Premier Division
· Regular Season - 15
May 04, 2026 18:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Dundalk, result Draw
T. Lonergan
(ast. J. Houston)
40'
P. Amond
(ast. D. McMenamy)
60'
J. Mahon
(ast. E. McLaughlin)
88'
14'
(ast. E. Kenny)
D. Horgan
35'
G. Arubi
83'
(ast. E. Kenny)
D. Horgan
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundalk a 58% win probability (draw 24%, Waterford 17%). The final result was Waterford 3–3 Dundalk. In 3 previous meetings, Waterford have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Dundalk.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
17
7
Shots on target
6
2
Saves
4
44%
Possession
56%
8
Corners
10
9
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
14'
ast. E. Kenny ·
D. Horgan⚽
R. Mansfield
28'
35'
G. Arubi⚽
37'
M. Animasahun
⚽T. Lonergan
· ast. J. Houston
40'
J. Mahon
45'+1
57'
R. Teahan
/
H. Groome
57'
A. Dervin
/
S. Tracey
B. Couto
/ J. Faria
58'
⚽P. Amond
· ast. D. McMenamy
60'
E. McLaughlin
62'
66'
H. Warren
/
M. Animasahun
C. Noonan
/ S. Glenfield
72'
78'
D. McDaid
/
B. Burns
83'
ast. E. Kenny ·
D. Horgan⚽
D. McMenamy
/ T. Coyle
87'
J. Houston
/ W. Johnson
87'
⚽J. Mahon
· ast. E. McLaughlin
88'
Pre-match prediction
17.7%
Waterford
24.28%
X ←
58.01%
Dundalk
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.74
—
—
1.90
—
—
Lineups
21
G
3
Benny Couto
58'
D
Benny Couto
58'
D
22
Ronan Mansfield
D
Ronan Mansfield
D
5
J. Mahon
1 ⚽
D
J. Mahon
1 ⚽
D
16
D
2
J. Houston
1 👟
87'
D
J. Houston
1 👟
87'
D
10
C. Noonan
72'
M
C. Noonan
72'
M
27
D. McMenamy
1 👟
87'
M
D. McMenamy
1 👟
87'
M
8
E. McLaughlin
1 👟
M
E. McLaughlin
1 👟
M
9
P. Amond
1 ⚽
F
P. Amond
1 ⚽
F
18
T. Lonergan
1 ⚽
F
T. Lonergan
1 ⚽
F
Bench
43
A. Zborowski
D
7
Conor Carty
F
Conor Carty
F
17
J. Faria
34'
M
J. Faria
34'
M
20
J. Voilås
F
J. Voilås
F
15
L. Heeney
M
L. Heeney
M
19
S. Glenfield
20'
M
S. Glenfield
20'
M
11
T. Coyle
5'
F
T. Coyle
5'
F
1
G
22
Tyreke Wilson
D
Tyreke Wilson
D
19
Sean Spaight
D
Sean Spaight
D
4
M. Animasahun
66'
D
M. Animasahun
66'
D
31
T. Wilson
D
T. Wilson
D
3
B. Burns
78'
M
B. Burns
78'
M
17
S. Tracey
57'
M
S. Tracey
57'
M
7
D. Horgan
2 ⚽
M
D. Horgan
2 ⚽
M
8
H. Groome
57'
M
H. Groome
57'
M
16
E. Kenny
2 👟
M
E. Kenny
2 👟
M
9
G. Arubi
1 ⚽
F
G. Arubi
1 ⚽
F
Bench
6
A. Dervin
35'
M
A. Dervin
35'
M
27
D. McDaid
14'
M
D. McDaid
14'
M
5
H. Warren
26'
D
H. Warren
26'
D
18
K. Buckley
M
K. Buckley
M
11
Y. Acheampong
35'
M
Best on the pitch
B. Burns
M · Dundalk
8.30
· 29 pass
D. Horgan
M · Dundalk
8.30
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 30 pass
E. Kenny
M · Dundalk
8.30
2 👟
1 shots
· 27 pass
T. Lonergan
F · Waterford
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 26 pass
D. McMenamy
M · Waterford
7.70
1 👟
· 34 pass
P. Amond
F · Waterford
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
Waterford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| Benny Couto | D | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Ronan Mansfield | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Mahon | D | 92 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 18% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. Houston | D | 87 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Noonan | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| D. McMenamy | M | 87 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| E. McLaughlin | M | 92 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Amond | F | 92 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 15% | — | — | — |
| T. Lonergan | F | 92 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 26 | 15% | — | — | — |
| J. Faria | M | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Glenfield | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| T. Coyle | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Dundalk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Tyreke Wilson | D | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Sean Spaight | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Animasahun | D | 66 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| T. Wilson | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Burns | M | 78 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Tracey | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | — | — | — |
| D. Horgan | M | 92 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 4 | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Groome | M | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Kenny | M | 92 | 8.30 | — | 2 | 1 | 27 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Arubi | F | 92 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 4 | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Dervin | M | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. McDaid | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| H. Warren | D | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Acheampong | M | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Waterford vs Dundalk?
The final score was Waterford 3–3 Dundalk.
What did the model predict before Waterford vs Dundalk?
The model assigned 17% probability to a Waterford win, 24% to a draw, and 58% to an Dundalk win.