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Veikkausliiga · Championship Group - 27 October 12, 2026 17:00 Lemonsoft Stadion, Jyväskylä
VPS
#6 · 33 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Gnistan
#4 · 36 pts
Xavier Odhiambo (ast. Casper Holmelund) 36'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gnistan a 41% win probability (draw 37%, VPS 21%). The final result was VPS 1–0 Gnistan. In 4 previous meetings, VPS have won 0 times, with 4 draws and 0 wins for Gnistan.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
4
1.73
Actual xG
0.61
4
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
2
Corners
3
13
Tackles
21
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Xavier Odhiambo · ast. Casper Holmelund
36'
45'
Joakim Latonen / Artur Atarah ↕
61'
Sergey Eremenko / Danny Pérez ↕
61'
Saku Ylätupa / Adam Jouhi ↕
↕ Xavier Odhiambo / Henri Salomaa
64'
↕ Casper Holmelund / Jonathan Muzinga
64'
↕ Jayden Turfkruier / Yassin Daoussi
75'
↕ Joonas Vahtera / Simon Lindholm
75'
76'
Otto Hannula / Edmund Arko-Mensah ↕
85'
Noah Rossi / Stephen Ayomide Oluwagbenga Obileye ↕
↕ Antti-Ville Raisanen / Razak Simpson
87'
87'
Pre-match prediction
21.12%
VPS ←
37.23%
X
41.65%
Gnistan
we assigned to the actual result (VPS) 21.12% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
VPS
0.42
1.73
+1.31
Gnistan
0.85
0.61
-0.24
VPS dominated by xG (1.73 vs 0.61). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lahti Lahti 27 39
1 Mariehamn Mariehamn 10 16
1 KuPS KuPS 22 43
1 Inter Turku Inter Turku 29 55
2 FF Jaro FF Jaro 11 16
2 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 29 52
2 Inter Turku Inter Turku 22 42
2 Ilves Ilves 27 38
3 Ilves Ilves 5 13
3 Turku PS Turku PS 27 32
3 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 22 37
3 KuPS KuPS 29 52
4 SJK SJK 27 27
4 AC Oulu AC Oulu 29 43
4 AC Oulu AC Oulu 5 9
4 Gnistan Gnistan 22 36
5 FF Jaro FF Jaro 27 21
5 SJK SJK 5 8
5 Gnistan Gnistan 29 42
5 AC Oulu AC Oulu 22 34
6 Lahti Lahti 5 7
6 VPS VPS 22 33
6 VPS VPS 29 39
6 Mariehamn Mariehamn 27 19
7 Lahti Lahti 22 32
7 Kooteepee Kooteepee 7 7
8 Turku PS Turku PS 22 31
8 Turku PS Turku PS 7 7
9 VPS VPS 5 6
9 Ilves Ilves 22 25
10 PK-35 PK-35 1 1
10 SJK SJK 22 19
11 Haka Haka 5 1
11 FF Jaro FF Jaro 22 15
12 Mariehamn Mariehamn 22 14
Lineups
VPS VPS 3-4-1-2
41 M. Jalloh M. Jalloh G 6.97
23 M. Niemi M. Niemi D 7.56
6 E. Okereke E. Okereke D 7.39
2 L. Mane L. Mane D 6.91
7 J. Turfkruier J. Turfkruier 75' M 6.65
34 A. Räisänen A. Räisänen 87' M 7.10
8 Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima M 6.66
27 K. Kouassivi-Benissan K. Kouassivi-Benissan M 6.35
20 X. Odhiambo X. Odhiambo 1 ⚽ 64' M 8.01
30 J. Vahtera J. Vahtera 75' F 6.82
9 C. Holmelund C. Holmelund 1 👟 64' F 7.15
Bench
1 A. Piispa A. Piispa G 0.00
17 Dren Tërrnava Dren Tërrnava M 0.00
25 Henri Salomaa Henri Salomaa 26' F 6.38
11 J. Muzinga J. Muzinga 26' F 6.58
26 Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi F 0.00
3 Razak Simpson Razak Simpson 3' M 6.80
14 S. Lindholm S. Lindholm 15' M 6.93
29 W. Samaké W. Samaké F 0.00
24 Y. Daoussi Y. Daoussi 15' D 7.21
Gnistan Gnistan 5-4-1
1 O. Virtanen O. Virtanen G 6.85
12 E. Arko-Mensah E. Arko-Mensah 76' D 5.94
3 Ruxi Ruxi D 6.89
67 A. Obileye A. Obileye 85' D 7.24
24 P. Gnanou P. Gnanou D 6.75
19 B. Milovanov B. Milovanov D 6.36
11 D. Pérez D. Pérez 61' M 6.12
15 G. Europaeus G. Europaeus M 6.51
31 A. Jouhi A. Jouhi 61' M 6.39
7 A. Atarah A. Atarah 45' M 6.13
26 R. Eremenko R. Eremenko F 6.28
Bench
2 B. Dahlström B. Dahlström D 0.00
10 J. Latonen J. Latonen 45' F 6.57
40 J. Ojala J. Ojala D 0.00
95 M. Jurička M. Jurička G 0.00
25 Noah Rossi Noah Rossi 5' D 6.19
27 O. Hannula O. Hannula 14' M 6.56
14 S. Eremenko S. Eremenko 29' M 6.25
23 S. Ylätupa S. Ylätupa 29' F 6.29
Best on the pitch
X. Odhiambo
X. Odhiambo
M · VPS
8.01
1 ⚽
1 shots · 10 pass
M. Niemi
M. Niemi
D · VPS
7.56
· 67 pass
E. Okereke
E. Okereke
D · VPS
7.39
1 shots · 38 pass
A. Obileye
A. Obileye
D · Gnistan
7.24
1 shots · 36 pass
Y. Daoussi
Y. Daoussi
D · VPS
7.21
1 shots · 11 pass
C. Holmelund
C. Holmelund
F · VPS
7.15
1 👟
2 shots · 16 pass
VPS VPS — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Jalloh G 90 6.97 — — 0 44 24% 0 — —
M. Niemi D 90 7.56 — — 0 67 56% 2 — —
E. Okereke D 90 7.39 — — 1 38 31% 0 — —
L. Mane D 90 6.91 — — 0 44 34% 1 — —
J. Turfkruier M 75 6.65 — — 0 41 33% 2 — —
A. Räisänen M 87 7.10 — — 0 42 39% 1 — —
Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima M 90 6.66 — — 2 32 26% 1 — —
K. Kouassivi-Benissan M 90 6.35 — — 0 39 30% 0 — —
X. Odhiambo M 64 8.01 1 — 1 10 7% 0 — —
J. Vahtera F 75 6.82 — — 2 36 26% 2 — —
C. Holmelund F 64 7.15 — 1 2 16 12% 1 — —
Henri Salomaa F 26 6.38 — — 2 14 8% 0 — —
J. Muzinga F 26 6.58 — — 0 5 4% 1 — —
Razak Simpson M 3 6.80 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
S. Lindholm M 15 6.93 — — 0 9 9% 1 — —
Y. Daoussi D 15 7.21 — — 1 11 10% 1 — —
Gnistan Gnistan — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
O. Virtanen G 90 6.85 — — 0 31 28% 0 — —
E. Arko-Mensah D 76 5.94 — — 0 33 20% 0 — —
Ruxi D 90 6.89 — — 1 70 55% 3 — —
A. Obileye D 85 7.24 — — 1 36 32% 1 — —
P. Gnanou D 90 6.75 — — 1 40 33% 3 — —
B. Milovanov D 90 6.36 — — 2 40 28% 3 — —
D. Pérez M 61 6.12 — — 0 19 7% 1 — —
G. Europaeus M 90 6.51 — — 1 44 40% 2 — —
A. Jouhi M 61 6.39 — — 0 22 18% 4 — —
A. Atarah M 45 6.13 — — 1 5 1% 0 — —
R. Eremenko F 90 6.28 — — 1 49 34% 2 — —
J. Latonen F 45 6.57 — — 1 18 15% 1 — —
Noah Rossi D 5 6.19 — — 0 1 0% 0 1 —
O. Hannula M 14 6.56 — — 1 3 3% 0 — —
S. Eremenko M 29 6.25 — — 0 9 7% 1 — —
S. Ylätupa F 29 6.29 — — 0 11 9% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of VPS vs Gnistan?
The final score was VPS 1–0 Gnistan.
What did the model predict before VPS vs Gnistan?
The model assigned 21% probability to a VPS win, 37% to a draw, and 41% to an Gnistan win.