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Premier Division · Regular Season - 31 September 11, 2026 20:45
Waterford
#8 · 34 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Dundalk
#4 · 41 pts
H. Cann (ast. Bernardo Piexoto Couto) 37'
(og) 21' John Mahon
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Waterford a 53% win probability (draw 24%, Dundalk 21%). The final result was Waterford 1–1 Dundalk. In 3 previous meetings, Waterford have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Dundalk.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
10
8
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
7
40%
Possession
60%
9
Corners
1
9
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
21'
(og) John Mahon⚽
31'
Keith Buckley
⚽H. Cann · ast. Bernardo Piexoto Couto
37'
56'
shane tracey
60'
Bobby Burns / shane tracey ↕
61'
Harvey Warren / John Ross Wilson ↕
61'
Declan McDaid / leonardo gaxha ↕
61'
Aodh Dervin / Keith Buckley ↕
65'
Harvey Warren
72'
Harry Groome / Egor Vassenin ↕
Evan McLaughlin
78'
90'
ronan teahan
Pre-match prediction
53.85%
Waterford
24.99%
X ←
21.16%
Dundalk
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.99% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Waterford
2.10
—
—
Dundalk
1.20
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 31 56
2 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 30 56
3 Bohemians Bohemians 30 53
4 Dundalk Dundalk 31 41
5 Derry City Derry City 31 38
6 Galway United Galway United 30 37
7 Shelbourne Shelbourne 30 36
8 Waterford Waterford 31 34
9 Drogheda United Drogheda United 31 34
10 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 31 23
Lineups
Waterford Waterford 4-4-2
1 S. McMullan S. McMullan G 5.88
3 Benny Couto Benny Couto 1 👟 D 7.20
13 K. Long K. Long D 6.79
5 J. Mahon J. Mahon 1 ⚽ D 5.99
16 H. Cann H. Cann 1 ⚽ D 6.82
7 N. Mawene N. Mawene M 6.33
10 C. Noonan C. Noonan M 6.25
8 E. McLaughlin E. McLaughlin M 6.00
20 J. Voilås J. Voilås M 6.44
9 P. Amond P. Amond F 6.73
18 T. Lonergan T. Lonergan F 6.39
Bench
56 A. Brennan A. Brennan D 0.00
21 Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty G 0.00
12 B. McKenzie B. McKenzie D 0.00
27 D. McMenamy D. McMenamy M 0.00
32 G. Amedu G. Amedu D 0.00
6 J. Ashton J. Ashton D 0.00
17 J. Faria J. Faria M 0.00
15 L. Heeney L. Heeney M 0.00
11 T. Coyle T. Coyle F 0.00
Dundalk Dundalk 4-2-3-1
1 E. Minogue E. Minogue G 7.13
16 E. Vassenin E. Vassenin 72' D 6.20
44 T. Grivosti T. Grivosti D 5.88
4 M. Animasahun M. Animasahun D 6.06
31 J. Wilson J. Wilson 61' D 5.78
17 S. Tracey S. Tracey 60' M 6.89
18 K. Buckley K. Buckley 61' M 6.73
7 D. Horgan D. Horgan M 6.48
11 R. Teahan R. Teahan M 6.79
10 Leonardo Gaxha Leonardo Gaxha 61' M 6.18
9 C. Dillon C. Dillon F 6.40
Bench
6 A. Dervin A. Dervin 29' M 6.38
23 A. M. Keogh A. M. Keogh M 0.00
3 B. Burns B. Burns 30' D 6.59
27 D. McDaid D. McDaid 29' M 6.29
8 H. Groome H. Groome 18' M 6.51
5 H. Warren H. Warren 29' D 5.95
12 L. Mulligan L. Mulligan D 0.00
19 Sean Spaight Sean Spaight D 0.00
20 S. Safaei S. Safaei G 0.00
Best on the pitch
Benny Couto
Benny Couto
D · Waterford
7.20
1 👟
· 28 pass
E. Minogue
E. Minogue
G · Dundalk
7.13
· 31 pass
S. Tracey
S. Tracey
M · Dundalk
6.89
1 shots · 39 pass
H. Cann
H. Cann
D · Waterford
6.82
1 ⚽
1 shots · 27 pass
K. Long
K. Long
D · Waterford
6.79
2 shots · 12 pass
R. Teahan
R. Teahan
M · Dundalk
6.79
1 shots · 32 pass
Waterford Waterford — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. McMullan G 90 5.88 — — 0 33 8% 0 — —
Benny Couto D 90 7.20 — 1 0 28 15% 1 — —
K. Long D 90 6.79 — — 2 12 8% 2 — —
J. Mahon D 90 5.99 1 — 0 16 8% 1 — —
H. Cann D 90 6.82 1 — 1 27 17% 1 — —
N. Mawene M 90 6.33 — — 0 20 10% 3 — —
C. Noonan M 90 6.25 — — 1 20 15% 0 — —
E. McLaughlin M 90 6.00 — — 1 18 11% 0 1 —
J. Voilås M 90 6.44 — — 3 18 11% 1 — —
P. Amond F 90 6.73 — — 3 22 11% 0 — —
T. Lonergan F 90 6.39 — — 6 35 24% 0 — —
Dundalk Dundalk — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Minogue G 90 7.13 — — 0 31 7% 0 — —
E. Vassenin D 72 6.20 — — 1 30 22% 1 — —
T. Grivosti D 90 5.88 — — 0 38 28% 1 — —
M. Animasahun D 90 6.06 — — 0 22 14% 0 — —
J. Wilson D 61 5.78 — — 0 30 20% 2 — —
S. Tracey M 60 6.89 — — 1 39 34% 0 1 —
K. Buckley M 61 6.73 — — 0 37 34% 2 1 —
D. Horgan M 90 6.48 — — 2 35 27% 0 — —
R. Teahan M 90 6.79 — — 1 32 26% 0 1 —
Leonardo Gaxha M 61 6.18 — — 0 24 15% 2 — —
C. Dillon F 90 6.40 — — 1 20 15% 0 — —
A. Dervin M 29 6.38 — — 1 15 12% 0 — —
B. Burns D 30 6.59 — — 1 16 9% 1 — —
D. McDaid M 29 6.29 — — 1 12 7% 1 — —
H. Groome M 18 6.51 — — 1 5 4% 1 — —
H. Warren D 29 5.95 — — 0 10 2% 0 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Waterford vs Dundalk?
The final score was Waterford 1–1 Dundalk.
What did the model predict before Waterford vs Dundalk?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Waterford win, 24% to a draw, and 21% to an Dundalk win.