L. Smyth
14'
(pen.)
72'
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VPS a 36% win probability (draw 29%, KuPS 33%). The final result was VPS 1–1 KuPS.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
4
1.99
Actual xG
2.30
43%
Possession
57%
2
Corners
10
Match Events
⚽L. Smyth
14'
25'
K. Adams
⚽L. Smyth
(missed pen.)
26'
35'
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
40'
A. Lotjonen
L. Smyth
43'
46'
B. Magassa
/
K. Adams
57'
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
/
O. Ruoppi
57'
S. Heiskanen
/
T. Hamalainen
57'
A. Heinonen
/
G. Engvall
Y. Daoussi
62'
L. Smyth
/ A. Raisanen
65'
Y. Daoussi
/ J. Turfkruier
65'
72'
(pen.)
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari⚽
J. Turfkruier
75'
J. Muzinga
/ O. Ogunniyi
79'
V. Ronnberg
/ M. Haukioja
79'
82'
B. Magassa
⚽J. Turfkruier
(missed pen.)
83'
87'
V. R. Gasc
88'
S. Savolainen
/
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
K. Kouassivi-Benissan
/ O. Keturi
88'
Pre-match prediction
36.94%
VPS
29.57%
X ←
33.49%
KuPS
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.20
1.99
+0.79
1.06
2.30
+1.24
KuPS dominated by xG (2.30 vs 1.99).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
41
Mamadou Jalloh
G
5
Vilmer Ronnberg
D
Vilmer Ronnberg
D
6
Emmanuel Okereke
D
Emmanuel Okereke
D
23
Miika Niemi
D
Miika Niemi
D
24
Yassin Daoussi
M
Yassin Daoussi
M
8
Paulo Lima
M
2
Lassana Mané
D
27
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan
M
14
Simon Lindholm
M
Simon Lindholm
M
15
L. Smyth
1 ⚽
F
L. Smyth
1 ⚽
F
11
Jonathan Muzinga
F
Jonathan Muzinga
F
Bench
33
Akon Kuek
D
Akon Kuek
D
1
Aleksi Piispa
G
34
Antti-Ville Räisänen
M
Antti-Ville Räisänen
M
7
Jayden Turfkruier
M
Jayden Turfkruier
M
19
M. Haukioja
D
M. Haukioja
D
35
Olavi Keturi
M
13
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi
D
26
Rasmus Forsbacka
M
1
Johannes Kreidl
G
25
C. Antwi
D
C. Antwi
D
4
K. Adams
D
K. Adams
D
23
A. Lötjönen
D
A. Lötjönen
D
33
T. Hämäläinen
D
T. Hämäläinen
D
8
P. Pennanen
M
P. Pennanen
M
10
V. Gasc
M
V. Gasc
M
24
B. Armah
D
B. Armah
D
34
O. Ruoppi
M
O. Ruoppi
M
9
G. Engvall
F
G. Engvall
F
11
J. Moreno
1 ⚽
F
J. Moreno
1 ⚽
F
Bench
17
A. Heinonen
M
A. Heinonen
M
29
A. Puukko
D
A. Puukko
D
28
Brahima Magassa
D
12
H. Riihimäki
G
H. Riihimäki
G
21
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
M
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
M
2
Karl Ward
D
13
N. Kujasalo
M
N. Kujasalo
M
3
S. Heiskanen
M
S. Heiskanen
M
6
S. Savolainen
D
S. Savolainen
D
VPS — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamadou Jalloh | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vilmer Ronnberg | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Okereke | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miika Niemi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yassin Daoussi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Lima | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lassana Mané | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Simon Lindholm | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Smyth | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Muzinga | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
KuPS — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johannes Kreidl | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Antwi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Adams | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Lötjönen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Hämäläinen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Pennanen | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Gasc | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Armah | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Ruoppi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Engvall | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Moreno | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of VPS vs KuPS?
The final score was VPS 1–1 KuPS.
What did the model predict before VPS vs KuPS?
The model assigned 36% probability to a VPS win, 29% to a draw, and 33% to an KuPS win.