Primera División
· Torneo Intermedio - 5
July 11, 2026 23:00
J. Zeballos
11'
L. Cosentino
47'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Wanderers a 50% win probability (draw 32%, Progreso 17%). The final result was Wanderers 2–0 Progreso. In 1 previous meetings, Wanderers have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Progreso.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽J. Zeballos
11'
26'
30'
G. Silva
44'
J. Dos Santos
N. Queiroz
44'
46'
M. Juambeltz
/
J. Dos Santos
46'
M. Copelotti
/
G. Silva
⚽L. Cosentino
47'
F. Labandeira
/ J. Luna
58'
J. Urretaviscaya
/ R. Rivero
66'
66'
A. Ocampo
/
R. Cristobal
71'
F. Kidd
/
A. Cougo
J. Zeballos
/ G. Freitas
74'
82'
A. Codagnone
/
A. Pinheiro
R. Rivero
88'
L. Zazpe
90'
G. Freitas
90'
Pre-match prediction
50.57%
Wanderers ←
32.24%
X
17.18%
Progreso
we assigned to the actual result (Wanderers)
50.57%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.07
—
—
0.45
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Wanderers vs Progreso?
The final score was Wanderers 2–0 Progreso.
What did the model predict before Wanderers vs Progreso?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Wanderers win, 32% to a draw, and 17% to an Progreso win.