Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 12
April 19, 2026 01:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vitoria a 40% win probability (draw 34%, Corinthians 25%). The final result was Vitoria 0–0 Corinthians.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
4
1
Shots on target
0
0.57
Actual xG
0.17
0
Saves
1
54%
Possession
46%
4
Corners
2
12
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Renato Kayzer
/ Rene
10'
45'+5
R. Garro
55'
M. Pereira
/
Breno Bidon
64'
Allan
/
Raniele
64'
Kaio Cesar
/
P. Milans
Matheuzinho
/ D. Tarzia
76'
Caique Goncalves
/ Ze Vitor
76'
77'
J. Lingard
/
Kayke
77'
Z. Labyad
/
R. Garro
88'
Matheus Bidu
Baralhas
/ Ronald Lopes
90'+1
Nathan Mendes
90'
Erick
/ A. Cantalapiedra
90'
Pre-match prediction
40.63%
Vitoria
34.38%
X ←
25.0%
Corinthians
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
34.38%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.01
0.57
-0.44
0.47
0.17
-0.3
Vitoria dominated by xG (0.57 vs 0.17).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
13
Ramon
D
Ramon
D
36
D
25
Cacá
D
Cacá
D
45
Nathan Mendes
D
Nathan Mendes
D
6
E. Martínez
M
E. Martínez
M
95
Caique Gonçalves
76'
M
Caique Gonçalves
76'
M
44
Gabriel Baralhas
M
Gabriel Baralhas
M
10
Matheuzinho
76'
F
Matheuzinho
76'
F
79
Renato Kayzer
10'
F
Renato Kayzer
10'
F
33
Erick
F
Erick
F
Bench
17
A. Cantalapiedra
5'
F
12
Diego Tarzia
19'
D
Diego Tarzia
19'
D
26
Edenilson
M
20
Lucas Silva
F
Lucas Silva
F
91
Rene
85'
F
Rene
85'
F
31
Renzo López
F
Renzo López
F
8
Ronald
4'
M
Ronald
4'
M
88
Zé Vitor
19'
M
Zé Vitor
19'
M
1
G
21
Matheus Bidu
D
Matheus Bidu
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
D
Gustavo Henrique
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
Gabriel Paulista
D
20
Pedro Milans
64'
D
Pedro Milans
64'
D
14
Raniele
64'
M
Raniele
64'
M
7
Breno Bidon
55'
M
Breno Bidon
55'
M
31
Kayke
77'
M
8
R. Garro
77'
M
R. Garro
77'
M
19
M
9
Yuri Alberto
F
Yuri Alberto
F
Bench
29
Allan
31'
M
Allan
31'
M
5
André Ramalho
D
André Ramalho
D
61
Dieguinho
M
Dieguinho
M
77
Jesse Lingard
18'
M
Jesse Lingard
18'
M
51
Kauê
G
Kauê
G
23
Matheus Pereira
40'
M
Matheus Pereira
40'
M
11
Vitinho
F
Best on the pitch
Gabriel Paulista
D · Corinthians
7.70
1 shots
· 39 pass
Matheus Bidu
D · Corinthians
7.50
· 36 pass
D · Vitoria
7.20
2 shots
· 53 pass
Nathan Mendes
D · Vitoria
7.00
· 55 pass
Caique Gonçalves
M · Vitoria
7.00
· 42 pass
Erick
F · Vitoria
7.00
· 40 pass
Vitoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Ramon | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 49% | — | — | — | |
| Cacá | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Mendes | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 51% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Martínez | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Caique Gonçalves | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Baralhas | M | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | F | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Renato Kayzer | F | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erick | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Cantalapiedra | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Tarzia | D | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Rene | F | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Ronald | M | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 4% | — | — | — |
Corinthians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Matheus Bidu | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Milans | D | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Raniele | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Breno Bidon | M | 55 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Kayke | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Garro | M | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 40% | 2 | — | — | |
| Yuri Alberto | F | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Allan | M | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Jesse Lingard | M | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 40 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vitoria vs Corinthians?
The final score was Vitoria 0–0 Corinthians.
What did the model predict before Vitoria vs Corinthians?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Vitoria win, 34% to a draw, and 25% to an Corinthians win.