Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 17
May 23, 2026 22:00
Rene
(ast. Erick)
29'
D. Tarzia
(ast. Luan Candido)
90'+7
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Internacional a 41% win probability (draw 25%, Vitoria 33%). The final result was Vitoria 2–0 Internacional.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
2
0.76
Actual xG
2.01
2
Saves
2
43%
Possession
57%
4
Corners
6
5
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Rene
· ast. Erick
29'
Caique Goncalves
35'
38'
Bruno Gomes
45'+3
A. Bernabei
Caique Goncalves
/ Edenilson
46'
64'
Bruno Tabata
/
Matheus Bahia
67'
Victor Gabriel
/
Juninho
Matheuzinho
/ D. Tarzia
71'
Jamerson
/ Ze Breno
71'
Rene
/ Renato Kayzer
75'
78'
Thiago Maia
/
Bruno Henrique
78'
Allex
/
R. Borre
78'
Alan Patrick
/
Bruno Gomes
Erick
/ Marinho
80'
89'
A. Bernabei
89'
A. Bernabei
Caca
90'+1
⚽D. Tarzia
· ast. Luan Candido
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
33.67%
Vitoria ←
25.08%
X
41.26%
Internacional
we assigned to the actual result (Vitoria)
33.67%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.21
0.76
-0.45
1.54
2.01
+0.47
Internacional dominated by xG (2.01 vs 0.76).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Lucas Arcanjo
G
Lucas Arcanjo
G
83
Jamerson
71'
D
Jamerson
71'
D
36
Luan Cândido
1 👟
D
Luan Cândido
1 👟
D
25
Cacá
D
Cacá
D
45
Nathan Mendes
D
Nathan Mendes
D
6
Emmanuel Martínez
M
Emmanuel Martínez
M
95
Caique Gonçalves
45'
M
Caique Gonçalves
45'
M
44
Gabriel Baralhas
M
Gabriel Baralhas
M
10
Matheuzinho
71'
F
Matheuzinho
71'
F
91
Renê Sousa
1 ⚽
75'
F
Renê Sousa
1 ⚽
75'
F
33
Erick
1 👟
80'
F
Erick
1 👟
80'
F
Bench
70
Cauan de Jesus Farias
M
Cauan de Jesus Farias
M
2
Claudinho
D
Claudinho
D
12
Diego Tarzia
1 ⚽
19'
D
Diego Tarzia
1 ⚽
19'
D
26
Edenilson
45'
M
Edenilson
45'
M
22
Gabriel
G
Gabriel
G
55
José Breno
19'
M
20
Lucas Silva
F
Lucas Silva
F
7
Marinho
10'
F
Marinho
10'
F
11
Osvaldo
F
Osvaldo
F
79
Renato Kayzer
15'
F
Renato Kayzer
15'
F
31
R. López
F
R. López
F
8
Ronald
M
Ronald
M
12
Anthoni
G
Anthoni
G
6
Matheus Bahia
64'
D
Matheus Bahia
64'
D
18
Jose Juninho
67'
D
Jose Juninho
67'
D
25
Gabriel Mercado
D
Gabriel Mercado
D
15
Bruno Gomes
78'
D
Bruno Gomes
78'
D
26
Alexandro Bernabei
89'
M
Alexandro Bernabei
89'
M
5
Rodrigo Villagra
M
Rodrigo Villagra
M
8
Bruno Henrique
78'
M
Bruno Henrique
78'
M
28
Vitinho
M
Vitinho
M
9
Alerrandro
F
Alerrandro
F
19
R. Borré
78'
F
R. Borré
78'
F
Bench
10
Alan Patrick
12'
M
Alan Patrick
12'
M
31
Allex
12'
M
Allex
12'
M
33
Benjamin Arhin
M
Benjamin Arhin
M
35
Braian Aguirre
D
Braian Aguirre
D
4
F. Torres
D
F. Torres
D
49
João Pedro Bezerra de Oliveira Lo
F
João Pedro Bezerra de Oliveira Lo
F
22
Kauan
G
Kauan
G
11
Kayky
F
Kayky
F
53
Luiz Felipe
D
Luiz Felipe
D
17
Tabata
26'
F
Tabata
26'
F
29
Thiago Maia
12'
M
Thiago Maia
12'
M
41
Victor Gabriel
23'
D
Victor Gabriel
23'
D
Best on the pitch
Diego Tarzia
D · Vitoria
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
Renê Sousa
F · Vitoria
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
Nathan Mendes
D · Vitoria
7.50
· 36 pass
Erick
F · Vitoria
7.50
1 👟
· 26 pass
Lucas Arcanjo
G · Vitoria
7.20
· 33 pass
Luan Cândido
D · Vitoria
7.20
1 👟
· 32 pass
Vitoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Arcanjo | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Jamerson | D | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Luan Cândido | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Cacá | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| Nathan Mendes | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Martínez | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Caique Gonçalves | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Baralhas | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | F | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Renê Sousa | F | 75 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Erick | F | 80 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Tarzia | D | 19 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Edenilson | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| José Breno | M | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Marinho | F | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Renato Kayzer | F | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Internacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthoni | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Bahia | D | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Jose Juninho | D | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Mercado | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Gomes | D | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 31% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Alexandro Bernabei | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 22% | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Rodrigo Villagra | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Vitinho | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Alerrandro | F | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | 4 | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| R. Borré | F | 78 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Alan Patrick | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Allex | M | 12 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Tabata | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Thiago Maia | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Victor Gabriel | D | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vitoria vs Internacional?
The final score was Vitoria 2–0 Internacional.
What did the model predict before Vitoria vs Internacional?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Vitoria win, 25% to a draw, and 41% to an Internacional win.