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Warrenpoint Town - Glenavon FC

Championship October 24, 2026 16:00
#8 · 18 pts
vs
#2 · 27 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
26.93%
Win
Warrenpoint Town
23.18%
Draw
49.9%
Win
Glenavon FC
1.17
Expected xG
1.99

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.7%)
1X2 Result
1 27%
X 23%
2 50%
Double Chance
1X 50%
X2 73%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Glenavon FC a 49% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Warrenpoint Town. Expected goals are 1.2 for Warrenpoint Town and 2.0 for Glenavon FC (total 3.2), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.7% probability.

Season Stats

Warrenpoint Town
6W 3D 6L
Glenavon FC
7W 3D 2L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
2.5
1.3
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
92%
40%
O 2.5
75%
33%
BTTS
75%
33%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
62%
BTTS
Warrenpoint Town
3W 2D 5L · at home
Glenavon FC
2W 3D 1L · away
1.3
gls/g
2.2
1.3
Conceded
1.3
30%
Win %
33%
50%
Win or Draw
83%
50%
O 1.5
100%
30%
O 2.5
67%
30%
O 3.5
50%
40%
BTTS
83%
30%
Clean Sht
17%
40%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Warrenpoint Town Glenavon FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2% 8.4% 8.4% 5.6% 2.8% 1.1%
1 5.0% 9.9% 9.8% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
2 2.9% 5.8% 5.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8%
3 1.1% 2.3% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% —

Recent form

D Ballinamallard United 2–2
W Strabane Athletic 1–0
D Annagh United 1–1
W Rathfriland 0–2
L Institute 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
W Queen's University 2–4
W H&W Welders 4–0
D Annagh United 1–1
W Moyola Park 0–3
W Loughgall 4–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town
Attack
40
Defence
67
Form
53
Glenavon FC Glenavon FC
Attack
65
Defence
75
Form
73
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Annagh United Annagh United 15 34
2 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 13 27
3 Newington Youth Newington Youth 13 26
4 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 15 23
5 Institute Institute 13 21
6 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 15 21
7 Queen's University Queen's University 14 20
8 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 12 18
9 Ards Ards 14 17
10 Loughgall Loughgall 14 17
11 H&W Welders H&W Welders 13 16
12 Rathfriland Rathfriland 14 16
13 Moyola Park Moyola Park 14 15
14 Dundela Dundela 12 11
15 Strabane Athletic Strabane Athletic 15 11
16 Armagh City Armagh City 14 9
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Warrenpoint Town vs Glenavon FC?
The model gives Warrenpoint Town a 26% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 49% for an Glenavon FC win.
How many goals are expected in Warrenpoint Town vs Glenavon FC?
Expected goals: Warrenpoint Town 1.2, Glenavon FC 2.0 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Warrenpoint Town vs Glenavon FC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.7%.