Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 23
August 16, 2026 23:30
Matheuzinho
27'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo a 41% win probability (draw 29%, Vitoria 28%). The final result was Vitoria 1–0 Botafogo. In 1 previous meetings, Vitoria have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Botafogo.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
3
2.08
Actual xG
1.13
3
Saves
2
46%
Possession
54%
7
Corners
4
21
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
2'
Huguinho
⚽Matheuzinho
(pen.)
27'
28'
Junior Santos
/
Huguinho
29'
A. Montoro
30'
Ramon
45'+3
Emmanuel Martinez
51'
53'
Danilo Pereira
/
Matheus Martins
Ramon
/ Jamerson
59'
Emmanuel Martinez
/ Walace
59'
61'
L. Monzon
Rene
/ Renato Kayzer
65'
D. Tarzia
/ T. Pochettino
65'
73'
D. Andrade
/
Danilo Santos
73'
S. Rodriguez
/
C. Medina
Matheuzinho
/ Marinho
78'
Pre-match prediction
28.93%
Vitoria ←
29.48%
X
41.59%
Botafogo
we assigned to the actual result (Vitoria)
28.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.78
2.08
+1.3
1.16
1.13
-0.03
Vitoria dominated by xG (2.08 vs 1.13).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Lucas Arcanjo
G
Lucas Arcanjo
G
13
Ramon
59'
D
Ramon
59'
D
36
Luan Cândido
D
Luan Cândido
D
25
Cacá
D
Cacá
D
2
E. Brítez
D
E. Brítez
D
88
Zé Vitor
M
Zé Vitor
M
6
E. Martínez
59'
M
E. Martínez
59'
M
12
D. Tarzia
65'
M
D. Tarzia
65'
M
10
Matheuzinho
1 ⚽
78'
M
Matheuzinho
1 ⚽
78'
M
33
Erick
M
Erick
M
91
Rene
65'
F
Rene
65'
F
Bench
26
Edenilson
M
Edenilson
M
70
Fabiano
D
Fabiano
D
23
Fabrício
F
Fabrício
F
83
Jamerson
33'
D
Jamerson
33'
D
18
Kauan
D
Kauan
D
7
Marinho
14'
F
Marinho
14'
F
98
Mateusinho
D
Mateusinho
D
11
Osvaldo
F
Osvaldo
F
79
Renato Kayzer
27'
F
Renato Kayzer
27'
F
8
T. Pochettino
27'
M
T. Pochettino
27'
M
15
Walace
33'
D
Walace
33'
D
71
Yuri Sena
G
Yuri Sena
G
17
Warleson
G
Warleson
G
13
Alex Telles
D
Alex Telles
D
33
L. Monzón
D
L. Monzón
D
5
N. Ferraresi
D
N. Ferraresi
D
2
Vitinho
D
Vitinho
D
6
C. Medina
72'
M
C. Medina
72'
M
75
Huguinho
28'
M
Huguinho
28'
M
11
Matheus Martins
53'
M
Matheus Martins
53'
M
10
Álvaro Montoro
M
Álvaro Montoro
M
8
Danilo Santos
72'
M
Danilo Santos
72'
M
19
Arthur Cabral
F
Arthur Cabral
F
Bench
25
Allan
M
Allan
M
26
Anthony
D
Anthony
D
9
Danilo
39'
F
Danilo
39'
F
91
Domingos Andrade
20'
M
Domingos Andrade
20'
M
88
Edenílson
M
Edenílson
M
12
Gabriel Batista
G
Gabriel Batista
G
7
Júnior Santos
64'
F
Júnior Santos
64'
F
59
Kauan Toledo
M
Kauan Toledo
M
37
K. Barria
F
K. Barria
F
77
L. Villalba
F
L. Villalba
F
4
M. Ponte
D
M. Ponte
D
23
S. Rodríguez
20'
M
S. Rodríguez
20'
M
Best on the pitch
Erick
M · Vitoria
8.50
2 shots
· 38 pass
Lucas Arcanjo
G · Vitoria
8.30
· 28 pass
N. Ferraresi
D · Botafogo
8.20
· 54 pass
Zé Vitor
M · Vitoria
7.90
2 shots
· 47 pass
Matheuzinho
M · Vitoria
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 23 pass
Luan Cândido
D · Vitoria
7.50
· 29 pass
Vitoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Arcanjo | G | 92 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Ramon | D | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Luan Cândido | D | 92 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Cacá | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Brítez | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | M | 92 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 40% | 8 | — | — |
| E. Martínez | M | 59 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Tarzia | M | 65 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | M | 78 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 23 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Erick | M | 92 | 8.50 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Rene | F | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Jamerson | D | 33 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Marinho | F | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Renato Kayzer | F | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| T. Pochettino | M | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Walace | D | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
Botafogo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warleson | G | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Alex Telles | D | 92 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Monzón | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Ferraresi | D | 92 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 43% | 4 | — | — |
| Vitinho | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Medina | M | 72 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Huguinho | M | 28 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Matheus Martins | M | 53 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Montoro | M | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Danilo Santos | M | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Arthur Cabral | F | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Danilo | F | 39 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Domingos Andrade | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Júnior Santos | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| S. Rodríguez | M | 20 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vitoria vs Botafogo?
The final score was Vitoria 1–0 Botafogo.
What did the model predict before Vitoria vs Botafogo?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Vitoria win, 29% to a draw, and 41% to an Botafogo win.