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Volga Ulyanovsk - Fakel

First League May 16, 2026 12:00
Volga Ulyanovsk
#14 · 37 pts
vs
Fakel
#2 · 65 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
24.26%
Win
Volga Ulyanovsk
35.22%
Draw
40.52%
Win
Fakel
0.79
Expected xG
1.11

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fakel a 40% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 24% for Volga Ulyanovsk. Expected goals are 0.8 for Volga Ulyanovsk and 1.1 for Fakel (total 1.9), with a 68% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 16.6% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Volga Ulyanovsk have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fakel.

Score Matrix
↕ Volga Ulyanovsk Fakel →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.9% 16.6% 9.2% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.8% 13.1% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 4.7% 5.2% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 — — — — — —
Recent form
Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk
D FK Neftekhimik 2–2
L FK Sokol Saratov 0–1
D Rotor Volgograd 0–0
W Chayka 2–1
D Rodina Moskva 0–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 24%
Fakel Fakel
D Ska-khabarovsk 0–0
W Enisey 2–0
D Torpedo Moskva 2–2
D Shinnik Yaroslavl 2–2
L Chayka 2–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 24%
Playing profile
Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk
Attack
19
Defence
80
Form
43
Fakel Fakel
Attack
34
Defence
69
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Volga Ulyanovsk
0
Draw
1
Fakel
L 4 Oct 2025 First League 1–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 33 65
2 Fakel Fakel 33 65
3 Ural Ural 33 61
4 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 33 53
5 KAMAZ KAMAZ 33 49
6 Enisey Enisey 33 49
7 Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma 33 49
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik Yaroslavl 33 47
9 Torpedo Moskva Torpedo Moskva 33 43
10 Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk 33 43
11 FK Neftekhimik FK Neftekhimik 33 43
12 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 33 39
13 Ska-khabarovsk Ska-khabarovsk 33 39
14 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk 33 37
15 FC UFA FC UFA 33 34
16 Chernomorets Chernomorets 33 32
17 FK Sokol Saratov FK Sokol Saratov 33 23
18 Chayka Chayka 33 22
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs Fakel?
The model gives Volga Ulyanovsk a 24% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 40% for an Fakel win.
How many goals are expected in Volga Ulyanovsk vs Fakel?
Expected goals: Volga Ulyanovsk 0.8, Fakel 1.1 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 68%.
What is the most likely score in Volga Ulyanovsk vs Fakel?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.6%.