Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 21
July 30, 2026 02:30
✓Model correct — prediction Palmeiras
45'+1
(ast. J. Arias)
Mauricio
(og)
45'+6
Fabiano
70'
(ast. J. Piquerez)
J. Arias
84'
R. Sosa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 51% win probability (draw 23%, Vitoria 24%). The final result was Vitoria 0–4 Palmeiras. In 1 previous meetings, Vitoria have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Palmeiras.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
5
0.49
Actual xG
1.43
2
Saves
3
32%
Possession
68%
6
Corners
1
17
Tackles
9
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
2
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
14'
Marlon Freitas
27'
Mauricio
Emmanuel Martinez
32'
Caca
37'
Luan Candido
40'
Emmanuel Martinez
/ Ze Vitor
41'
45'+1
ast. J. Arias ·
Mauricio⚽
45'+6
(og)
Fabiano⚽
Rene
/ T. Pochettino
46'
46'
J. Lopez
/
G. Gomez
46'
E. Martinez
/
Marlon Freitas
46'
Khellven
/
Mauricio
Matheuzinho
/ D. Tarzia
46'
Fabiano
56'
65'
Lucas Evangelista
/
A. Barboza
E. Britez
66'
Fabiano
/ Jamerson
67'
70'
ast. J. Piquerez ·
J. Arias⚽
74'
Vitor Roque
/
J. Arias
Baralhas
/ Walace
74'
84'
R. Sosa⚽
Pre-match prediction
24.08%
Vitoria
23.97%
X
51.95%
Palmeiras ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Palmeiras)
51.95%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.90
0.49
-0.41
1.63
1.43
-0.2
Palmeiras dominated by xG (1.43 vs 0.49).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Lucas Arcanjo
G
Lucas Arcanjo
G
13
Ramon
D
Ramon
D
36
Luan Cândido
40'
D
Luan Cândido
40'
D
25
Cacá
37'
D
Cacá
37'
D
2
Emanuel Brítez
D
Emanuel Brítez
D
70
Fabiano
1 ⚽
67'
D
Fabiano
1 ⚽
67'
D
6
Emmanuel Martínez
41'
M
Emmanuel Martínez
41'
M
95
Caique Gonçalves
M
Caique Gonçalves
M
44
Gabriel Baralhas
74'
M
Gabriel Baralhas
74'
M
10
Matheuzinho
45'
M
Matheuzinho
45'
M
91
Renê Sousa
45'
F
Renê Sousa
45'
F
Bench
12
Diego Tarzia
46'
D
Diego Tarzia
46'
D
33
Erick
F
Erick
F
23
Fabrício Santos
F
Fabrício Santos
F
83
Jamerson
24'
D
Jamerson
24'
D
7
Marinho
F
Marinho
F
98
Mateusinho
D
Mateusinho
D
11
Osvaldo
F
Osvaldo
F
79
Renato Kayzer
F
Renato Kayzer
F
8
Tomás Pochettino
46'
M
Tomás Pochettino
46'
M
15
Walace
17'
D
Walace
17'
D
71
Yuri Sena
G
Yuri Sena
G
88
Zé Vitor
50'
M
Zé Vitor
50'
M
1
Carlos Miguel
G
Carlos Miguel
G
2
A. Barboza
65'
D
A. Barboza
65'
D
15
G. Gomez
45'
D
G. Gomez
45'
D
26
Murilo
D
Murilo
D
22
J. Piquerez
1 👟
M
J. Piquerez
1 👟
M
17
Marlon Freitas
45'
M
Marlon Freitas
45'
M
8
Andreas Pereira
M
Andreas Pereira
M
40
Allan
M
Allan
M
11
J. Arias
1 ⚽
1 👟
74'
F
J. Arias
1 ⚽
1 👟
74'
F
19
R. Sosa
1 ⚽
F
R. Sosa
1 ⚽
F
18
Mauricio
1 ⚽
45'
F
Mauricio
1 ⚽
45'
F
Bench
4
A. Giay
D
A. Giay
D
56
Arthur Gabriel
D
Arthur Gabriel
D
43
Benedetti
D
Benedetti
D
32
E. Martinez
46'
M
E. Martinez
46'
M
7
Felipe Anderson
M
Felipe Anderson
M
42
J. Lopez
46'
F
J. Lopez
46'
F
21
Kaique
G
Kaique
G
12
Khellven
46'
D
Khellven
46'
D
30
Lucas Evangelista
26'
M
Lucas Evangelista
26'
M
14
Marcelo Lomba
G
Marcelo Lomba
G
37
Riquelme Fillipi
F
Riquelme Fillipi
F
9
Vitor Roque
17'
F
Vitor Roque
17'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Arias
F · Palmeiras
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 37 pass
R. Sosa
F · Palmeiras
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 25 pass
Murilo
D · Palmeiras
7.30
· 67 pass
Andreas Pereira
M · Palmeiras
7.20
2 shots
· 50 pass
Zé Vitor
M · Vitoria
7.20
· 26 pass
Mauricio
F · Palmeiras
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 23 pass
Vitoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Arcanjo | G | 91 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Ramon | D | 91 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Luan Cândido | D | 40 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | 1 |
| Cacá | D | 37 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Emanuel Brítez | D | 91 | 5.70 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Fabiano | D | 67 | 6.00 | 1 | — | — | 16 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Emmanuel Martínez | M | 41 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Caique Gonçalves | M | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Baralhas | M | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Renê Sousa | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Diego Tarzia | D | 46 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| Jamerson | D | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Tomás Pochettino | M | 46 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Walace | D | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | M | 50 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
Palmeiras — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel | G | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Barboza | D | 65 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Gomez | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Murilo | D | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 67 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Piquerez | M | 91 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 55 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| Andreas Pereira | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| Allan | M | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Arias | F | 74 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 37 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Sosa | F | 91 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Mauricio | F | 45 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 23 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Martinez | M | 46 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | — | — | — |
| J. Lopez | F | 46 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Khellven | D | 46 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Vitor Roque | F | 17 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vitoria vs Palmeiras?
The final score was Vitoria 0–4 Palmeiras.
What did the model predict before Vitoria vs Palmeiras?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Vitoria win, 23% to a draw, and 51% to an Palmeiras win.