos 33 47
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 33 44
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 33 43
11 Botafogo Botafogo 33 39
12 Coritiba Coritiba 32 39
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 32 38
14 Vitoria Vitoria 32 38
15 Gremio Gremio 33 37
16 Mirassol Mirassol 32 37
17 Internacional Internacional 33 35
18 Corinthians Corinthians 32 33
19 Remo Remo 33 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 32 21
Lineups
Vitoria Vitoria 4-2-3-1
1 Lucas Arcanjo Lucas Arcanjo G 8.30
13 Ramon Ramon 59' D 6.50
36 Luan Cândido Luan Cândido D 7.50
25 Cacá Cacá D 6.90
2 E. Brítez E. Brítez D 7.00
88 Zé Vitor Zé Vitor M 7.90
6 E. Martínez E. Martínez 59' M 7.30
12 D. Tarzia D. Tarzia 65' M 7.00
10 Matheuzinho Matheuzinho 1 ⚽ 78' M 7.70
33 Erick Erick M 8.50
91 Rene Rene 65' F 6.20
Bench
26 Edenilson Edenilson M
70 Fabiano Fabiano D
23 Fabrício Fabrício F
83 Jamerson Jamerson 33' D 7.20
18 Kauan Kauan D
7 Marinho Marinho 14' F 6.60
98 Mateusinho Mateusinho D
11 Osvaldo Osvaldo F
79 Renato Kayzer Renato Kayzer 27' F 6.20
8 T. Pochettino T. Pochettino 27' M 6.50
15 Walace Walace 33' D 6.90
71 Yuri Sena Yuri Sena G
Botafogo Botafogo 4-2-3-1
17 Warleson Warleson G 7.20
13 Alex Telles Alex Telles D 7.50
33 L. Monzón L. Monzón D 6.70
5 N. Ferraresi N. Ferraresi D 8.20
2 Vitinho Vitinho D 6.90
6 C. Medina C. Medina 72' M 7.30
75 Huguinho Huguinho 28' M 5.90
11 Matheus Martins Matheus Martins 53' M 6.90
10 Álvaro Montoro Álvaro Montoro M 6.50
8 Danilo Santos Danilo Santos 72' M 6.60
19 Arthur Cabral Arthur Cabral F 7.20
Bench
25 Allan Allan M
26 Anthony Anthony D
9 Danilo Danilo 39' F 6.70
91 Domingos Andrade Domingos Andrade 20' M 6.70
88 Edenílson Edenílson M
12 Gabriel Batista Gabriel Batista G
7 Júnior Santos Júnior Santos 64' F 6.30
59 Kauan Toledo Kauan Toledo M
37 K. Barria K. Barria F
77 L. Villalba L. Villalba F
4 M. Ponte M. Ponte D
23 S. Rodríguez S. Rodríguez 20' M 7.00
Best on the pitch
Erick
Erick
M · Vitoria
8.50
2 shots · 38 pass
Lucas Arcanjo
Lucas Arcanjo
G · Vitoria
8.30
· 28 pass
N. Ferraresi
N. Ferraresi
D · Botafogo
8.20
· 54 pass
Zé Vitor
Zé Vitor
M · Vitoria
7.90
2 shots · 47 pass
Matheuzinho
Matheuzinho
M · Vitoria
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 23 pass
Luan Cândido
Luan Cândido
D · Vitoria
7.50
· 29 pass
Vitoria Vitoria — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lucas Arcanjo G 92 8.30 — — — 28 16% — — —
Ramon D 59 6.50 — — — 23 18% — 1 —
Luan Cândido D 92 7.50 — — — 29 26% 3 — —
Cacá D 92 6.90 — — 1 27 25% 1 — —
E. Brítez D 92 7.00 — — — 32 27% 1 — —
Zé Vitor M 92 7.90 — — 2 47 40% 8 — —
E. Martínez M 59 7.30 — — 1 19 17% 2 1 —
D. Tarzia M 65 7.00 — — 1 12 11% 2 — —
Matheuzinho M 78 7.70 1 — 3 23 21% 2 — —
Erick M 92 8.50 — — 2 38 26% — — —
Rene F 65 6.20 — — 3 13 9% — — —
Jamerson D 33 7.20 — — — 10 9% 1 — —
Marinho F 14 6.60 — — 1 4 4% 1 — —
Renato Kayzer F 27 6.20 — — 1 9 5% — — —
T. Pochettino M 27 6.50 — — — 7 6% — — —
Walace D 33 6.90 — — — 14 13% — — —
Botafogo Botafogo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Warleson G 92 7.20 — — — 23 12% — — —
Alex Telles D 92 7.50 — — — 27 20% 1 — —
L. Monzón D 92 6.70 — — 1 24 22% 1 1 —
N. Ferraresi D 92 8.20 — — — 54 43% 4 — —
Vitinho D 92 6.90 — — — 37 27% 1 — —
C. Medina M 72 7.30 — — — 47 45% — — —
Huguinho M 28 5.90 — — — 12 11% — 1 —
Matheus Martins M 53 6.90 — — 1 22 20% — — —
Álvaro Montoro M 92 6.50 — — — 36 32% 1 1 —
Danilo Santos M 72 6.60 — — — 28 24% 3 — —
Arthur Cabral F 92 7.20 — — 3 18 12% 1 — —
Danilo F 39 6.70 — — — 11 10% 1 — —
Domingos Andrade M 20 6.70 — — — 31 26% 1 — —
Júnior Santos F 64 6.30 — — 2 5 4% — — —
S. Rodríguez M 20 7.00 — — — 24 20% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vitoria vs Botafogo?
The final score was Vitoria 1–0 Botafogo.
What did the model predict before Vitoria vs Botafogo?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Vitoria win, 29% to a draw, and 41% to an Botafogo win.