Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 19
July 17, 2026 00:30
Renato Kayzer
(ast. D. Tarzia)
69'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vitoria a 51% win probability (draw 23%, Vasco DA Gama 24%). The final result was Vitoria 1–0 Vasco DA Gama. In 2 previous meetings, Vitoria have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Vasco DA Gama.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
3
0.52
Actual xG
0.77
3
Saves
5
50%
Possession
50%
3
Corners
2
24
Tackles
15
Match Events
Ze Vitor
/ T. Pochettino
38'
59'
Brenner
/
C. Spinelli
59'
A. Gomez
/
J. Rojas
Rene
/ Renato Kayzer
63'
⚽Renato Kayzer
· ast. D. Tarzia
69'
73'
M. Hinestroza
/
Adson
D. Tarzia
/ Fabricio
77'
Jamerson
/ E. Britez
77'
81'
Tche Tche
/
Thiago Mendes
81'
David
/
N. Moreira
Pre-match prediction
51.76%
Vitoria ←
23.72%
X
24.53%
Vasco
we assigned to the actual result (Vitoria)
51.76%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.71
0.52
-1.19
1.00
0.77
-0.23
xG dominance was balanced (0.52 – 0.77).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Lucas Arcanjo
G
Lucas Arcanjo
G
13
Ramon
D
Ramon
D
36
Luan Cândido
D
Luan Cândido
D
25
Cacá
D
Cacá
D
83
Jamerson
78'
D
Jamerson
78'
D
44
Gabriel Baralhas
M
Gabriel Baralhas
M
12
Diego Tarzia
1 👟
78'
M
Diego Tarzia
1 👟
78'
M
6
Emmanuel Martínez
M
Emmanuel Martínez
M
88
Zé Vitor
39'
M
Zé Vitor
39'
M
33
Erick
77'
M
Erick
77'
M
91
Renê Sousa
63'
F
Renê Sousa
63'
F
Bench
26
Edenilson
M
Edenilson
M
2
Emanuel Brítez
18'
D
Emanuel Brítez
18'
D
23
Fabrício Santos
18'
F
Fabrício Santos
18'
F
7
Marinho
19'
F
Marinho
19'
F
98
Mateusinho
D
Mateusinho
D
10
Matheuzinho
M
Matheuzinho
M
11
Osvaldo
F
Osvaldo
F
79
Renato Kayzer
1 ⚽
33'
F
Renato Kayzer
1 ⚽
33'
F
8
Tomás Pochettino
57'
M
Tomás Pochettino
57'
M
15
Walace
D
Walace
D
41
Wendell Sacramento
M
Wendell Sacramento
M
71
Yuri Sena
G
Yuri Sena
G
1
Leo Jardim
G
Leo Jardim
G
66
Cuiabano
D
Cuiabano
D
30
Robert Renan
D
Robert Renan
D
46
C. Cuesta
D
C. Cuesta
D
2
J. Rodríguez
D
J. Rodríguez
D
23
Thiago Mendes
78'
M
Thiago Mendes
78'
M
88
Cauan Barros
M
Cauan Barros
M
17
N. Moreira
78'
M
N. Moreira
78'
M
10
J. Rojas
59'
M
J. Rojas
59'
M
28
Adson
73'
M
Adson
73'
M
77
C. Spinelli
59'
F
C. Spinelli
59'
F
Bench
11
A. Gómez
37'
F
A. Gómez
37'
F
20
Brenner
37'
F
Brenner
37'
F
13
Daniel Fuzato
G
Daniel Fuzato
G
7
David
18'
F
David
18'
F
8
Jair
M
Jair
M
98
JP
M
JP
M
43
Lucas Freitas
D
Lucas Freitas
D
6
Lucas Piton
D
Lucas Piton
D
18
M. Hinestroza
23'
F
M. Hinestroza
23'
F
96
Paulo Henrique
D
Paulo Henrique
D
83
Ramon Rique
M
Ramon Rique
M
3
Tche Tche
18'
M
Tche Tche
18'
M
Best on the pitch
Jamerson
D · Vitoria
7.50
· 39 pass
Leo Jardim
G · Vasco
7.50
· 14 pass
Cacá
D · Vitoria
7.30
· 48 pass
Renato Kayzer
F · Vitoria
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
J. Rodríguez
D · Vasco
7.30
2 shots
· 41 pass
Ramon
D · Vitoria
7.20
· 30 pass
Vitoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Arcanjo | G | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Ramon | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Luan Cândido | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Cacá | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Jamerson | D | 78 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| Gabriel Baralhas | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| Diego Tarzia | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Emmanuel Martínez | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 53% | 4 | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | M | 39 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Erick | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Renê Sousa | F | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Emanuel Brítez | D | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Fabrício Santos | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Marinho | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Renato Kayzer | F | 33 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomás Pochettino | M | 57 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Jardim | G | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Cuiabano | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Robert Renan | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Cuesta | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Thiago Mendes | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Cauan Barros | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Moreira | M | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
| J. Rojas | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Adson | M | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Spinelli | F | 59 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Gómez | F | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Brenner | F | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| David | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Hinestroza | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Tche Tche | M | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama?
The final score was Vitoria 1–0 Vasco DA Gama.
What did the model predict before Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Vitoria win, 23% to a draw, and 24% to an Vasco DA Gama win.