Wales - Norway
⚡ Pre-match analysis
52.07%
Win
Wales
16.94%
Draw
30.99%
Win
Norway
3.15
2.45
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
3–2
(5.9%)
1X2 Result
1
52%
X
17%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
48%
12
83%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
94%
Over 2.5
86%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Wales a 52% win probability, against 16% for a draw and 30% for Norway. Expected goals are 3.1 for Wales and 2.4 for Norway (total 5.6), with a 94% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–2 at 5.9% probability.
Season Stats
3W
3D
0L
4W
1D
1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
2.5
0.7
Conceded
1.2
4.3
Shots OT
6.2
4.7
Corners
6.0
57%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
83%
50%
O 2.5
83%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 6 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
2W
1D
0L
· at home
1W
1D
1L
· away
1.7
gls/g
1.7
0.3
Conceded
2.0
67%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
33%
O 1.5
67%
33%
O 2.5
67%
33%
O 3.5
67%
33%
BTTS
67%
67%
Clean Sht
33%
33%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Wales
Norway →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 1.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| 3 | 1.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| 4 | 1.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| 5 | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Wales
Attack
43
Defence
59
Form
16
Norway
Attack
48
Defence
56
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Unavailable
Norway
Injured
UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 4
What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 4
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #4 | #3 |
| → Wales | #1 | #4 |
| → Draw | #2 | #1 |
| → Norway | #4 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Wales vs Norway?
The model gives Wales a 52% win probability, 16% for a draw, and 30% for an Norway win.
How many goals are expected in Wales vs Norway?
Expected goals: Wales 3.1, Norway 2.4 (total 5.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 94%.
What is the most likely score in Wales vs Norway?
3–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 5.9%.