Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 26
September 08, 2026 01:00
Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira
(ast. Matheusinho)
63'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vitoria a 39% win probability (draw 31%, Gremio 28%). The final result was Vitoria 1–0 Gremio. In 1 previous meetings, Vitoria have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gremio.
Match statistics
20
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
5
5
Saves
5
46%
Possession
54%
6
Corners
1
21
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
36'
Pedro Gabriel
38'
Cristian Pavón
45'
Caio Paulista
/
Pedro Gabriel
Erick
48'
48'
Caio Paulista
Caíque Gonçalves
55'
59'
Erick Noriega
⚽Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira
· ast. Matheusinho
63'
69'
Danilo Barbosa da Silva
/
Erick Noriega
69'
Juan Nardoni
/
Cristian Pavón
69'
José Enamorado
/
Mathias Villasanti
Erick
/ Marinho
72'
78'
Martin Braithwaite
/
Carlos Vinícius
79'
Gustavo Martins
Caíque Gonçalves
/ Edenilson
81'
Diego Tarzia
/ Fabri
82'
Matheuzinho
/ Tomás Pochettino
82'
Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira
/ Renato Kayzer
90'
Pre-match prediction
39.6%
Vitoria ←
31.86%
X
28.53%
Gremio
we assigned to the actual result (Vitoria)
39.6%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.93
—
—
0.78
—
—
Lineups
1
Lucas Arcanjo
G
Lucas Arcanjo
G
83
Jamerson
D
Jamerson
D
36
Luan Cândido
D
Luan Cândido
D
2
E. Brítez
D
E. Brítez
D
98
Mateusinho
1 👟
D
Mateusinho
1 👟
D
95
Caíque
81'
M
Caíque
81'
M
88
Zé Vitor
M
Zé Vitor
M
12
D. Tarzia
82'
M
D. Tarzia
82'
M
10
Matheuzinho
82'
M
Matheuzinho
82'
M
33
Erick
72'
M
Erick
72'
M
91
Rene
1 ⚽
89'
F
Rene
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
9
Alex Bruno
F
Alex Bruno
F
26
Edenilson
9'
M
Edenilson
9'
M
70
Fabiano
D
Fabiano
D
23
Fabrício
8'
F
Fabrício
8'
F
18
Kauan
D
Kauan
D
7
Marinho
18'
F
Marinho
18'
F
11
Osvaldo
F
Osvaldo
F
79
Renato Kayzer
1'
F
Renato Kayzer
1'
F
8
T. Pochettino
8'
M
T. Pochettino
8'
M
41
Wendell Sacramento
M
Wendell Sacramento
M
71
Yuri Sena
G
Yuri Sena
G
1
Weverton
G
Weverton
G
54
Pedro Gabriel
45'
D
Pedro Gabriel
45'
D
82
Wallace
D
Wallace
D
6
Gustavo Martins
D
Gustavo Martins
D
27
Diego Caito
D
Diego Caito
D
8
Erick Noriega
69'
M
Erick Noriega
69'
M
7
C. Pavón
69'
M
C. Pavón
69'
M
10
Filip Krovinović
M
Filip Krovinović
M
20
Mathias Villasanti
69'
M
Mathias Villasanti
69'
M
11
Tetê
M
Tetê
M
95
Carlos Vinícius
78'
F
Carlos Vinícius
78'
F
Bench
38
Caio Paulista
45'
D
Caio Paulista
45'
D
15
Danilo Barbosa
21'
M
Danilo Barbosa
21'
M
2
Fabián Balbuena
D
Fabián Balbuena
D
12
Gabriel Grando
G
Gabriel Grando
G
5
J. Nardoni
21'
M
J. Nardoni
21'
M
18
João Pedro
D
João Pedro
D
99
José Enamorado
21'
F
José Enamorado
21'
F
22
Martin Braithwaite
12'
F
Martin Braithwaite
12'
F
30
Matheus Nascimento
F
Matheus Nascimento
F
65
Riquelme Freitas
M
Riquelme Freitas
M
3
Wagner Leonardo
D
Wagner Leonardo
D
50
Zortéa
M
Zortéa
M
Best on the pitch
Rene
F · Vitoria
8.20
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 8 pass
Mateusinho
D · Vitoria
7.97
1 👟
· 46 pass
Lucas Arcanjo
G · Vitoria
7.72
· 19 pass
Zé Vitor
M · Vitoria
7.20
5 shots
· 67 pass
Matheuzinho
M · Vitoria
7.06
2 shots
· 40 pass
Gustavo Martins
D · Gremio
6.99
1 shots
· 56 pass
Vitoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Arcanjo | G | 90 | 7.72 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Jamerson | D | 90 | 6.94 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Luan Cândido | D | 90 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Brítez | D | 90 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateusinho | D | 90 | 7.97 | — | 1 | 0 | 46 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Caíque | M | 81 | 6.62 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 44% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Zé Vitor | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 5 | 67 | 58% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Tarzia | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | M | 82 | 7.06 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Erick | M | 72 | 6.39 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 31% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Rene | F | 89 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 5 | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Edenilson | M | 9 | 6.74 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabrício | F | 8 | 6.63 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Marinho | F | 18 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Renato Kayzer | F | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Pochettino | M | 8 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Gremio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weverton | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| Pedro Gabriel | D | 45 | 5.97 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Wallace | D | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavo Martins | D | 90 | 6.99 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 50% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Diego Caito | D | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| Erick Noriega | M | 69 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 22% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Pavón | M | 69 | 6.39 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 18% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Filip Krovinović | M | 90 | 6.51 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Mathias Villasanti | M | 69 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Tetê | M | 90 | 6.53 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 78 | 6.26 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Caio Paulista | D | 45 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 28% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Danilo Barbosa | M | 21 | 6.74 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Nardoni | M | 21 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| José Enamorado | F | 21 | 5.93 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| Martin Braithwaite | F | 12 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vitoria vs Gremio?
The final score was Vitoria 1–0 Gremio.
What did the model predict before Vitoria vs Gremio?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Vitoria win, 31% to a draw, and 28% to an Gremio win.