Premier Division
· Regular Season - 30
September 14, 2026 20:45
Evan McLaughlin
45'
Padraig Amond
(ast. Bernardo Piexoto Couto)
57'
9'
(ast. James Clarke)
Adam O'Reilly
51'
(ast. Brandon·Fleming)
Michael Duffy
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Waterford a 44% win probability (draw 28%, Derry City 26%). The final result was Waterford 2–2 Derry City. In 3 previous meetings, Waterford have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Derry City.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
14
6
Shots on target
2
0
Saves
4
39%
Possession
61%
7
Corners
5
20
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
9'
ast. James Clarke ·
Adam O'Reilly⚽
11'
Adam O'Reilly
45'
James Clarke
⚽Evan McLaughlin
45'
51'
ast. Brandon·Fleming ·
Michael Duffy⚽
⚽Padraig Amond
· ast. Bernardo Piexoto Couto
57'
64'
Liam Boyce
Evan McLaughlin
/ Sam Glenfield
64'
Noah Mawene
/ Luke Heeney
64'
C.Noonan
/ Dean Mcmenamy
64'
Sam Glenfield
73'
73'
Ellis Chapman
/
James Clarke
74'
Darragh Burns
76'
Kévin Santos
/
Darragh Burns
88'
Mark Gerard Connolly
88'
Ciaran Grogan
Pre-match prediction
44.44%
Waterford
28.84%
X ←
26.72%
Derry
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.84%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.59
—
—
1.17
—
—
Lineups
1
S. McMullan
G
S. McMullan
G
3
Benny Couto
1 👟
D
Benny Couto
1 👟
D
13
K. Long
D
K. Long
D
5
J. Mahon
D
J. Mahon
D
16
H. Cann
D
H. Cann
D
10
C. Noonan
64'
M
C. Noonan
64'
M
7
N. Mawene
64'
M
N. Mawene
64'
M
8
E. McLaughlin
1 ⚽
64'
M
E. McLaughlin
1 ⚽
64'
M
20
J. Voilås
M
J. Voilås
M
9
P. Amond
1 ⚽
F
P. Amond
1 ⚽
F
18
T. Lonergan
F
T. Lonergan
F
Bench
56
A. Brennan
D
A. Brennan
D
21
Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
G
Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
G
12
B. McKenzie
D
B. McKenzie
D
27
D. McMenamy
26'
M
D. McMenamy
26'
M
32
G. Amedu
D
G. Amedu
D
6
J. Ashton
D
J. Ashton
D
17
J. Faria
M
J. Faria
M
15
L. Heeney
26'
M
L. Heeney
26'
M
19
S. Glenfield
26'
M
S. Glenfield
26'
M
13
Tom Norcott
G
Tom Norcott
G
3
Patrick McClean
D
Patrick McClean
D
4
J. Stott
D
J. Stott
D
23
C. Dummigan
D
C. Dummigan
D
19
B. Fleming
1 👟
M
B. Fleming
1 👟
M
8
A. O'Reilly
1 ⚽
M
A. O'Reilly
1 ⚽
M
17
N. Twisk
M
N. Twisk
M
12
D. Burns
76'
M
D. Burns
76'
M
15
J. Clarke
1 👟
73'
F
J. Clarke
1 👟
73'
F
7
M. Duffy
1 ⚽
F
M. Duffy
1 ⚽
F
27
L. Boyce
F
L. Boyce
F
Bench
1
B. Maher
G
B. Maher
G
24
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
D
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
D
22
C. Barr
D
C. Barr
D
25
Christy Grogan
D
Christy Grogan
D
14
E. Chapman
17'
M
E. Chapman
17'
M
11
G. Whyte
M
G. Whyte
M
28
J. Olayinka
M
J. Olayinka
M
21
Kévin Santos
14'
M
Kévin Santos
14'
M
29
T. Smith
F
T. Smith
F
Best on the pitch
M. Duffy
F · Derry
8.19
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 36 pass
Benny Couto
D · Waterford
7.93
1 👟
· 20 pass
P. Amond
F · Waterford
7.72
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
A. O'Reilly
M · Derry
7.52
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
E. McLaughlin
M · Waterford
7.14
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
Patrick McClean
D · Derry
6.86
· 48 pass
Waterford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. McMullan | G | 90 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Benny Couto | D | 90 | 7.93 | — | 1 | 0 | 20 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Long | D | 90 | 5.93 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Mahon | D | 90 | 5.95 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Cann | D | 90 | 5.78 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Noonan | M | 64 | 6.13 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Mawene | M | 64 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 17% | 5 | — | — |
| E. McLaughlin | M | 64 | 7.14 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Voilås | M | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Amond | F | 90 | 7.72 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Lonergan | F | 90 | 5.69 | — | — | 5 | 9 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| D. McMenamy | M | 26 | 6.36 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Heeney | M | 26 | 6.16 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Glenfield | M | 26 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
Derry City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Norcott | G | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Patrick McClean | D | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Stott | D | 90 | 6.01 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Dummigan | D | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 2 | 52 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Fleming | M | 90 | 6.34 | — | 1 | 1 | 37 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| A. O'Reilly | M | 90 | 7.52 | 1 | — | 2 | 30 | 24% | 0 | 1 | — |
| N. Twisk | M | 90 | 6.12 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Burns | M | 76 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Clarke | F | 73 | 6.38 | — | 1 | 2 | 29 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Duffy | F | 90 | 8.19 | 1 | — | 3 | 36 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Boyce | F | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Chapman | M | 17 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Kévin Santos | M | 14 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Waterford vs Derry City?
The final score was Waterford 2–2 Derry City.
What did the model predict before Waterford vs Derry City?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Waterford win, 28% to a draw, and 26% to an Derry City win.