Premier Division
· Regular Season - 15
May 04, 2026 18:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Dundalk, result Pareggio
T. Lonergan
(ast. J. Houston)
40'
P. Amond
(ast. D. McMenamy)
60'
J. Mahon
(ast. E. McLaughlin)
88'
14'
(ast. E. Kenny)
D. Horgan
35'
G. Arubi
83'
(ast. E. Kenny)
D. Horgan
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundalk a 58% win probability (draw 24%, Waterford 17%). The final result was Waterford 3–3 Dundalk. In 1 previous meetings, Waterford have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Dundalk.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
17
7
Shots on target
6
2
Saves
4
44%
Possession
56%
8
Corners
10
9
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
14'
ast. E. Kenny ·
D. Horgan⚽
R. Mansfield
28'
35'
G. Arubi⚽
37'
M. Animasahun
⚽T. Lonergan
· ast. J. Houston
40'
J. Mahon
45'+1
57'
R. Teahan
/
H. Groome
57'
A. Dervin
/
S. Tracey
B. Couto
/ J. Faria
58'
⚽P. Amond
· ast. D. McMenamy
60'
E. McLaughlin
62'
66'
H. Warren
/
M. Animasahun
C. Noonan
/ S. Glenfield
72'
78'
D. McDaid
/
B. Burns
83'
ast. E. Kenny ·
D. Horgan⚽
D. McMenamy
/ T. Coyle
87'
J. Houston
/ W. Johnson
87'
⚽J. Mahon
· ast. E. McLaughlin
88'
Pre-match prediction
17.7%
Waterford
24.28%
X ←
58.01%
Dundalk
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.74
—
—
1.90
—
—
Lineups
21
G
3
B. Couto
58'
D
22
R. Mansfield
D
5
J. Mahon
1 ⚽
D
16
D
2
J. Houston
1 👟
87'
D
10
C. Noonan
72'
M
27
Dean McMenamy
1 👟
87'
M
8
E. McLaughlin
1 👟
M
E. McLaughlin
1 👟
M
9
P. Amond
1 ⚽
F
P. Amond
1 ⚽
F
18
T. Lonergan
1 ⚽
F
T. Lonergan
1 ⚽
F
Bench
43
A. Zborowski
D
7
C. Carty
F
17
J. Faria
34'
M
20
J. Voilas
F
15
L. Heeney
M
19
S. Glenfield
20'
M
S. Glenfield
20'
M
11
T. Coyle
5'
F
1
G
22
T. Wilson
D
19
S. Spaight
D
4
M. Animasahun
66'
D
31
John Ross Wilson
D
3
B. Burns
78'
M
17
S. Tracey
57'
M
7
D. Horgan
2 ⚽
M
D. Horgan
2 ⚽
M
8
H. Groome
57'
M
16
E. Kenny
2 👟
M
E. Kenny
2 👟
M
9
G. Arubi
1 ⚽
F
G. Arubi
1 ⚽
F
Bench
6
A. Dervin
35'
M
A. Dervin
35'
M
27
D. McDaid
14'
M
D. McDaid
14'
M
5
H. Warren
26'
D
18
K. Buckley
M
K. Buckley
M
11
Y. Acheampong
35'
M
Best on the pitch
B. Burns
M · Dundalk
8.30
· 29 pass
D. Horgan
M · Dundalk
8.30
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 30 pass
E. Kenny
M · Dundalk
8.30
2 👟
1 shots
· 27 pass
T. Lonergan
F · Waterford
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 26 pass
Dean McMenamy
M · Waterford
7.70
1 👟
· 34 pass
P. Amond
F · Waterford
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
Waterford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| B. Couto | D | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 10% | — | — | — |
| R. Mansfield | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Mahon | D | 92 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 18% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. Houston | D | 87 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Noonan | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Dean McMenamy | M | 87 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| E. McLaughlin | M | 92 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Amond | F | 92 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 15% | — | — | — |
| T. Lonergan | F | 92 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 26 | 15% | — | — | — |
| J. Faria | M | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Glenfield | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| T. Coyle | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Dundalk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| T. Wilson | D | 92 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | — | — | — |
| S. Spaight | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Animasahun | D | 66 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| John Ross Wilson | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Burns | M | 78 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Tracey | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | — | — | — |
| D. Horgan | M | 92 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 4 | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Groome | M | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Kenny | M | 92 | 8.30 | — | 2 | 1 | 27 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Arubi | F | 92 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 4 | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Dervin | M | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. McDaid | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| H. Warren | D | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Acheampong | M | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Waterford vs Dundalk?
The final score was Waterford 3–3 Dundalk.
What did the model predict before Waterford vs Dundalk?
The model assigned 17% probability to a Waterford win, 24% to a draw, and 58% to an Dundalk win.