(pen.)
75'
Rasmus Hojlund
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Denmark a 33% win probability (draw 35%, Wales 31%). The final result was Wales 0–1 Denmark. In 1 previous meetings, Wales have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Denmark.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
13
1
Shots on target
4
3
Saves
1
56%
Possession
44%
3
Corners
3
14
Tackles
9
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
10'
Andreas Skov Olsen
/
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
Liam Cullen
29'
Jordan James
/ Josh Sheehan
56'
Lewis Koumas
/ Mark Harris
56'
Ben Cabango
66'
75'
(pen.)
Rasmus Hojlund⚽
76'
Anton Gaaei
/
Rasmus Kristensen
Liam Cullen
/ Joel Colwill
76'
Brennan Johnson
/ Wes Burns
76'
Sorba Thomas
80'
82'
Kasper Hogh
/
Rasmus Hojlund
82'
Mathias Kvistgaarden
/
Gustav Isaksen
Ben Davies
/ Kieffer Moore
83'
90'+4
Mads Hermansen
Pre-match prediction
31.79%
Wales
35.04%
X
33.17%
Denmark ←
we assigned to the actual result (Denmark)
33.17%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.97
—
—
0.92
—
—
Lineups
12
D. Ward
G
D. Ward
G
15
J. Dasilva
D
J. Dasilva
D
4
B. Davies
83'
D
B. Davies
83'
D
6
B. Cabango
D
B. Cabango
D
3
N. Williams
D
N. Williams
D
5
E. Ampadu
M
E. Ampadu
M
17
J. James
56'
M
J. James
56'
M
19
S. Thomas
M
S. Thomas
M
10
L. Cullen
76'
M
L. Cullen
76'
M
11
B. Johnson
76'
M
B. Johnson
76'
M
9
L. Koumas
56'
F
L. Koumas
56'
F
Bench
7
Cian Ashford
F
Cian Ashford
F
2
C. Mepham
D
C. Mepham
D
14
C. Roberts
D
C. Roberts
D
1
D. Cornell
G
D. Cornell
G
20
D. James
F
D. James
F
23
J. Colwill
14'
M
J. Colwill
14'
M
16
J. Lienou
D
J. Lienou
D
22
J. Sheehan
34'
M
J. Sheehan
34'
M
13
K. Moore
7'
F
K. Moore
7'
F
18
M. Harris
34'
F
M. Harris
34'
F
21
T. King
G
T. King
G
8
W. Burns
14'
F
W. Burns
14'
F
16
M. Hermansen
G
M. Hermansen
G
5
J. Mæhle
D
J. Mæhle
D
3
O. Provstgaard
D
O. Provstgaard
D
2
J. Andersen
D
J. Andersen
D
13
R. Kristensen
76'
D
R. Kristensen
76'
D
20
M. Daramy
M
M. Daramy
M
23
P. Højbjerg
10'
M
P. Højbjerg
10'
M
21
M. Hjulmand
M
M. Hjulmand
M
8
G. Isaksen
82'
M
G. Isaksen
82'
M
7
Victor Mow Froholdt
F
Victor Mow Froholdt
F
9
R. Højlund
1 ⚽
82'
F
R. Højlund
1 ⚽
82'
F
Bench
17
A. Daghim
F
A. Daghim
F
18
A. Gaaei
14'
D
A. Gaaei
14'
D
1
Andreas Jungdal
G
Andreas Jungdal
G
11
A. Skov Olsen
80'
M
A. Skov Olsen
80'
M
22
F. Jörgensen
G
F. Jörgensen
G
19
K. Høgh
8'
F
K. Høgh
8'
F
4
L. Høgsberg
D
L. Høgsberg
D
12
M. Bidstrup
M
M. Bidstrup
M
15
M. Kvistgaarden
8'
F
M. Kvistgaarden
8'
F
10
T. Jørgensen
M
T. Jørgensen
M
6
Victor Nelsson
D
Victor Nelsson
D
Best on the pitch
R. Højlund
F · Denmark
7.47
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 19 pass
J. Mæhle
D · Denmark
7.44
· 48 pass
J. Andersen
D · Denmark
7.35
· 75 pass
A. Skov Olsen
M · Denmark
7.10
· 32 pass
J. Dasilva
D · Wales
7.03
· 66 pass
G. Isaksen
M · Denmark
7.01
5 shots
· 15 pass
Wales — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ward | G | 90 | 6.98 | — | — | 0 | 58 | 46% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Dasilva | D | 90 | 7.03 | — | — | 0 | 66 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Davies | D | 83 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 80 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Cabango | D | 90 | 5.85 | — | — | 0 | 71 | 67% | 3 | 1 | — |
| N. Williams | D | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 67 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Ampadu | M | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 63% | 4 | — | — |
| J. James | M | 56 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Thomas | M | 90 | 6.09 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 23% | 0 | 1 | — |
| L. Cullen | M | 76 | 5.89 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Johnson | M | 76 | 6.68 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Koumas | F | 56 | 6.65 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Colwill | M | 14 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Sheehan | M | 34 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Moore | F | 7 | 6.35 | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Harris | F | 34 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Burns | F | 14 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Denmark — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hermansen | G | 90 | 6.84 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 21% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Mæhle | D | 90 | 7.44 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| O. Provstgaard | D | 90 | 6.94 | — | — | 2 | 81 | 74% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Andersen | D | 90 | 7.35 | — | — | 0 | 75 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Kristensen | D | 76 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Daramy | M | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Højbjerg | M | 10 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Hjulmand | M | 90 | 6.25 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 41% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Isaksen | M | 82 | 7.01 | — | — | 5 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Mow Froholdt | F | 90 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Højlund | F | 82 | 7.47 | 1 | — | 5 | 19 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Gaaei | D | 14 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Skov Olsen | M | 80 | 7.10 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Høgh | F | 8 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Kvistgaarden | F | 8 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wales vs Denmark?
The final score was Wales 0–1 Denmark.
What did the model predict before Wales vs Denmark?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Wales win, 35% to a draw, and 33% to an Denmark win.