Premier Division
· Regular Season - 35
October 23, 2026 20:45
Waterford Regional Sports Centre, Waterford
H. Cann
(ast. Bernardo Piexoto Couto)
43'
C.Noonan
(ast. Tom Lonergan)
67'
Padraig Amond
(ast. Evan McLaughlin)
83'
24'
(ast. Conor Kane)
Leo Burney
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Waterford a 59% win probability (draw 21%, Drogheda United 18%). The final result was Waterford 3–1 Drogheda United. In 3 previous meetings, Waterford have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Drogheda United.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
11
7
Shots on target
2
2.05
Actual xG
1.08
1
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
7
Corners
3
7
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
24'
ast. Conor Kane ·
Leo Burney⚽
42'
Mark Doyle
/
Warren Davis
⚽H. Cann
· ast. Bernardo Piexoto Couto
43'
⚽C.Noonan
· ast. Tom Lonergan
67'
71'
Alfie Bates
/
ethan brien o
71'
Keegan Ancelin
/
Shane Farrell
79'
Ryan Markey
/
Leo Burney
⚽Padraig Amond
· ast. Evan McLaughlin
83'
C.Noonan
/ Dean Mcmenamy
86'
Evan McLaughlin
/ Luke Heeney
86'
Luke Heeney
88'
90'+2
Conor Keeley
Pre-match prediction
59.52%
Waterford ←
21.8%
X
18.68%
Drogheda
we assigned to the actual result (Waterford)
59.52%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.07
2.05
-0.02
1.01
1.08
+0.07
Waterford dominated by xG (2.05 vs 1.08).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
S. McMullan
G
S. McMullan
G
3
Benny Couto
1 👟
D
Benny Couto
1 👟
D
13
K. Long
D
K. Long
D
5
J. Mahon
D
J. Mahon
D
16
H. Cann
1 ⚽
D
H. Cann
1 ⚽
D
10
C. Noonan
1 ⚽
86'
M
C. Noonan
1 ⚽
86'
M
8
E. McLaughlin
1 👟
86'
M
E. McLaughlin
1 👟
86'
M
7
N. Mawene
M
N. Mawene
M
2
J. Houston
M
18
T. Lonergan
1 👟
F
T. Lonergan
1 👟
F
9
P. Amond
1 ⚽
F
P. Amond
1 ⚽
F
Bench
21
Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
G
Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
G
12
B. McKenzie
D
B. McKenzie
D
27
D. McMenamy
4'
M
D. McMenamy
4'
M
32
G. Amedu
D
G. Amedu
D
6
J. Ashton
D
J. Ashton
D
17
J. Faria
M
J. Faria
M
20
J. Voilås
90'
F
J. Voilås
90'
F
15
L. Heeney
4'
M
L. Heeney
4'
M
50
Noah O'Brien
D
Noah O'Brien
D
11
T. Coyle
F
T. Coyle
F
44
Fynn Michael Cordell Talley
G
Fynn Michael Cordell Talley
G
5
Leo Burney
1 ⚽
79'
D
Leo Burney
1 ⚽
79'
D
22
C. Keeley
D
C. Keeley
D
4
A. Quinn
D
A. Quinn
D
3
C. Kane
1 👟
M
C. Kane
1 👟
M
17
S. Farrell
71'
M
S. Farrell
71'
M
10
B. Kavanagh
M
B. Kavanagh
M
8
Ethan O'Brien
71'
M
Ethan O'Brien
71'
M
2
E. Agbaje
M
E. Agbaje
M
11
T. Oluwa
F
T. Oluwa
F
24
W. Davis
42'
F
W. Davis
42'
F
Bench
15
A. Bates
19'
M
A. Bates
19'
M
32
D. Mare
D
D. Mare
D
18
J. Bolger
D
J. Bolger
D
6
J. Godden
M
J. Godden
M
9
K. Ancelin
19'
F
K. Ancelin
19'
F
31
K. Cruise
D
K. Cruise
D
14
M. Doyle
48'
F
M. Doyle
48'
F
25
R. Markey
11'
F
R. Markey
11'
F
Best on the pitch
C. Noonan
M · Waterford
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 40 pass
P. Amond
F · Waterford
8.18
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
T. Lonergan
F · Waterford
7.70
1 👟
5 shots
· 26 pass
E. McLaughlin
M · Waterford
7.10
1 👟
2 shots
· 38 pass
Leo Burney
D · Drogheda
6.78
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 8 pass
R. Markey
F · Drogheda
6.71
· 1 pass
Waterford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. McMullan | G | 90 | 5.88 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Benny Couto | D | 90 | 6.58 | — | 1 | 0 | 34 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Long | D | 90 | 6.48 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Mahon | D | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Cann | D | 90 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Noonan | M | 86 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 40 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| E. McLaughlin | M | 86 | 7.10 | — | 1 | 2 | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Mawene | M | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Houston | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Lonergan | F | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 5 | 26 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Amond | F | 90 | 8.18 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| D. McMenamy | M | 4 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Voilås | F | 90 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Heeney | M | 4 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 1 | — |
Drogheda United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fynn Michael Cordell Talley | G | 90 | 5.84 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Leo Burney | D | 79 | 6.78 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Keeley | D | 90 | 5.29 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Quinn | D | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Kane | M | 90 | 6.26 | — | 1 | 0 | 23 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Farrell | M | 71 | 5.88 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Kavanagh | M | 90 | 6.32 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Ethan O'Brien | M | 71 | 5.34 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Agbaje | M | 90 | 5.95 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Oluwa | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Davis | F | 42 | 6.08 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Bates | M | 19 | 5.82 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Ancelin | F | 19 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Doyle | F | 48 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Markey | F | 11 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Waterford vs Drogheda United?
The final score was Waterford 3–1 Drogheda United.
What did the model predict before Waterford vs Drogheda United?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Waterford win, 21% to a draw, and 18% to an Drogheda United win.