Wales - Denmark
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.99%
Win
Wales
18.25%
Draw
47.77%
Win
Denmark
2.19
2.71
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–2
(6.61%)
1X2 Result
1
34%
X
18%
2
48%
Double Chance
1X
52%
X2
66%
12
82%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
95%
Over 2.5
85%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Denmark a 47% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 33% for Wales. Expected goals are 2.2 for Wales and 2.7 for Denmark (total 4.9), with a 94% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–2 at 6.61% probability.
Season Stats
3W
3D
0L
3W
2D
3L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.2
0.7
Conceded
1.2
4.3
Shots OT
4.6
4.7
Corners
5.9
57%
Poss.
46%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
63%
50%
O 2.5
38%
50%
BTTS
38%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 8 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
42%
BTTS
2W
1D
0L
· at home
0W
2D
2L
· away
1.7
gls/g
1.0
0.3
Conceded
2.0
67%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
33%
O 1.5
50%
33%
O 2.5
50%
33%
O 3.5
50%
33%
BTTS
50%
67%
Clean Sht
25%
33%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Wales
Denmark →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| 2 | 1.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| 3 | 1.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
Playing profile
Wales
Attack
43
Defence
59
Form
16
Denmark
Attack
53
Defence
81
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 4
What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 4
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #4 | #2 |
| → Wales | #1 | #3 |
| → Draw | #2 | #1 |
| → Denmark | #4 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Wales vs Denmark?
The model gives Wales a 33% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 47% for an Denmark win.
How many goals are expected in Wales vs Denmark?
Expected goals: Wales 2.2, Denmark 2.7 (total 4.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 94%.
What is the most likely score in Wales vs Denmark?
2–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.61%.